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当升科技(300073):业绩短期承压,磷酸铁锂放量
Zhongyuan Securities· 2025-04-02 12:02
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company, indicating a projected increase in stock price relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [1][11]. Core Views - The company's performance is under short-term pressure, with a significant decline in revenue and profits for 2024, but there are expectations for recovery in 2025 driven by increasing demand for lithium battery materials [5][6][8]. - The report highlights the growth in China's new energy vehicle sales and battery production, which is expected to boost the demand for cathode materials [6][8]. - The company has established long-term supply agreements with major clients, which are anticipated to positively impact future performance [9][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 7.593 billion yuan, a decrease of 49.80% year-on-year, with a net profit of 472 million yuan, down 75.48% [6][12]. - The operating cash flow increased by 30.74% to 1.598 billion yuan, indicating improved cash generation despite declining profits [6]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.0 yuan per 10 shares [6]. Market Trends - In 2024, China's new energy vehicle sales reached 12.859 million units, a year-on-year increase of 36.10%, contributing to a growing demand for cathode materials [6][8]. - The production of power batteries in China grew by 40.96% in 2024, with expectations for continued growth in 2025 [6][8]. Product and Capacity Development - The company achieved a sales volume of 10.07 million tons of lithium battery materials in 2024, a significant increase of 60.53% year-on-year [8]. - The company is expanding its production capacity, with a total capacity of 129,000 tons by the end of 2024, and plans to add 80,000 tons of high-end capacity in 2025 [8][9]. Strategic Partnerships - The company has signed long-term supply agreements with SK On and LGES, which are expected to secure significant sales volumes and enhance market position [9][11]. - A strategic cooperation framework was established with Zhongwei Co., focusing on resource development and product supply [9]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates a recovery in performance in 2025, driven by increasing demand for lithium battery materials and stabilization of raw material prices [8][9]. - The projected earnings per share for 2025 and 2026 are 1.34 yuan and 1.85 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 30.45 and 22.04 [11][12].
当升科技2024年报:营收净利双降超 陈彦彬领航下的转型阵痛与破局之道
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-03-31 13:22
Core Viewpoint - The annual report of Beijing Dongsheng Material Technology Co., Ltd. (Dongsheng Technology) reveals a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, attributed to multiple challenges including market fluctuations and intensified competition in the lithium battery materials sector [2][3]. Financial Performance - Dongsheng Technology reported a total revenue of 7.593 billion yuan in 2024, a sharp decrease of 49.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 472 million yuan, down 75.48% compared to the previous year [2][3]. - The company's revenue and net profit figures for 2024 nearly halved compared to 2023, where revenue was 15.127 billion yuan and net profit was 1.924 billion yuan [3]. - The main factors contributing to the decline include a slowdown in the overseas electric vehicle market, bankruptcy of a key customer (Northvolt Ett AB), and intensified price competition in the domestic lithium iron phosphate materials market [3]. Business Segments - The demand for Dongsheng Technology's main products, including high-nickel ternary materials and lithium iron phosphate materials, has shrunk in 2024 [3]. - The international market, previously a growth driver, has seen a significant drop in sales due to reduced subsidies for electric vehicles in Europe and inventory reduction by automakers [3]. - The domestic battery industry is facing overcapacity, leading to continuous price declines for cathode materials and increased pressure on profit margins [3]. Cost and Expenses - The total operating cost for 2024 was 7.203 billion yuan, a decrease of 43.76% year-on-year, but the gross profit margin fell from 16.82% in 2023 to 12.38% in 2024 [3]. - Sales and management expenses were reported at 37.6089 million yuan and 210 million yuan, respectively, indicating challenges in market expansion and rising internal management costs [3]. Management Response - Chairman Chen Yanbin is leading a PhD-level management team to accelerate technological innovation and adjust the customer structure [4]. - The company has made breakthroughs in cutting-edge fields such as ultra-high nickel materials and solid-state battery electrolytes, maintaining a leading position in patent applications [4]. - Dongsheng Technology is diversifying its customer base beyond the reliance on the power battery market to include energy storage and small power applications [4]. Production and Cash Flow - The company is optimizing production schedules through subsidiaries, resulting in a 12% year-on-year increase in inventory turnover [5]. - Operating cash flow net amount reached 1.598 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.7%, indicating strong resilience against risks [5]. Future Strategy - For 2025, Dongsheng Technology plans to enhance research and development of solid-state battery materials and has developed nano-level solid-state electrolyte materials [5]. - The company aims to strengthen upstream resource collaboration, with plans to establish an integrated supply chain from mining to materials by 2025, mitigating the impact of raw material price fluctuations on profitability [5]. Dividend Announcement - Dongsheng Technology announced a cash dividend of 2 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 101 million yuan, which accounts for 21.47% of net profit, reflecting management's confidence in long-term development [6].