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豪悦护理(605009):2025Q3点评:收入环比提速,盈利略承压
Changjiang Securities· 2025-10-30 23:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Insights - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.718 billion yuan, net profit attributable to the parent company of 203 million yuan, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 194 million yuan, representing year-on-year changes of +33%, -31%, and -33% respectively. In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 958 million yuan, net profit attributable to the parent company of 55 million yuan, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 48 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of +32%, -45%, and -50% respectively [2][6]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - Q3 revenue grew by 32% year-on-year, showing a sequential acceleration compared to Q2. However, profitability faced pressure with a year-on-year decline in net profit margins [14]. - The gross margin in Q3 improved by 2.2 percentage points, primarily due to an increase in the proportion of self-owned brands. The sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios increased by 10.7, 0.1, -0.2, and 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, respectively [14]. Business Operations - The OEM business is gradually recovering, with orders from major clients starting to pick up. The self-owned brand, Dafy, is expected to continue its strong growth [14]. - The company is expanding its overseas production capacity in Peru and Tanzania, targeting emerging markets in Latin America and Africa, which is anticipated to open up new growth opportunities [14]. Market Position and Strategy - Despite the overall pressure in the infant diaper industry, the company is expected to increase its market share, with an estimated domestic market share of 9.3% in 2024, up from 4.2% in 2019. This growth is attributed to strong product capabilities and partnerships with leading brands [14]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its product offerings and optimizing channel operations for its brand, Jieting, which is expected to rejuvenate its market presence [14]. Financial Forecast - The projected net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 is 290 million, 380 million, and 460 million yuan, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 24, 19, and 15 times [14].
豪悦护理(605009):2025Q1业绩点评报告:婴裤主业成长修复,并表洁婷驱动收入高增
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 13:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Insights - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 reached 910 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 42.4%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 91 million yuan, up 5.7% year-on-year. The growth is driven by the consolidation of the "Jieting" brand and a recovery in the core diaper business [1][2] - The acquisition of Hubei Sibao Care, completed on January 20, 2025, significantly contributed to revenue growth, with the "Jieting" brand showing strong performance on e-commerce platforms [2] - The gross margin improved significantly to 34.67%, up 6.96 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the higher gross margin from the Sibao brand compared to the company's traditional OEM business [3] - The company is expanding its production capacity despite market challenges, enhancing its market share and positioning for long-term growth through its own brands [4] - The company is expected to maintain a high dividend payout ratio of approximately 67% in 2024, with projected revenues of 3.744 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 27.83% [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 34.67%, a year-on-year increase of 6.96 percentage points, while the net profit margin decreased to 9.95%, down 3.96 percentage points year-on-year due to increased sales expenses and a decline in interest income [3] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 3.744 billion, 4.203 billion, and 4.664 billion yuan, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 27.83%, 12.26%, and 10.95% [5][12] Market Position and Growth Potential - The company is expanding its production capacity through acquisitions and is expected to see significant growth in its own brands, particularly in the Thai market [4] - The "Jieting" brand's performance on e-commerce platforms indicates strong market demand, contributing to the overall revenue growth [2]