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农夫山泉,寻找平衡
3 6 Ke· 2025-04-23 12:16
Group 1: Company Overview - Nongfu Spring, once a symbol of bottled water in China, is facing stagnation in growth, with a slight revenue increase of 0.5% and a net profit increase that is negligible for 2024 [1] - The bottled water business, previously a stronghold for Nongfu Spring, has seen a decline, with a 6.7% drop in revenue and a 3.8% drop in net profit in the second half of the previous year [1] - The tea beverage segment, represented by Dongfang Shuye, has surpassed bottled water in revenue for the first time, achieving a remarkable 32.3% year-on-year growth [2] Group 2: Market Competition - The tea beverage market has become highly competitive, with numerous established and emerging brands vying for market share, leading to increased pressure on Nongfu Spring's tea business [3][4] - New brands are employing aggressive distribution strategies, such as credit sales, to quickly gain shelf space, which poses a challenge to Nongfu Spring's market position [4] - Despite maintaining a leading position in the tea market, Nongfu Spring's growth rate has slowed from 59.5% in the first half of the previous year to 32.3% [4] Group 3: Strategic Responses - In response to market pressures, Nongfu Spring has launched a 1.5L version of Dongfang Shuye to capture the "water substitute" demand, which has seen immediate success [6] - The company is investing in tea production facilities, with a commitment of 100 million yuan to build five initial tea factories, aiming to enhance its overall system capabilities [8] - Nongfu Spring is also exploring international markets, particularly in developed countries, to expand its tea beverage business [9] Group 4: Financial Performance - The bottled water segment's revenue for 2024 is reported at 16 billion yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 21.3% year-on-year, with operating profit margins dropping from 36% to 31% [25] - The aggressive pricing strategy for green bottle water has not yielded the expected market growth, leading to issues of low profit margins and high inventory [25] Group 5: Brand Management - Nongfu Spring's sales strategy has been characterized by a strong presence in retail channels, with sales personnel actively engaging with store owners to secure shelf space [12][16] - However, the company's aggressive tactics have led to some negative perceptions among retailers, with reports of pressure to prioritize Nongfu Spring products over competitors [14][22] - The contrasting attitudes within the company regarding the value of green bottle water have created confusion among retailers, impacting overall brand perception [22]
【农夫山泉(9633.HK)】24年逐渐走出阴霾,期待25年包装水份额回升——2024年年报点评(陈彦彤/汪航宇/聂博雅)
光大证券研究· 2025-03-31 06:59
点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 事件: 农夫山泉公布2024年业绩,2024年实现营业收入428.96亿元,同比+0.5%;归母净利润121.23亿元,同比 +0.4%。24H2,公司实现营收207.23亿元,同比-6.7%;归母净利润58.84亿元,同比-6.7%。 24H2功能饮料营收环比24H1亦出现降速,主要系23H2基数较高(23H2同比+34.7%);24年"尖叫"上新两 款新口味,积极扩大在年轻运动人群中的影响力。24年/24H2果汁饮料营收分别为40.85/19.71亿元,分别 同比+15.6%/+6.6%,主要系产品换代升级。24年/24H2其他产品营收分别为11.82/6.34亿元,分别同 比-9.8%/-11.9%,主要系公司持续执行聚 ...