在研项目进展顺利，动保多维度布局提速 机构：开源证券 研究员：余汝意/阮帅 2025 上半年公司业绩较快增长，在研项目进展顺利2025 上半年公司实现收入75.19 亿元（同比 +4.61%，以下均为同比口径），净利润18.94 亿元（+27.02%），扣非后归属母公司股东的净利润为 18.94（+37.37%）,毛利率52.19%（+5.58pct），净利率25.18%（+4.44pct）。我们看好公司的长期发 展，维持公司的盈利预测，预计2025-2027 年净利润为28.39/24.52/27.05 亿元，当前股价对应PE 为 8.98/10.4/9.43 倍，维持"买入"评级。 制剂板块领跑增长，中间体、原料药及动保板块收入承压制剂产品板块2025 年上半年收入（含对外授 权）同比增长65.9%至39.79 亿元，占集团对外销售总额的52.9%，其中，胰岛素系列表现突出，收入同 比增长74.5%，销量同比+90.4%，海外出口创中国同类产品纪录；对外授权收入达14.34 亿元，主要来 自与诺和诺德达成的UBT251 许可协议；抗生素制剂整体收入下降，但部分产品仍有增长表现。 中间体板块同比下降23.1 ...

Core Viewpoint - Federal Pharmaceutical (03933) reported a positive performance for the first half of 2025, driven by a one-time contribution from the UBT251 licensing fee and increased sales of insulin products [1] Financial Performance - The company's revenue for H1 2025 reached 7.519 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.8% [1] - Gross profit amounted to 3.924 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 52.2%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.6 percentage points [1] - Pre-tax profit was 2.420 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 27.24% [1] - Net profit stood at 1.894 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 27.02% [1] Product Development and Collaborations - The company has made significant progress in its research projects, with several formulation products achieving key milestones [1] - Liraglutide injection has been approved for market launch, and polyethylene glycol eye drops have passed approval [1] - The application for semaglutide injection has been accepted, and ceftriaxone sodium for injection has passed the consistency evaluation for generic drugs [1] - The licensing agreement with Novo Nordisk for UBT251 further enhances the company's innovative drug collaboration strategy [1]

Core Viewpoint - Federal Pharmaceutical (03933) reported a strong performance for the first half of 2025, with significant revenue and profit growth driven by licensing fees and increased sales of insulin products [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 7.519 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.8% [1] - Gross profit reached 3.924 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 52.2%, up by 5.6 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Pre-tax profit was 2.420 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 27.24% [1] - Net profit amounted to 1.894 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 27.02% [1] Project Development - The company has made significant progress in its research projects, with multiple formulation products achieving key milestones [1] - Liraglutide injection has been approved for market launch, and polyethylene glycol eye drops have passed approval [1] - The application for semaglutide injection has been accepted, and ceftriaxone sodium for injection has passed the consistency evaluation for generic drugs [1] - The licensing agreement with Novo Nordisk for UBT251 further enhances the company's innovative drug collaboration strategy [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 7.519 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.61%. The net profit reached 1.894 billion yuan, up by 27.02%, with a non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.894 billion yuan, increasing by 37.37%. The gross margin was 52.19%, up by 5.58 percentage points, and the net margin was 25.18%, up by 4.44 percentage points. The long-term development of the company is viewed positively, maintaining profit forecasts for 2025-2027 with expected net profits of 2.839 billion, 2.452 billion, and 2.705 billion yuan respectively. The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 8.98, 10.4, and 9.43 times for the years 2025-2027 [7][8] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the formulation segment led growth with a revenue increase of 65.9% to 3.979 billion yuan, accounting for 52.9% of total external sales. The insulin series showed outstanding performance with a revenue growth of 74.5% and a sales volume increase of 90.4%. The revenue from external licensing reached 1.434 billion yuan, mainly from the UBT251 licensing agreement with Novo Nordisk. However, the intermediate and raw material drug segments faced revenue declines of 23.1% and 27.0%, respectively [8][9] Research and Development Progress - The company has made significant progress in its R&D projects, with multiple products in the formulation segment receiving key approvals, including liraglutide injection and polyethylene glycol eye drops. The animal health segment is expanding with six product registrations in Vietnam and Australia, and 19 overseas registrations initiated. The new production facilities are expected to add over 5 billion yuan in annual output once fully operational, with 61 ongoing R&D projects covering various animal health areas [9][8]

Core Viewpoint - CICC has downgraded the net profit estimates for Lianbang Pharmaceutical (03933) for 2025 and 2026 by 8.9% and 1.1% to CNY 2.92 billion and CNY 2.62 billion respectively, due to pressure on raw material and intermediate prices [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's 1H25 performance met CICC's expectations, with revenue of CNY 7.519 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%, and a gross profit of CNY 3.924 billion, corresponding to a gross margin of 52.2%, up 5.6 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The pre-tax profit was CNY 2.420 billion, a year-on-year increase of 27.24%, and the net profit was CNY 1.894 billion, up 27.02% year-on-year, primarily benefiting from a one-time contribution from the UBT251 licensing fee and the volume increase of insulin series products [2] Group 2: Innovation and R&D - The company is entering a harvest period in innovation and has strategically focused on the GLP-1 sector, having reached an overseas rights licensing agreement with Novo Nordisk for UBT251 [3] - In 1H25, the company recognized licensing income of CNY 1.434 billion from UBT251, which completed its Phase II clinical enrollment for obesity indications in April 2025 and for diabetes indications in May 2025 [3] - The company has 43 human drug projects in development, including 22 first-class new drugs, and R&D expenses in 1H25 were CNY 499 million, a year-on-year increase of 11.7% [3] Group 3: Product Segments - In 1H25, the revenue from formulation products (excluding external licensing) was CNY 2.54 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, while segment profit was CNY 156 million, down 35.4% [4] - The insulin series revenue reached CNY 961 million, a year-on-year increase of 74.5%, with insulin analog sales up 90.4%, benefiting from increased domestic market share and overseas expansion [4] - The company has made progress in export business, with insulin products winning bids from the Brazilian Ministry of Health and antibiotics winning bids in the Malaysian market [4] Group 4: Raw Materials and Intermediates - In 1H25, intermediate revenue was CNY 1.011 billion, down 23.1% year-on-year, and segment profit was CNY 635 million, down 40.6% [5] - Raw material revenue was CNY 2.530 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 27.0%, with segment profit at CNY 251 million, down 52.0%, primarily due to price declines of products like 6-APA and a temporary drop in antibiotic demand [5] - The company expects the production capacity of its raw material projects in Zhuhai and Inner Mongolia to commence in October 2025 [5]