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巴西出口转向:亚太成“主攻方向”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 11:52
Core Viewpoint - Brazil's future exports will remain concentrated in bulk commodities, particularly agricultural products and mineral resources such as oil and energy, despite the traditional trade relationship with the EU [1] Trade Structure - The EU is a traditional trading partner for Brazil, but competition in agricultural products limits its potential as a major alternative market to the US [1] - In contrast, the Asia-Pacific market may show a more significant short-term substitution effect for the US, as Brazil's agricultural and mineral products align with the strong import demand from Asia-Pacific countries [1] Market Expansion - Brazil is likely to focus on expanding its overseas market towards the Asia-Pacific region, with Japan, South Korea, and certain Southeast Asian countries identified as key targets for market development [1]
海外策略周报:非农遇冷对海外资产有何影响?-20250804
Ping An Securities· 2025-08-04 02:50
Group 1 - The report indicates that the U.S. economy showed resilience in Q2 with a GDP growth rate rebounding to 3.0% on a quarter-over-quarter annualized basis, while year-over-year growth remained steady at 2% [3][4][5] - The report highlights a significant drop in non-farm employment numbers for July, with only 73,000 jobs added, down from a revised 147,000 in June, indicating a potential weakening in the labor market [16][22] - The report notes that the U.S. inflation rate, as measured by the PCE index, has increased, with personal consumption expenditures rising from 4.66% to 4.75% year-over-year, suggesting some resilience in consumer spending [15][11] Group 2 - The report discusses the impact of tariff policies, indicating that the average effective tariff in the U.S. may rise to around 17% following the implementation of the latest tariffs, which could lead to an increase in inflation and a decrease in GDP growth [27][24] - The report mentions that the U.S. stock market has experienced volatility, with major indices like the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and NASDAQ seeing declines of 2.92%, 2.36%, and 2.17% respectively, reflecting market concerns over economic data [29][2] - The report suggests that the healthcare sector is one of the few areas showing positive performance in the Hong Kong stock market, while sectors like materials and technology are facing declines [2]