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俄军能源绞杀战:290亿吨铁矿威慑下的乌克兰大断电危机
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-19 03:46
Group 1: Energy Crisis and Military Impact - The ongoing energy crisis in Ukraine is a result of Russia's targeted missile strikes on energy infrastructure, leading to nationwide emergency power outages and affecting over 10 million people [1][2] - Ukraine's electricity coverage has dropped by 53% compared to pre-war levels, reverting to a state reminiscent of the 1980s [3] - The military production in Ukraine has been severely impacted, with a 40% decrease in monthly artillery shell production due to power restrictions on military enterprises [7][9] Group 2: Strategic Implications of Resource Control - Russia's control over 29 billion tons of iron ore resources poses a significant threat to the global iron ore-dollar system, potentially destabilizing commodity pricing [7][12] - The iron ore reserves controlled by Russia account for 14% of the world's proven reserves, which could lead to a rapid depreciation of the Australian dollar [7] - The energy crisis is not just a military conflict but also a competition between the speed of power restoration and the frequency of missile strikes, highlighting the strategic importance of energy resources [13] Group 3: Limitations of Western Support - Western aid to Ukraine has not effectively changed the situation, with significant delays in the repair of critical power stations compared to the frequency of Russian attacks [10] - The cost of Western military support, such as the IRIS-T air defense systems, is significantly higher than the cost of Russian drones, which complicates the economic sustainability of Ukraine's defense efforts [11] Group 4: Future Challenges - The upcoming winter is expected to exacerbate Ukraine's energy shortfall, potentially increasing the gap to 30% [12] - The shift of Russian iron ore exports towards China may reshape global commodity pricing dynamics [12]