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【招商电子】英特尔25Q3跟踪报告:Q3 EPS超指引预期,指引Q4 DC AI收入环比强劲增长
招商电子· 2025-10-26 12:48
Core Viewpoint - Intel's Q3 2025 revenue reached $13.7 billion, exceeding guidance, driven by strong demand in client and data center segments, with a gross margin of 40%, reflecting significant year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter improvements [3][4][14]. Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue was $13.7 billion, up 2.8% year-over-year and 6.2% quarter-over-quarter, surpassing the guidance range of $12.6 to $13.6 billion [3][4]. - Gross margin improved to 40%, a 22 percentage point increase year-over-year and a 10.3 percentage point increase quarter-over-quarter, attributed to revenue growth, product mix optimization, and reduced inventory reserves [3][15]. - Earnings per share (EPS) was $0.23, exceeding expectations due to revenue growth, margin improvement, and ongoing cost control [3][15]. Business Segments - **Client Computing Group (CCG)**: Revenue was $12.6 billion, up 7.6% quarter-over-quarter, driven by collaboration with Microsoft and the launch of Core Ultra 3 [4][17]. - **Data Center AI**: Revenue was $4.1 billion, up 5.1% quarter-over-quarter, driven by product mix optimization and strong demand for AI server CPUs [4][18]. - **Intel Foundry**: Revenue was $4.2 billion, down 4.5% quarter-over-quarter, with significant progress in 10nm and 7nm capacity [4][18]. - **Other Businesses**: Revenue was $993 million, down 5.7% quarter-over-quarter, with Mobileye, Altera, and IMS contributing a combined operating profit of $100 million [4][19]. Future Guidance - Q4 2025 revenue guidance is set at $12.8 to $13.8 billion, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 7% and a quarter-over-quarter decline of 3% [5][20]. - The company anticipates a slight quarter-over-quarter increase in Intel Products revenue, with a strong expected growth in DC AI revenue [5][20]. - For 2026, the company expects improved margins driven by increased production at advanced nodes and the large-scale production of Panther Lake [5][20]. Strategic Developments - The company plans to launch the first Panther Lake SKU by the end of 2025 and more SKUs in the first half of 2026, enhancing its product portfolio in the PC market [10][11]. - Intel aims to solidify its position in the AI market, focusing on becoming the preferred computing platform for AI inference workloads [11][12]. - The company is making significant progress in its foundry strategy, with the Intel 18A process achieving key milestones and expected to drive wafer output growth over the next decade [12][13]. Market Environment - The third quarter saw strong performance supported by core market growth, despite macroeconomic uncertainties [14]. - The demand for AI applications is driving growth in traditional computing businesses, with a notable increase in enterprise customer migration to Windows 11 [14][18]. - The company remains optimistic about the total addressable market for CPUs in 2026, despite the need for competitive improvements [14].