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晨枫:欧洲好像醒了,又想要装睡
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-06-26 01:14
Core Points - The article discusses the shift in U.S. foreign policy under President Trump, indicating a long-term move away from Atlanticism and European alliances towards a focus on the Asia-Pacific region [1][2] - It highlights the challenges Europe faces in re-establishing its own defense capabilities amid a perceived abandonment by the U.S. and the need for increased military spending [4][7] - The article emphasizes the fragmentation of European military capabilities and the reliance on U.S. military technology, which complicates Europe's efforts to independently rearm [12][13] Group 1: U.S. Policy Shift - The U.S. is moving away from Europe, prioritizing the Asia-Pacific region and sacrificing Atlanticism as a result of strategic contraction [1][2] - This shift is not merely a temporary phenomenon tied to Trump's presidency but reflects a long-term trend that will persist regardless of which party is in power [1] Group 2: European Defense Challenges - Europe is attempting to bolster its own defense capabilities, with NATO countries aiming to increase defense spending from 2% to 3% of GDP and enhance military equipment by 30% over the next 5-10 years [7][10] - The European Union has proposed an €800 billion "rearmament plan," with €650 billion coming from member states and €150 billion from a new EU fund [10] Group 3: Military Capability Fragmentation - European NATO countries have a total military strength of around 1.5 million personnel, but much of this is non-combat support, leading to concerns about actual combat readiness [4][6] - The reliance on U.S. military equipment is increasing, with European NATO countries' arms imports rising by 105% from five years ago, 64% of which come from the U.S. [6][12] - European military industries are struggling to meet the demand for advanced military technology, particularly in areas like combat aircraft and naval systems, which are heavily reliant on U.S. technology [12][13]
342艘俄罗斯油轮被列入黑名单,后续会如何?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-26 05:22
Group 1 - The EU has implemented its strongest sanctions since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war, blacklisting 342 oil tankers, nearly doubling the previous count of 153 [1] - The sanctions include a wide range of measures such as mixed sanctions, human rights sanctions, and chemical weapons sanctions, indicating a new strategy to cut off the survival space of shadow oil tankers [3][4] - The sanctions target not only the shadow fleet but also key oil transportation companies like Surgutneftegas, aiming to sever Russia's funding sources [4] Group 2 - The Western countries were aware of the existence of shadow oil tankers but hesitated to act due to concerns over global oil supply stability, which reaches 10 million barrels per day [4] - The EU's previous oil price cap measures had limited effectiveness, with Russian oil revenues decreasing by 13.7% from March 2023 compared to March 2022, resulting in an estimated loss of $38 billion [4] - The shift in EU and US policy began last summer, with the UK leading efforts to strengthen sanctions against shadow oil tankers [6] Group 3 - The recent sanctions were partly triggered by political dynamics, including statements from former President Trump that angered the EU and prompted a more aggressive stance [8] - Italy has taken a strong position by preparing to provide military support to Ukraine, reflecting a broader shift in European policy towards direct military assistance [8][12] - The EU's decisive actions, including sanctions and military support, suggest a potential acceleration towards ending the conflict if this assertive approach continues [12]