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芯原股份(688521):在手订单连创新高,国产ASIC龙头加速腾飞
Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-25 11:37
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the benchmark index within the next 12 months [6][13]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 974 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.49%, despite a net loss of 320 million yuan [1]. - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 584 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 49.90%, with significant contributions from intellectual property licensing fees and mass production business [2]. - The company signed new orders worth 1.182 billion yuan in Q2 2025, marking a nearly 150% increase quarter-on-quarter, with a total order backlog of 3.025 billion yuan as of the end of Q2 2025, up 23.17% from the previous quarter [2]. - The company is expanding its presence in the data center/server market with its VPU, NPU, and GPGPU IP, and has established partnerships with leading AI computing clients [3]. - The company has a strong talent reserve, with 1,805 R&D personnel, accounting for 89.31% of its workforce, positioning it well for future market opportunities [4]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 3.324 billion yuan, 4.315 billion yuan, and 5.535 billion yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 43.2%, 29.8%, and 28.3% [5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to improve from a loss of 103 million yuan in 2025 to a profit of 313 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a significant turnaround [5]. - The price-to-sales (PS) ratios are expected to decrease from 25.0 in 2025 to 15.0 in 2027, indicating a potential increase in valuation as the company grows [5].
芯原股份(688521):25Q1营收高增 有望长期受益AIGC、自动驾驶、CHIPLET等新产业趋势
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:40
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 390 million yuan for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.49%, but incurred a net loss of 220 million yuan [1] - The gross margin improved to 39.06% in Q1 2025 from 33.34% in Q4 2024, indicating better cost management or pricing power [1] - The company continues to invest heavily in R&D, with an expenditure of 1.247 billion yuan planned for 2024 and 300 million yuan spent in Q1 2025 [1] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from downstream sectors such as system manufacturers, internet companies, cloud service providers, and automotive companies accounted for 37.3% of total revenue [3] - Consumer electronics revenue saw a significant year-on-year increase of 103.81%, making up 44.12% of total revenue [3] - Chip design business revenue reached 122 million yuan, up 40.75%, with 89.05% of this from 28nm and below process nodes [3] Business Segments and Growth Areas - The company is focusing on AIGC, data centers, intelligent driving systems, smart wearable devices, IoT, and Chiplet technologies [3] - In the AIGC sector, the company has 82 clients and 142 chip applications across various devices [3] - The automotive electronics segment has made strides in cockpit and autonomous driving technologies, with multiple IPs adopted by automotive chip companies [3] Investment Outlook - The company is positioned as a leading IP and custom chip service provider, expected to benefit from trends in cloud-side AI, edge AI, autonomous driving, and advanced packaging [4] - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are 2.902 billion yuan, 3.512 billion yuan, and 4.32 billion yuan respectively, with net losses expected to decrease over the same period [4] - The target price is set at 104.3 yuan, based on an 18x PS for 2025, maintaining an "Accumulate-A" investment rating [4]