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技術面與產品面結合:剖析人壽當前市況下的窩輪選項
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-04 19:55
衍生工具市場的歷史表現,清晰地揭示了槓桿產品的威力。回顧12月2日的行情,當中國人壽正股下跌3.00%時,相關看淡工具獲得了驚人的回報。法興熊 證(53450)和瑞銀熊證(53368)在兩日內均飆升23%,而認沽證如摩通認沽證(22245)亦有16%的進賬。這再次強有力地證明,在正股出現明確方向性波動時, 衍生工具憑藉其內置槓桿,能將正股有限的波動轉化為工具本身顯著的價格變動,從而放大投資回報。 對於接下來的部署,市場為多空雙方均提供了選擇。若投資者認同動量指標的買入信號並看好突破,可關注兩類產品。認購證方面,摩利認購證(19256) 以 其同類最低的溢價,以及較為理想的引伸波幅與槓桿組合,成為成本效益突出的看漲選擇;瑞銀認購證(18990) 則提供了溢價相對較低的另一選項。牛證方 面,滙豐牛證(53264) 和瑞銀牛證(53357) 提供超過8倍的實際槓桿,是追蹤上漲的高效工具,其收回價設於24元,與現價保持了一定安全距離。 中國人壽(02628)股價近期展現出企穩跡象,目前於26.68元水準整固,升幅1.37%,股價報26.68元。同板塊的中國平安(02318.HK)升幅0.27%,股價報56.55 元; ...
匯豐短線衝刺!技術信號轉強如何部署?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-30 21:14
Core Viewpoint - HSBC Holdings has shown notable upward momentum after breaking through key resistance levels, with a recent price increase of 2.16% to 108.8 HKD, attracting significant market attention [1] Technical Analysis - HSBC is at a critical decision point regarding its short-term price movement, with mixed signals from various technical indicators [1] - Short-term key support is identified at 102.6 HKD, with strong support at 98.4 HKD; on the upside, a breakthrough of 110.5 HKD could lead to a challenge of the higher target at 114.6 HKD [3] - The probability of a short-term price increase for HSBC is estimated at 55%, with a daily average volatility of 5%, providing ample room for short-term trading [3] Derivative Products - The market offers a variety of attractive options for structured products, with notable performance from bull certificates during recent price increases [3] - UBS call options (18901) offer a leverage of 18.8 times with a strike price of 118.88 HKD, appealing to aggressive investors seeking cost efficiency [5] - For conservative investors, the Bank of China call option (19105) provides a leverage of 16.6 times with a relatively low implied volatility [5] Market Sentiment - HSBC's performance as a blue-chip stock often influences the broader market direction, with multiple indicators suggesting continued upward movement [10]