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冠盛股份(605088):北美无惧关税扰动,非经常项目和减值拖累盈利
CMS· 2025-09-03 08:01
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][4]. Core Views - The company reported Q2 revenue of 1.14 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.7%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company for Q2 was 80 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 14.8% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7.3% [1][2]. - North American revenue for the first half of the year reached 530 million yuan, representing a robust year-on-year growth of 18.8%, indicating strong growth resilience despite tariff disruptions [1][7]. - The report highlights that non-recurring items and impairment losses have impacted profitability, while gross margin remained stable [2][7]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 3.18 billion yuan in 2023, 4.02 billion yuan in 2024, and 4.51 billion yuan in 2025, with year-on-year growth rates of 8%, 26%, and 12% respectively [3][15]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 284 million yuan in 2023, 298 million yuan in 2024, and 363 million yuan in 2025, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 19%, 5%, and 22% [3][15]. - The report provides a target P/E ratio of 20.9x for 2025, decreasing to 14.3x by 2027, indicating a positive outlook for earnings growth [7][15]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - The company achieved a total revenue of 2.03 billion yuan in the first half of the year, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 8.2%. Q2 revenue was 1.14 billion yuan, with domestic and European markets dragging down growth, while U.S. revenue showed resilience [7][8]. - The gross margin for the first half of the year was 25.3%, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, while Q2 gross margin was 25.4%, stable compared to the previous quarter [7][15]. - The report notes that the company has three growth drivers: category expansion, platform transformation, and channel penetration, alongside a stable core business and entry into solid-state batteries, which could provide a second growth curve [7][8].
冠盛股份(605088):2024年年报点评:24年业绩基本符合预期,加快推进固态电池业务
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-04-05 04:20
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative performance increase of 5% to 15% over the next 6 to 12 months compared to the benchmark index [3][13]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 4,020 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 26%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 298 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 5% [4][6]. - The company is actively advancing its solid-state battery business, having established a research institute in collaboration with Dongchi to enhance R&D and industrialization efforts [8][9]. - The company’s revenue growth is robust across various regions, with North America showing a significant increase of 42% year-on-year [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 4,020 million yuan, with a growth rate of 26% year-on-year. The net profit was 298 million yuan, reflecting a 5% increase [4][6]. - The company’s gross margin for 2024 was 25.51%, a decrease of 0.70 percentage points compared to the previous year, primarily due to the impact of lower-margin products [7]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue by region in 2024: Europe 1,470 million yuan (+14% YoY), North America 910 million yuan (+42% YoY), Asia and Africa 710 million yuan (+13% YoY), domestic 600 million yuan (+78% YoY), South America 320 million yuan (+19% YoY) [6]. - Revenue by product in 2024: Drive shafts 1,480 million yuan (+23% YoY), constant velocity joints 580 million yuan (+9% YoY), wheel hub bearings 660 million yuan (+27% YoY), rubber dampers 390 million yuan (+23% YoY), corner modules 420 million yuan (+40% YoY), and other revenues 480 million yuan (+66% YoY) [6]. Profitability and Cost Analysis - The company incurred sales, management, and R&D expenses totaling 601 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 26.46% [7]. - Financial expenses increased to 1.23 million yuan, primarily due to higher convertible bond interest expenses and reduced exchange gains [7]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits of 381 million yuan, 475 million yuan, and 582 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 16, 13, and 11 [9][11]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the industrialization progress of the solid-state battery business, which could provide significant growth potential [9].
冠盛股份(605088):2024年业绩稳健增长,估值下有底上有力
Huaan Securities· 2025-04-01 07:44
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve steady growth in 2024, with projected revenue of 40.20 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 2.98 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5% [7] - The company has shown strong revenue growth in North America and domestically, with new products continuously being developed [7] - The automotive aftermarket is considered to have stable attributes, and the company's high growth in revenue in North America and domestically is expected to be sustainable [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2024 is projected at 40.20 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 26.4% [6] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 2.98 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 4.8% [6] - The gross profit margin for 2024 is projected to be 25.5%, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The company anticipates a net profit of 3.8 billion yuan in 2025, 4.6 billion yuan in 2026, and 5.8 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 28%, 20%, and 28% [7] Regional Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, revenue from Europe is expected to be 14.7 billion yuan (up 14% year-on-year), North America 9.1 billion yuan (up 42%), Asia and Africa 7.1 billion yuan (up 13%), domestic revenue 6.0 billion yuan (up 78%), and South America 3.2 billion yuan (up 19%) [7] - The revenue from the product categories includes: drive shafts 14.8 billion yuan (up 23%), constant velocity joints 5.8 billion yuan (up 9%), hub bearings 6.6 billion yuan (up 27%), rubber dampers 3.9 billion yuan (up 23%), corner modules 4.2 billion yuan (up 40%), and others 4.8 billion yuan (up 66%) [7] Valuation Metrics - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 18.04, 15.04, and 11.79 respectively [6] - The projected P/B ratios for the same years are 2.42, 2.08, and 1.77 [6] - The EV/EBITDA ratios are projected to be 12.49, 10.44, and 8.26 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6]