Core Viewpoint - The article analyzes the performance of various private equity funds in the first half of 2025, highlighting the average win rates and returns across different fund sizes and strategies, with a notable emphasis on the superiority of quantitative strategies over subjective ones [2][10]. Group 1: Overall Performance - In the first half of 2025, 2,592 stock strategy products had an average win rate of 56.34%, with 979 products achieving a win rate above 60%, accounting for approximately 37.78% [2][4]. - The average win rates by fund size are as follows: over 100 billion (58.22%), 50-100 billion (57.63%), 20-50 billion (57.29%), 10-20 billion (57.08%), 5-10 billion (55.61%), and 0-5 billion (55.40%) [2][4]. Group 2: Performance by Strategy - Among 1,752 subjective long products, the average win rate was 54.76% with an average return of 11.51%, while 592 quantitative long products had an average win rate of 59.38% and an average return of 17.54%, indicating that quantitative products outperformed subjective ones in both metrics [2][10]. Group 3: Top Performing Funds - The top-performing products in the over 100 billion category included "微观博易-宝途二号B类份额" managed by 微观博易, achieving a win rate of ***% and a return of ***% [5][7]. - In the 50-100 billion category, "同犇22期" managed by 同犇投资 had the highest return of ***% and a win rate of ***% [11][13]. - The leading product in the 20-50 billion category was "盛冠达股票量化2号C类份额" managed by 盛冠达, with a win rate of ***% and a return of ***% [16][19]. - For the 10-20 billion category, "上海晨鸣精选A类份额" managed by 晨耀私募 had a win rate of ***% and a return of ***% [20][21]. - In the 5-10 billion category, "量盈日升专享1号A类份额" managed by 量盈投资 achieved a win rate of ***% and a return of ***% [23][25]. - The top product in the 0-5 billion category was "九招股票量化多头一号B类份额" managed by 九招基金, with a win rate of ***% and a return of ***% [27][29].

Market Overview - After a rapid rise in the A-share market by the end of September 2024, the market has maintained a relatively high level of volatility over the past six months, with most major indices showing a decline [2] - The A-share indices mostly experienced a drop, with the small-cap index, CSI 2000, showing relative strength, while the Shanghai Composite Index barely closed in the green due to support from the banking sector [2] - The Hong Kong stock market performed relatively well due to cheaper valuations compared to A-shares and significant foreign capital inflows, while the US stock market saw slight declines due to high positioning and external shocks [2] Performance Summary - A-share indices performance over the past six months includes: - Shanghai Composite Index: +0.63% - Shenzhen Component Index: -5.38% - ChiNext Index: -10.38% - CSI 300: -1.95% - CSI 500: -3.09% - CSI 1000: -2.63% - CSI 2000: +2.92% - Hong Kong indices showed significant gains: - Hang Seng Index: +19.90% - Hang Seng Tech Index: +18.76% - US indices experienced slight declines: - Dow Jones Industrial Average: +5.88% - S&P 500: -2.00% - Nasdaq: -0.54% [4] Private Equity Fund Performance - Among the 507 private equity products with performance data available, the average return over the past six months was approximately 6.22%, while the average return over the past year was about 21.10% [5] - Equity strategy products accounted for over 80% of the total, with an average return of 6.57%, outperforming major A-share indices [5] - Quantitative long-only products showed an average return of over 11%, leading other strategy products, while macro strategy products followed closely with returns exceeding 9% [5] Top Performing Products - The top 10 quantitative long-only products significantly outperformed the A-share indices, with the leading product being "Longqi Stock Quantitative Long No. 1" managed by Longqi Technology, achieving near ***% returns over the past six months [7][9] - The top 10 subjective long-only products had an average return of 1.07% over the past six months, with "Rido Investment" leading the pack [10][14] - The top 10 multi-asset strategy products included "Honghu Stable Macro Hedge A Class" managed by Liang Wentao, which is the largest product by scale among the top performers [22][24] Investment Insights - Wang Wen from Rido Investment believes that the A-share market has completed its bottoming process and is entering a historical opportunity for value re-evaluation, predicting a significant upward trend [14][16] - The investment strategy focuses on five dimensions: low valuation, high cash flow, high dividends, industry growth, and positive fundamental changes, with a particular interest in the entertainment and financial sectors [16]