以下文章来源于做配置的小雪 ，作者做配置的小雪 做配置的小雪 . 曾经幻想暴富，现实变成暴负，投资只能慢慢变富～ ↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 今年一共有6个奖项，每个奖项奖金是1100万瑞典克朗，也就是说，今年一年的奖金支出就有6600万。 但是在124年前，诺贝尔只留下了3100万瑞典克朗，如果只靠这笔钱，连今年的奖金都不够支付，更别提过去一个多世纪的巨额奖金了。 但事实是， 诺贝尔留下的这笔资产，不仅没有花完，还比最初的金额增值了200倍，诺奖单项奖金也从最初的15万瑞典克朗，涨到了1100万瑞典 克朗。 一、从3100万到61亿，诺奖靠多资产策略让钱生钱 诺贝尔的遗产由诺贝尔基金会管理，基金会负责拿着钱去做投资，不过，投资之路并不是一成不变，一共经历了三个阶段： 1、保守起步：局限于安全资产 基金成立初期，受诺贝尔的遗嘱限制，只能投资安全资产，比如国债和定期存款。 这种策略虽然保住了本金，但是收益率极低，在前50年里，收益率仅2%～3%，甚至无法跑赢通胀，到了1945年，诺奖单项奖金的实际购买力， 相比1901年已经缩水超过七成，基金会一度入不敷出，难以保证奖金顺利支出。 2、历史性转折：拥抱股票 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the banking sector, indicating expected performance above the market benchmark by over 10% [5][40]. Core Insights - The impact of new fund sales regulations is manageable, with expectations that the formal implementation will likely occur in the second half of 2026, thus reducing potential redemption pressures on bond funds [1]. - The overall scale of wealth management products has slightly decreased, with a total of 30.8 trillion yuan at the end of September, reflecting a month-on-month decline of approximately 0.4 trillion yuan [1][12]. - A balanced allocation between equities and bonds is essential for managing product value fluctuations while pursuing returns, likening bonds to an "engine" for stability and equities to an "accelerator" for growth [2]. - The development of multi-asset strategies is crucial for creating diverse revenue sources and managing risks, with a focus on incorporating commodities, quantitative strategies, and alternative assets into product offerings [3]. Summary by Sections Market Trends - The weighted average annualized yield of bank wealth management products in September 2025 was 1.68%, a decrease of 35 basis points from the previous month [11]. - The initial fundraising scale for newly issued products in September was 342.2 billion yuan, primarily consisting of fixed-income products [18]. Product Performance - Most maturing wealth management products in September met their performance benchmarks, with 2,141 closed-end products reaching their targets [27]. - The average performance benchmark for newly issued products in September was 2.42%, continuing a downward trend [18]. Asset Allocation - The primary assets in bank wealth management products include bonds (mainly high-grade credit bonds), equities (primarily through outsourced investments), and non-standard assets, with recent performance data provided [30].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the banking sector, indicating that it expects the sector to perform better than the market benchmark by over 10% in the next 6 to 12 months [5][40]. Core Insights - The impact of new fund sales regulations is manageable, with expectations that the formal implementation will likely occur in the second half of 2026, thus reducing the anticipated redemption pressure on bond funds [1]. - The overall scale of wealth management products has slightly decreased, with a total of 30.8 trillion yuan at the end of September, reflecting a month-on-month decline of approximately 0.4 billion yuan [1][12]. - A balanced allocation between equities and bonds is crucial for managing product value fluctuations while pursuing returns, likening bonds to an "engine" for stability and equities to an "accelerator" for growth [2]. - The development of multi-asset strategies is essential for creating diverse revenue sources and managing risks, with a focus on incorporating various asset classes such as commodities and derivatives [3]. Summary by Sections Market Trends - The weighted average annualized return of bank wealth management products in September was 1.68%, a decrease of 35 basis points from the previous month [11]. - The initial fundraising scale for newly issued products in September was 342.2 billion yuan, primarily consisting of fixed-income products [18]. Product Performance - Most maturing wealth management products in September met their performance benchmarks, with 2,141 closed-end products reaching their targets [27]. - The average performance benchmark for newly issued products in September was 2.42%, continuing a downward trend [18]. Asset Allocation - The primary assets in bank wealth management products include bonds, equities, and non-standard assets, with a focus on high-grade credit bonds [30].

9月22日，"投资·向善"复旦管院·兴动ESG大讲堂暨高校基金会慈善资产管理研讨会举行，兴证全球基金 党委书记、副总经理陈锦泉出席会议并致辞。 陈锦泉指出，良好的投资离不开有活力的经济和有利的市场环境。今年以来，面对贸易摩擦等挑战，政 府陆续推出刺激消费、反"内卷"、推动雅砻江水电建设、探索建设海南自由贸易港等举措，体现出中国 经济的强大韧性。在多重压力测试之下，一批具有持续盈利能力和核心竞争力的优质企业逐渐脱颖而 出。他认为，在低利率环境中，权益资产仍具备持续吸引力；面对"资产荒"和流动性充裕的市场环境， 聚焦真正具备核心竞争力的企业，仍是获取超额回报的有效途径。 当前投资环境日趋复杂，因此除权益资产外，会议还探讨了大类资产配置与多资产策略。除了市场展 望，与会嘉宾也深入交流了高校基金会资产管理在新形势下的发展路径。兴证全球基金期待通过本次研 讨会，进一步促进高校基金会与资产管理机构之间的理解与合作，携手成为价值共创、共同成长、长期 陪伴的同行者。 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 责任编辑：石秀珍 SF183 陈锦泉表示，长期以来，兴证全球基金与多家高校基金会保持了深入合作。公司始终坚持风险控制、长 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the performance of private equity funds in the range of 5-10 billion, indicating a strong average return of 24.25% year-to-date, with stock strategy products significantly outperforming the market [1][2]. Group 1: Performance Overview - There are 570 products under private equity funds with performance data, totaling approximately 951.82 billion yuan, with an average return of 24.25% this year [1][2]. - Stock strategy products, totaling 470, have an average return of 26.58%, outperforming the market significantly [1][2]. - Futures and derivatives strategy products have lagged behind, with only 25 products showing an average return of 6.04% this year [1][2]. Group 2: Strategy Breakdown - The performance of various strategies is as follows: - Stock Strategy: 470 products, 7,909,036.93 million yuan, 8-month return of 6.23%, year-to-date return of 26.58% [2]. - Multi-Asset Strategy: 79 products, 1,083,120.75 million yuan, 8-month return of 5.79%, year-to-date return of 17.97% [2]. - Futures and Derivatives Strategy: 25 products, 241,368.31 million yuan, 8-month return of 1.24%, year-to-date return of 6.04% [2]. - Bond Strategy: 17 products, 228,625.42 million yuan, 8-month return of 1.32%, year-to-date return of 5.66% [2]. - Combination Fund: 3 products, 56,001.36 million yuan, 8-month return of 9.33%, year-to-date return of 31.87% [2]. Group 3: Quantitative Strategy Performance - There are 76 quantitative long products with an average return of 36.30% year-to-date, outperforming the average [3][4]. - The top three quantitative long products for the year are from Pansong Asset, Beiyang Quantitative, and Zhengying Asset [4]. Group 4: Subjective Long Strategy Performance - 82 subjective long products have an average return of 30.86% year-to-date, benefiting from a strong equity market [7][8]. - The top three subjective long products are from Yuanxin Investment, Tongben Investment, and Kangmand Capital [8]. Group 5: Market Neutral Strategy Performance - 37 market-neutral products have an average return of 6.53% year-to-date, with the top three products from Pansong Investment, Liangkui Private Equity, and Pansong Asset [11][12]. Group 6: Multi-Asset Strategy Performance - 79 multi-asset strategy products have an average return of 14.51% year-to-date, with the top three products from Guoyuan Xinda, Luoshu Investment, and Chanlong Asset [13][14]. Group 7: Futures and Derivatives Strategy Performance - 52 futures and derivatives strategy products have an average return of 8.92% year-to-date, with the top three products from Hongxi Fund, Luoshu Investment, and Jiahong Fund [15][16].

本文首发于公众号"私募排排网"。 （点击↑↑ 上图查看详情 ） 8月份，A股三大股指继续强势上涨，同时，成交额来到了历史高位水平，市场交投活跃。8月份，上证指数的涨幅为7.97%，深证成指的涨幅为 15.32%，创业板指的涨幅为24.13%。 在这样的市场背景下， 有 3321只私募产品（在私募排排网有业绩展示且成立满1年）在今年8月份净值曾创下历史新高，占成立满1年的私募产 品的比例约为71.19%。 按产品类型来看，量化产品占 1303只，非量化产品占2018只 。 按照产品策略（一级策略）来看，股票策略产品最多（主要是主观多头和量化 多头），有 2135只，占比约64%； 其次是多资产策略产品占471只，期货及衍生品策略产品占305只，债券策略产品占302只，组合基金产品占 108只。 按公司规模来看，来自5亿以下规模私募的产品最多，有1347只，占比超4成；来自百亿私募的产品有456只。 为了给读者提供一些参考， 笔者在创新高私募产品中按照产品策略分别梳理出了 "股票策略-主观多头、股票策略-量化多头、期货及衍生品策 略、多资产策略、债券策略"近一年收益居前20强的私募产品（公司规模在5亿以上）； 此 ...

Core Insights - Since 2025, private equity securities products have shown significant profitability, with an average return of 20.41%, and stock strategy products achieving an impressive average return of 15.38% [1] - As of August 31, there are 10,135 private equity securities products with performance records, of which 9,208 have generated positive returns, resulting in a high positive return ratio of 90.85% [1] - Among various strategies, stock strategies have outperformed, benefiting from the structural market trends in A-shares, with 6,473 stock strategy products recording an average return of 25.38% and a positive return ratio of 93.09% [1] Stock Strategy Analysis - Within stock strategies, quantitative long strategies have excelled in the mid and small-cap market, with 1,303 products showing a positive return ratio of 96.24% and an average return of 31.84% [2] - In contrast, subjective long strategies have a positive return ratio of 92.68% but a lower average return of 25.62%, indicating a significant performance gap compared to quantitative strategies [2] - Multi-asset strategies follow closely with an average return of 15.61%, primarily due to timely allocation to stock assets, with 1,279 products showing a positive return ratio of 89.91% [2] Market Outlook - The rise in the A-share market is attributed to multiple factors, including policy adjustments, improved liquidity, and enhanced economic fundamentals, as analyzed by Fidelity International's economist Liu Peiqian [2] - Upcoming tourism expenditure data and weekly real estate transaction data are expected to serve as important indicators for observing the pace of economic recovery [2] - Looking ahead, the market is anticipated to continue a trend of oscillating upward, with a gradual shift towards large-cap growth stocks, focusing on sectors with low penetration rates such as AI computing power, semiconductor autonomy, solid-state batteries, humanoid robots, satellites, controllable nuclear fusion, and innovative pharmaceuticals [2]

Core Viewpoint - Since 2019, there has been a significant increase in Chinese residents' deposits, particularly from mid-2022 to mid-2023, leading to a large excess deposit scale that has attracted attention from economists and market investors. The concept of "deposit migration" has gained traction in macroeconomic and A-share strategy research, prompting discussions on its implications for the A-share market [5][19]. Group 1: Macroeconomic Implications - The recent acceleration in fiscal spending has led to a shift of fiscal deposits to corporate deposits, indicating an improvement in corporate cash reserves and a rise in economic vitality [5][9]. - Historical data suggests that the year-on-year difference in corporate-resident deposits can predict A-share corporate earnings with a one-year lead, indicating that improvements in resident deposits often reflect positively on corporate performance a year later [7]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The migration of deposits from banks to non-bank financial institutions signifies an influx of funds into the stock market, as lower deposit rates and increasing attractiveness of equity assets drive this trend. This is expected to push up A-share valuations and indices [9][10]. - The proportion of new resident deposits to nominal GDP has historically shown that significant increases in deposits correlate with economic downturns, while decreases often align with economic recoveries, suggesting a cyclical relationship between deposit levels and market performance [10][12]. Group 3: Indicators and Predictions - The AIAE (Investor Asset Allocation Equity) ratio is proposed as a better indicator for tracking deposit migration and its impact on A-shares, reflecting changes in investor preferences between risk and safe assets [13][14]. - Current AIAE levels indicate that there is still considerable room for growth, suggesting potential upward movement in the A-share market as investor preferences shift [15]. Group 4: Long-term Fund Inflows - Insurance and wealth management products are expected to channel approximately 700 billion yuan into the stock market this year, driven by high growth in premium income and the need to address asset shortages [29][35]. - The establishment of dedicated funds for long-term investments by insurance companies is expected to further solidify the trend of "deposit migration" into the equity market, providing a stable source of capital [30][41]. Group 5: Challenges and Opportunities - The decline in yields from insurance and wealth management products is prompting a shift in investor behavior, increasing the motivation for "deposit migration" towards higher-yielding assets [36][37]. - The current low-interest environment is making "fixed income plus" and multi-asset strategies more attractive, as they offer better risk-return profiles compared to traditional deposits [39][41]. Group 6: Market Sentiment and Future Trends - The entry of high-risk preference funds into the market is influenced by overall market conditions, with a potential shift towards growth sectors as economic fundamentals improve [45][49]. - ETFs are anticipated to become a primary channel for individual investors to enter the market, particularly as market sentiment improves and personal investment activity increases [52][54].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the strong performance of the stock market and private equity funds in July, with significant increases in various indices and a surge in the number of private equity fund registrations, indicating renewed investor confidence [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - In July, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 3.74%, surpassing 3600 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 5.20%, and the ChiNext Index saw an 8.14% rise [1]. - The Nanhua Commodity Index experienced a monthly increase of 3.80%, with industrial products up by 4.86% and black products rising by 8.52% [1]. Group 2: Private Equity Fund Trends - July marked a peak in private equity fund registrations, with the number of registered private equity securities funds reaching a 27-month high, primarily focusing on stock strategies, multi-asset strategies, and futures and derivatives strategies [1]. - As of July 2025, there were 4425 private equity products that met ranking criteria, with stock strategies (2737 products), futures and derivatives strategies (617 products), and multi-asset strategies (602 products) making up nearly 90% of the total [1]. Group 3: Performance of Private Equity Strategies - The average returns for various strategies as of July 2025 are as follows: - Stock strategies: 19.04% (year-to-date), 45.10% (1-year), 45.54% (3-year) - Futures and derivatives strategies: 7.45% (year-to-date), 18.01% (1-year), 38.92% (3-year) - Multi-asset strategies: 11.58% (year-to-date), 29.40% (1-year), 41.98% (3-year) - Overall average return for all products: 15.23% (year-to-date), 36.26% (1-year), 42.96% (3-year) [2]. Group 4: Top Private Equity Firms - The top three private equity firms in stock strategies based on year-to-date returns are: - Tongben Investment - Fusheng Asset - Wenbo Investment [3]. - For multi-asset strategies, the leading firms are: - Guoyuan Xinda - Junchen Asset - Yiying Asset [7]. - In the futures and derivatives strategies category, the top firms are: - Shenzhen Liangdao Investment - Hongxi Fund - Junchen Asset [11].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the outstanding performance of private equity funds in the A-share market, with an average return of 11.94% for 11,880 private securities products as of July, 86.97% of which achieved positive returns [1] - Stock strategies have shown particularly strong performance, with 7,760 stock strategy products averaging a return of 14.5%, leading among five major strategies, and 88.2% of these products achieving positive returns [1][2] - Top private equity firms have outperformed the industry average, with 55 billion-level private equity firms averaging a return of 16.6%, and 98.18% of them achieving positive returns [1] Group 2 - Multi-asset strategies follow closely behind stock strategies, with 1,364 multi-asset strategy products averaging a return of 9.59%, and 86.66% of these products achieving positive returns [2] - Combination funds have shown stable performance, with 405 combination funds averaging a return of 8.57%, and 92.10% of these products achieving positive returns [2] - In the bond strategy sector, 1,076 bond strategy products have averaged a return of 5.16%, with 91.54% achieving positive returns [3] Group 3 - The outlook for the market is optimistic, supported by reduced global trade uncertainties and the effectiveness of China's economic structural adjustments, with a focus on sectors like technology, innovative pharmaceuticals, and non-bank financials [3] - The company maintains a high position in its portfolio, particularly in sectors such as overseas AI, domestic computing power, and new consumption [3]