上周末，公募基金行业迎来了一份分量极重的文件——《基金管理公司绩效考核管理指引（征求意见 稿）》。 临近年末，"钱怎么分"本就是触动打工人神经的敏感话题，再加上这份文件里一些非常具体的规定，瞬 间引发了整个行业的讨论。 其中，杀伤力最大的一条是，明确规定基金经理" 过去三年产品业绩低于业绩比较基准超过10%且基金 利润率为负的，其绩效薪酬应当较上一年明显下降，降幅不得少于30% "。 这条"降薪标准"的打击面有多广？ 根据《财经杂志》的统计，仅以 2023 年以来的三年时间为考量，公募有近千名主动权益基金经理业绩 跑输基准超过 10%，其中不乏张坤、葛兰、赵诣、刘格菘、刘彦春、胡昕炜等一批规模较大、名声较 响的公募主观多头大将[1]。 因此，《征求意见稿》一出，公募基金也再度陷入投研人才流失的担忧之中。毕竟外面还有一个能 收"2%管理费+20%业绩报酬"的私募场子，"公转私"过去二十年里，也都是一条熙熙攘攘的变现之 道。 然而，放在 2025 年，这样的思维定式似乎正在经受财富管理行业的残酷洗礼。 最核心的变量，自然是量化私募。 从十年前的"另类配置"变成了如今高净值人群的"核心底仓"，量化在过去三年走到了真 ...

2025 年 12 月 02 日 '发基金杨冬:团队赋能,"主观+量 化" 打造多策略产品矩阵 基金经理研究系列报告之八十七 证券分析师 白皓天 A0230525070001 haiht@swsresearch.com 蒋辛 A0230521080002 jiangxin@swsresearch.com 邓虎 A0230520070003 denghu@swsresearch.com 联系人 白皓天 A0230525070001 baiht@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 相关研究 基金经理简介:杨冬，金融学硕士，毕业于中国人民银行研究生部（清华大学五道口金融 学院前身），19年证券从业经历，16年投资管理经验。2006年９月至今在广发基金管 理有限公司工作,现任广发基金总经理助理、基金经理、专户投资决策委员会成员,兼任 资产管理计划投资经理,在管广发多因子在内的共计 8 只公募基金,在管规模合计 250.65 亿元。 "主观+量化"下的多策略投资：在"主动+量化"这个近年来全球资管行业的热点领域 ● 里,杨冬较早带领团队对主观研究和量化投资相 ...

Core Insights - The A-share market continued its strong performance in September, with all three major indices rising, while gold prices surged due to multiple factors including the onset of the Federal Reserve's rate cut cycle and central bank gold purchases [2] - Despite the strong market performance, the subjective long/short and quantitative long strategies underperformed in September, with average returns of 3.11% and 1.37% respectively, while macro strategies excelled with an average return of 4.08% [2] - Over a longer time frame, macro strategies have shown superior performance, with average returns of 22.45% and 75.33% over the year and the past three years respectively, highlighting their flexibility in capturing asset rotation opportunities [2] Strategy Performance Summary - **Macro Strategy**: 218 products, average return of 4.08% this year, 22.45% over the year, and 75.33% over three years [3] - **Subjective Long/Short**: 2120 products, average return of 3.11% this year, 34.08% over the year [3] - **Quantitative Long**: 862 products, average return of 1.37% this year, 36.94% over the year [3] - **Other Derivative Strategies**: 16 products, average return of 5.17% this year, 18.77% over the year [3] Top Macro Strategy Products - For products with over 5 billion in assets, the top three macro strategies over the past three years are managed by 久期投资 and 泓湖私募, with average returns of 69.86% [4][5] - The leading product in the 10-50 billion category is "路远睿泽稳增" managed by 路文韬, with significant returns [9] - In the 0-10 billion category, "石泉宏观对冲" managed by 孙旭 leads with impressive returns [12] Notable Fund Managers - 梁文涛 from 泓湖私募 is recognized for his strong performance and has a background in macro strategies [4] - 李蓓 from 半夏投资 has shown a significant rebound in performance this year after previous underperformance [6] - 路文韬 from 路远私募 has focused on gold and military sectors, indicating a strategic shift in asset allocation [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of stock strategy products in the context of increased market volatility due to tariffs, policy shifts, and geopolitical conflicts, emphasizing the importance of the Sharpe ratio as a measure of risk-adjusted returns [1][18]. Summary by Sections Overall Market Performance - Over the past three years, the average Sharpe ratio for stock strategy products was 0.69, with an average return of 64.17%. Among 1,723 products, 333 had a Sharpe ratio greater than 1, representing 19.33% of the total [1]. Top Products by Size Categories - **100 Billion and Above**: - The top product was "Junzhijian Junxin" managed by Zhang Youjun and Zhang Yichi, achieving a Sharpe ratio of *** and a return of ***% [4]. - Seven out of ten top products were subjective long strategies, with Junzhijian Investment holding half of the top spots [4]. - **50-100 Billion**: - "Pingfanghe Caiying Balanced No. 1 B Class" from Pingfanghe Investment topped this category with a return of ***% and a Sharpe ratio of *** [6][7]. - Six out of ten products were subjective long strategies, with two products each from Qianhai Bopu Asset and Kaishi Private Equity [6]. - **20-50 Billion**: - "Anzi Geek Multi-Strategy No. 1 A Class" managed by Li Jing was the top performer with a return of ***% and a Sharpe ratio of *** [10]. - Four subjective long and four quantitative long products made the top ten list [10]. - **10-20 Billion**: - "Jilu No. 11" from Jilu Asset achieved the highest return of ***% and a Sharpe ratio of *** [12]. - The top three products were all quantitative long strategies [12]. - **5-10 Billion**: - "Beiheng No. 2" managed by Zhou Yixing led this category with a return of ***% and a Sharpe ratio of *** [14]. - All top eight products were subjective long strategies [13]. - **0-5 Billion**: - The highest entry threshold was noted in this category, with "Saisuo Stable Profit No. 1" leading with a return of ***% and a Sharpe ratio of *** [15][16]. - Seven out of ten products were subjective long strategies [15].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the performance of private equity funds in the range of 5-10 billion, indicating a strong average return of 24.25% year-to-date, with stock strategy products significantly outperforming the market [1][2]. Group 1: Performance Overview - There are 570 products under private equity funds with performance data, totaling approximately 951.82 billion yuan, with an average return of 24.25% this year [1][2]. - Stock strategy products, totaling 470, have an average return of 26.58%, outperforming the market significantly [1][2]. - Futures and derivatives strategy products have lagged behind, with only 25 products showing an average return of 6.04% this year [1][2]. Group 2: Strategy Breakdown - The performance of various strategies is as follows: - Stock Strategy: 470 products, 7,909,036.93 million yuan, 8-month return of 6.23%, year-to-date return of 26.58% [2]. - Multi-Asset Strategy: 79 products, 1,083,120.75 million yuan, 8-month return of 5.79%, year-to-date return of 17.97% [2]. - Futures and Derivatives Strategy: 25 products, 241,368.31 million yuan, 8-month return of 1.24%, year-to-date return of 6.04% [2]. - Bond Strategy: 17 products, 228,625.42 million yuan, 8-month return of 1.32%, year-to-date return of 5.66% [2]. - Combination Fund: 3 products, 56,001.36 million yuan, 8-month return of 9.33%, year-to-date return of 31.87% [2]. Group 3: Quantitative Strategy Performance - There are 76 quantitative long products with an average return of 36.30% year-to-date, outperforming the average [3][4]. - The top three quantitative long products for the year are from Pansong Asset, Beiyang Quantitative, and Zhengying Asset [4]. Group 4: Subjective Long Strategy Performance - 82 subjective long products have an average return of 30.86% year-to-date, benefiting from a strong equity market [7][8]. - The top three subjective long products are from Yuanxin Investment, Tongben Investment, and Kangmand Capital [8]. Group 5: Market Neutral Strategy Performance - 37 market-neutral products have an average return of 6.53% year-to-date, with the top three products from Pansong Investment, Liangkui Private Equity, and Pansong Asset [11][12]. Group 6: Multi-Asset Strategy Performance - 79 multi-asset strategy products have an average return of 14.51% year-to-date, with the top three products from Guoyuan Xinda, Luoshu Investment, and Chanlong Asset [13][14]. Group 7: Futures and Derivatives Strategy Performance - 52 futures and derivatives strategy products have an average return of 8.92% year-to-date, with the top three products from Hongxi Fund, Luoshu Investment, and Jiahong Fund [15][16].

Market Overview - In August, A-shares continued to rise strongly, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 7.97%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 15.32%, and the ChiNext Index by 24.13% [1] - The trading volume reached historical highs, indicating active market participation [1] Private Fund Performance - A total of 3,321 private fund products reached historical net asset value highs in August, representing approximately 71.19% of private funds established for over one year [1] - Among these, quantitative products accounted for 1,303, while non-quantitative products made up 2,018 [1] Product Strategy Breakdown - The majority of products employed stock strategies, with 2,135 products (about 64%), followed by multi-asset strategies (471), futures and derivatives strategies (305), bond strategies (302), and combination fund products (108) [1] Company Size Analysis - The largest share of products came from private funds with assets under management (AUM) below 500 million, totaling 1,347 products, which is over 40% of the total [2] - There were 456 products from private funds with AUM exceeding 10 billion [2] Top Performing Private Funds - A list of top-performing private funds was compiled, focusing on those with stock strategies, multi-asset strategies, futures and derivatives strategies, and bond strategies [2] - Notably, 20 private fund companies had all their products reach historical highs in August, with 13 being quantitative and 7 being subjective [2] Long-Term Performance - Among the private funds that reached historical highs, 33 products have been established for over 10 years, with 25 of them achieving annualized returns exceeding 10% [6] - Five products achieved annualized returns over 20%, with four of them being from large private funds [6] Quantitative Strategy Highlights - In the category of quantitative long-only stock strategies, there were 512 products that reached historical highs, with the top performers having a return threshold close to ***% [10] - The leading products in this category were from Hanrong Investment, Liangying Investment, and others [10] Subjective Strategy Highlights - For subjective long-only stock strategies, there were 650 products that reached historical highs, with the top five performers coming from Beijing Xiyue Private Fund, Shanghai Ge Ru Private Fund, and others [15] Multi-Asset Strategy Insights - In the multi-asset strategy category, 286 products reached historical highs, with the top five performers including Tianhui (Shanghai) Private Fund and others [18] Futures and Derivatives Strategy Performance - There were 137 products in the futures and derivatives strategy category that reached historical highs, with the top five coming from Shenyuan Asset and others [23] Bond Strategy Dominance - In the bond strategy category, 204 products reached historical highs, with the top five performers including Jinshi (Xiamen) Asset and others [28]

Group 1 - The A-share market has shown strong performance in 2025, with private equity securities products achieving an average return of 20.41% year-to-date, and 90.85% of the 10,135 products recorded positive returns [1] - Among stock strategy private equity products, 93.09% of the 6,473 products achieved positive returns, with an average return of 25.38%, driven by structural opportunities in the market [1] - Quantitative long strategies have outperformed subjective long strategies, with 96.24% of the 1,303 quantitative products showing positive returns and an average return of 31.84% [1][2] Group 2 - Subjective long strategies have a positive return rate of 92.68% and an average return of 25.62%, with many relying on in-depth research by fund managers to identify quality stocks [2] - Market-neutral and long-short strategies have lower performance due to their hedging nature, with positive return rates of 88.47% and 91.67%, and average returns of 8.15% and 14.53% respectively [2] - Multi-asset strategies have shown strong performance, with 89.91% of the 1,279 products achieving positive returns and an average return of 15.61% [2] Group 3 - Combination fund strategies have the highest positive return rate among the five strategies, with 95.98% of the 398 products achieving positive returns and an average return of 14.12% [3] - The commodity market has experienced wide fluctuations, negatively impacting futures and derivatives strategies, which have a positive return rate of 77.15% and an average return of 8.55% [3] - Bond strategies have benefited from a loosening monetary policy, with 92.50% of the 773 products achieving positive returns and an average return of 7.89% [3]

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of long-term performance in the capital market, highlighting that strategies need to be continuously learned and iterated to achieve sustained profits [1] - It categorizes private equity products into "long-distance running" types, focusing on those with outstanding performance over the past five years and those established for over ten years, referred to as "double ten funds" [1] - As of July 2025, there are 61 private equity products that have been established for ten years, with 32 of them achieving an annualized return of over 10%, accounting for approximately 52% [2] Group 2 - Among the "double ten funds," 14 products reached historical highs in July 2025, with 25 of them being subjective long/short products [2] - Notable private equity firms such as Evolutionary Assets, Shenzhen Yitong Investment, Tonghe Investment, and Zhongrui Huyin each have two products listed among the top performers [3] - The article provides a detailed table of various private equity products, including their strategies, sizes, and performance metrics, showcasing the diversity in the market [4][5] Group 3 - The subjective long/short product "Xi Wa Xiao Niu No. 1," managed by Liang Hong, was established near the peak of the last bull market and has shown significant returns [5][6] - Liang Hong expresses a preference for core companies that can be compared with international leaders, rather than supply chain stocks [6][7] - The article also discusses the performance of quantitative long/short products, noting that the average annualized return for these products over the past five years is 13.27% [12] Group 4 - The multi-asset strategy products have an average annualized return of 10.84% over the past five years, with several products reaching historical highs in July 2025 [16] - The article highlights the performance of bond strategy products, which have an average annualized return of 11.87% over the past five years, with many products achieving historical highs recently [24] - It concludes with a focus on the performance of futures and derivatives strategy products, which also show strong returns and historical highs [20]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown a strong performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching 3700 points, indicating a recovery from previous economic shocks. A trend of gradual growth has emerged since April 27, following the impact of U.S. tariffs, leading to a widening gap between stock strategies and other primary strategies [1]. Summary by Categories Market Performance - The A-share market has entered a four-month trend of gradual growth, with a noticeable recovery in the index [1]. - Quantitative long strategies and subjective long strategies have both performed well, with quantitative long strategies achieving a return of 25.02% and subjective long strategies averaging 5.86% in July [3][4]. Strategy Performance - Among various strategies, subjective long strategies have outperformed quantitative long strategies due to their concentrated positions and flexibility in trading [4]. - The average return for subjective long strategies across different scales of private equity funds has been significant, with the highest returns observed in the 10-20 billion category at 25.43% [18]. Fund Performance - The top-performing subjective long products in the 100 billion category include "和谐汇一医疗创新B类份额" managed by 施跃, achieving a return of ***% [7][5]. - In the 50-100 billion category, "同犇22期" managed by 童驯 led with a return of ***% [14]. - The 20-50 billion category saw "丹羿鹏程1号1期" managed by 王帅 achieving a return of ***% [17]. - In the 10-20 billion category, "能敬价值优选二号" managed by 孙杰 led with a return of ***% [21]. - The 5-10 billion category was topped by "优波三号A类份额" managed by 陈龙 with a return of ***% [24]. - The 0-5 billion category saw "子衿云杉" managed by 邹凯 achieving a return of ***% [28]. Investment Insights - Fund managers are focusing on sectors such as innovative pharmaceuticals and medical devices, indicating a re-evaluation of high-quality assets in China [8]. - The market is currently in a phase where investors are cautious about the sustainability of earnings for companies that have seen significant price increases [8].

Market Performance - In the first half of 2025, the A-share market showed strong resilience amid a complex domestic and international environment, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 2.75% and the North Stock 50 Index leading with a remarkable increase of 39.45% [1] - The total trading volume in the A-share market reached 162.68 trillion yuan, significantly higher than the 101 trillion yuan recorded in the same period of 2024, indicating a rapid increase in market activity [1] Private Equity Fund Performance - Among the 495 billion private equity products with reported performance, the average return for the first half of the year was 10.18%, with an excess return of 8.84% [2] - There was a notable divergence in performance among different strategies, with quantitative long strategies achieving an average return of 18.84%, while subjective long strategies only averaged 3.32% [1][2] Strategy Breakdown Quantitative Long Strategies - A total of 194 quantitative long products were reported, with the top performers identified based on excess returns [3] - The leading product was from Longqi Technology, with significant returns attributed to favorable market conditions and a strong belief in the potential for excess returns in the Chinese market [7][8] Subjective Long Strategies - There were 165 subjective long products, with the average return being only 3.32%, highlighting a stark contrast with quantitative strategies [4][11] - The top-performing product in this category focused on medical innovation, benefiting from strong market trends in the healthcare sector [11] Market Neutral Strategies - The average return for 35 market-neutral products was reported at 6.62%, with notable performers including Mingcong Investment and Weiguan Asset [12][14] Multi-Asset Strategies - The average return for 46 multi-asset strategies was 6.45%, with several products achieving significant returns [15][17] Futures and Derivatives Strategies - The average return for 25 futures and derivatives products was 3.82%, with the top product from Xinhong Tianhe showing strong performance [19][22]