证券研究报告·行业研究·机械设备 燃气轮机专题报告： 行业高景气&供需错配，看好国产集成&零部件供应商优先受益 2 ◆ 在AIDC建设加速背景下，电力供需缺口持续放大，燃气轮机行业有望开启新一轮上行周期。①供需格局：需求 端快速释放，而供给受制于供应链约束及3–5年的交付周期显著滞后，2025年全球燃机意向订单已超80GW，实 际可交付产能不足50GW，供需缺口明确；②分功率产品优势：重型燃机具备大功率、长期稳定运行优势，中小 型燃机在灵活性与可靠性方面更具优势，均可适配AIDC用电需求，其中中小型燃机在数据中心场景下需求弹性 更强，相关机组订单增速显著；③区域分布：北美与中东形成双轮驱动格局，美国电力系统约束加剧推动新增 装机需求，中东则依托低气价优势与数据中心项目有望落地，燃机需求释放确定性较高。 ◆ 燃机市场替代空间大，看好国内设备商受益机会：AI数据中心建设带来大量用电需求，且对电力的可靠性、稳 定性提出较高要求。当前全球燃气轮机市场主要由美国西门子、GE、三菱重工、卡特彼勒（子公司索拉）等主 导，国产替代空间较大，建议关注国产品牌替代潜力：①杰瑞股份：公司已与西门子、贝克休斯、川崎签订合 作协议，具 ...

Group 1 - The implementation of structural tax reduction and fee exemption policies is a crucial measure for promoting high-quality economic development, with an expected cumulative reduction of over 10 trillion yuan during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [1][2] - The agricultural machinery company, Hebei Yinghu Agricultural Machinery Co., Ltd., anticipates a revenue of nearly 770 million yuan and a profit of 110 million yuan in 2024, benefiting from tax incentives exceeding 28 million yuan [1] - The National Taxation Administration reported that the cumulative tax reduction and fee exemption is expected to reach 10.5 trillion yuan, with export tax rebates exceeding 900 billion yuan [1][2] Group 2 - Tax reduction and fee exemption policies are focused on supporting technological innovation and advanced manufacturing, with 3.6 trillion yuan in new reductions accounting for 36.7% of the total [2] - The private economy, including private enterprises and individual businesses, benefits from 7.2 trillion yuan in new tax reductions, representing 72.9% of the total [2] - Small and medium-sized enterprises share 6.3 trillion yuan in new tax reductions, making up 64% of the total [2] Group 3 - Tax reduction and fee exemption policies are expected to stimulate long-term economic growth, despite short-term impacts on tax revenue [3] - Guizhou Jinze New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. has benefited from over 60 million yuan in tax incentives, which are crucial for overcoming technical challenges and expanding production [3] - The R&D expense deduction policy is optimized, with 3.32 trillion yuan in deductions expected for 2024, reflecting a 25.5% increase from 2021 [3] Group 4 - As of mid-2023, the number of tax-related business entities in China exceeded 100 million, an increase of 30 million since 2020 [4] - Sales revenue in the equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing sectors grew at annual rates of 9.6% and 10.4%, respectively, from 2021 to 2024 [4] - The share of private economy sales revenue in the national total increased from 68.9% in 2020 to 71.7% in mid-2023 [4] Group 5 - Tax reduction and fee exemption policies are accelerating the formation of a virtuous cycle of enterprise development, industrial upgrading, and economic growth [5] - Wuxi Turbine Blade Co., Ltd. received 194 million yuan in R&D expense deductions and over 68 million yuan in other tax incentives, which significantly support its innovative projects [5] - Various tax services are being implemented to ensure that policy benefits reach enterprises promptly, including tailored support and compliance checks [5] Group 6 - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, tax authorities have investigated 21,800 cases of fraudulent tax benefits, recovering 26.9 billion yuan in taxes [6] - Continuous exposure of tax fraud cases indicates a commitment to protecting legitimate tax benefits [6] - The application of tax big data and the improvement of the tax credit system enhance tax regulation and management, ensuring that tax reduction benefits are effectively realized [6]