Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Viewpoints - The company is experiencing continuous operational pressure in Q2 2025, with expectations for a turning point in its main business operations [3][4]. - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 151.66 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 22.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 520 million, down 37.6% year-on-year [3][4]. - The supply chain management business saw a revenue decline of 22.4% due to insufficient external demand and internal strategic adjustments, with a significant drop in gross profit margin [3][4]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its business structure and operational strategy, with a high dividend payout ratio providing a safety margin for investors [3][4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 81.12 billion, down 17.5% year-on-year, and a net profit of 100 million, down 76.3% year-on-year [3][4]. - The overall gross profit margin decreased to 1.84% from 2.11% in the same period last year, primarily due to the decline in supply chain management [3][4]. Business Strategy - The company is enhancing its industry depth through long-term contracts and partnerships, expanding upstream resources in various commodities [3][4]. - It has established an Australian platform company and a Japanese office to strengthen its international presence and resource acquisition [3][4]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates a recovery in its main business operations despite the current challenging external environment [3][4]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.09 billion, 1.22 billion, and 1.33 billion respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 11.9, 10.6, and 9.7 [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for Xiamen International Trade (600755) [1] Core Views - The company is focusing on its core supply chain management business after divesting from real estate and financial services, positioning itself to navigate through economic cycles [8][10] - The domestic bulk commodity supply chain market presents significant growth potential, with the company holding only 0.85% market share as of 2023, indicating room for expansion [9][62] - The investment logic is based on a combination of demand recovery, internal growth, and a high dividend yield, making it a balanced investment option [10] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Xiamen International Trade has transitioned from a diversified business model to a focus on supply chain management, shedding non-core assets [34][37] - The company has a stable ownership structure backed by local state-owned assets, with 35.82% of shares held by Xiamen State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [38] Business Model - The company operates as a midstream circulation organizer with high turnover and low profit margins, leveraging its advantages in credit, capital, operations, and logistics [7][12] - The business model includes both self-operated and agency trading modes, with revenue primarily generated from the sale of goods [18] Financial Performance - The company’s revenue and profit growth rates are positioned in the upper-middle tier of the industry, with stable ROE and net profit margins [55][56] - Revenue projections for 2024 to 2026 are estimated at CNY 389.05 billion, CNY 404.61 billion, and CNY 418.84 billion, with corresponding net profits of CNY 1.22 billion, CNY 1.61 billion, and CNY 2.09 billion [10] Market Position - Xiamen International Trade is a leading player in the domestic bulk commodity supply chain, particularly strong in metals and paper products [42][43] - The company’s market share in key categories like steel, iron ore, and copper ranks among the top in the industry [43] Growth Strategy - The company is pursuing a dual growth strategy of horizontal expansion into new product categories and vertical integration along the supply chain [9][61] - The focus on emerging sectors such as health and renewable energy is part of its strategy to diversify and mitigate demand fluctuations [78]