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凯因科技(688687):长效干扰素有望25年底前获批,持股计划彰显发展信心
Ping An Securities· 2025-04-30 07:47
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock will outperform the market by 10% to 20% over the next six months [13]. Core Insights - The long-acting interferon is expected to be approved by the end of 2025, which is seen as a significant growth opportunity for the company [9]. - The company has demonstrated confidence in its future development by launching an employee stock ownership plan, which involves repurchased shares and aims to incentivize performance based on revenue and profit growth targets [9]. - Despite a revenue decline in 2024 due to price reductions from procurement policies, the company is expected to recover as product coverage improves and sales strategies stabilize [8][9]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company reported revenues of 1.23 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.87% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 22.18% to 142 million yuan [3][9]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue increase of 8.90% year-on-year, reaching 232 million yuan, with net profit growing by 15.92% to 26 million yuan [3]. - The projected revenues for 2025 and 2026 are 1.54 billion yuan and 1.98 billion yuan, respectively, with expected growth rates of 25.5% and 28.6% [11]. Key Financial Ratios - The company maintains a healthy gross margin of approximately 81.9% for 2024, with a net profit margin of 11.6% [11]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 7.7% in 2024 to 11.6% by 2027, indicating increasing profitability [11]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 29.5 in 2024 to 15.5 in 2027, suggesting that the stock may become more attractive as earnings grow [11].