Group 1: Report Investment Rating - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report. Group 2: Core View - In the off - season of demand and high - inventory situation, pulp is expected to fluctuate at a low level [1]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Pulp Price Data - **Futures Prices**: On July 5, 2025, SP2601 was 5276, down 0.08% day - on - day and up 0.42% week - on - week; SP2507 was 5040, down 0.51% day - on - day and down 0.16% week - on - week; SP2509 was 5074, up 0.12% day - on - day and up 0.20% week - on - week [1]. - **Spot Prices**: On July 5, 2025, the price of coniferous pulp Silver Star was 5900, unchanged day - on - day and week - on - week; Russian Needle was 5120, unchanged; broadleaf pulp Golden was 4020, unchanged [1]. - **Outer - Disk Quotes**: The outer - disk quote of Chilean Silver Star was 720 dollars, down 2.70% month - on - month; Chilean Star was 560 dollars, unchanged; Chilean Venus was 620 dollars, unchanged [1]. - **Import Costs**: The import cost of Chilean Silver Star was 5884, down 2.68% month - on - month; Chilean Star was 4587, unchanged; Chilean Venus was 5073, unchanged [1]. Pulp Fundamental Data - **Supply**: In May 2025, the import volume of coniferous pulp was 72.2 tons, down 4.75% month - on - month; broadleaf pulp was 129.3 tons, up 7.84% month - on - month. The pulp shipment volume to China in June 2025 was 140 tons, up 3.3% from May. The domestic production of broadleaf pulp and chemimechanical pulp showed certain fluctuations from May 22 to July 3, 2025 [1]. - **Inventory**: As of July 3, 2025, the sample inventory of China's mainstream pulp ports was 221.3 tons, a 2.3% increase from the previous period. The delivery - warehouse inventory also had some changes during the period [1]. - **Demand**: From May 22 to July 3, 2025, the production of major finished papers such as offset paper, coated paper, tissue paper, and white cardboard showed small - scale fluctuations, with a slight overall increase this week. However, the finished - paper prices were continuously low, providing weak support for pulp [1]. Pulp Valuation Data - **Basis**: On July 5, 2025, the Russian Needle basis was 46, with a quantile level of 0.795; the Silver Star basis was 826, with a quantile level of 0.956 [1]. - **Import Profit**: On July 5, 2025, the import profit of coniferous pulp Silver Star was 16, with a quantile level of 0.649; broadleaf pulp Goldfish was - 567, with a quantile level of 0.187 [1].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - The main production of finished paper decreased this week, and the price of finished paper remained low, providing weak support for pulp [1] - As of June 26, 2025, the inventory of mainstream pulp ports in China was 216300 tons, a decrease of 45000 tons from the previous period, a month - on - month decrease of 2.0%, showing a de - stocking trend [1] - After the suspension of the entry of needles into the warehouse, it is recommended to conduct a 11 - 1 reverse spread [1] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Pulp Price Data - Futures prices: On June 26, 2025, SP2601 was 5264, a daily decrease of 0.68% and a weekly decrease of 0.04%; SP2507 was 5060, unchanged daily and a weekly decrease of 3.62%; SP2509 was 5066, a daily decrease of 0.08% and a weekly decrease of 3.58% [1] - Spot prices: On June 26, 2025, the price of coniferous pulp Silver Star was 5950, unchanged daily and a weekly decrease of 1.65%; the price of coniferous pulp Russian Needle was 5120, unchanged daily and a weekly decrease of 2.48%; the price of broad - leaf pulp Golden was 4050, unchanged daily and a weekly decrease of 1.22% [1] - Outer - disk quotes and import costs: The outer - disk quotes of Chilean Silver Star, Chilean Star, and Chilean Venus in June 2025 were 740, 560, and 620 US dollars/ton respectively, unchanged month - on - month; the corresponding import costs were also unchanged month - on - month [1] Pulp Fundamental Data Supply - In April 2025, the import volume of coniferous pulp was 758000 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 5.01%; the import volume of broad - leaf pulp was 1199000 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 18.44% [1] - The pulp shipment volume to China in April 2025 was 13.53 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 30.80% [1] - The domestic production of broad - leaf pulp and chemimechanical pulp in late June 2025 showed certain fluctuations [1] Inventory - As of June 26, 2025, the pulp port inventory was 216300 tons, and the delivery warehouse inventory was 24600 tons [1] Demand - The production of major finished papers such as offset paper, coated paper, tissue paper, and white cardboard decreased in the week of June 2025 [1] Pulp Valuation Data - On June 26, 2025, the basis of Russian Needle was 54, with a quantile level of 0.809; the basis of Silver Star was 884, with a quantile level of 0.975 [1] - On June 26, 2025, the import profit of coniferous pulp Silver Star was - 96, with a quantile level of 0.46; the import profit of broad - leaf pulp Goldfish was - 537, with a quantile level of 0.189 [1]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - Pulp lacks clear driving factors in the short term and is expected to fluctuate in the range of 5,200 - 5,500 yuan/ton [4] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Pulp Price Data - **Futures Prices**: On June 12, 2025, SP2601 was 5,244 yuan, down 0.49% day-on-day and up 0.04% week-on-week; SP2507 was 5,268 yuan, down 1.46% day-on-day and down 0.23% week-on-week; SP2509 was 5,214 yuan, down 0.87% day-on-day and down 0.27% week-on-week [1] - **Spot Prices**: Coniferous pulp Silver Star was 6,150 yuan, unchanged day-on-day and week-on-week; Russian Needle was 5,350 yuan, unchanged day-on-day and up 0.56% week-on-week; Broadleaf pulp Golden was 4,120 yuan, unchanged day-on-day and week-on-week [1] - **Foreign Quotes and Import Costs**: Chilean Silver Star's foreign quote was 740 US dollars, unchanged; import cost was 6,046 yuan, unchanged. Chilean Star's foreign quote was 560 US dollars, unchanged; import cost was 4,587 yuan, unchanged. Chilean Venus's foreign quote was 620 US dollars, unchanged; import cost was 5,073 yuan, unchanged [1] Pulp Fundamental Data - **Supply**: In April 2025, the import volume of coniferous pulp was 75.8 tons, down 5.01% month-on-month; the import volume of broadleaf pulp was 119.9 tons, down 18.44% month-on-month. The pulp shipment volume to China was 1,353 tons, down 30.80% [1] - **Inventory**: As of June 12, 2025, the pulp port inventory was 218.5 tons, up 1.3% from the previous period. The delivery warehouse inventory was 25.5 tons [1] - **Demand**: The production of major finished papers remained stable. For example, the production of offset paper was 20.1 tons, coated paper was 7.61 tons, tissue paper was 28 tons, and white cardboard was 30.1 tons [1] Pulp Valuation Data - **Basis**: On June 12, 2025, the Russian Needle basis was 82, with a quantile level of 0.837; the Silver Star basis was 882, with a quantile level of 0.977 [3] - **Import Profit**: On June 12, 2025, the import profit of coniferous pulp Silver Star was 104, with a quantile level of 0.78; the import profit of broadleaf pulp Goldfish was -467, with a quantile level of 0.208 [3] Supply End - Chilean Arauco announced the June 2025 wood pulp foreign quotes: coniferous pulp Silver Star was 740 US dollars/ton (face value), unchanged; broadleaf pulp had no supply in June, and partial supply was expected to resume in July (limited quantity); natural pulp Venus was 620 US dollars/ton (face value), unchanged. According to the PPC report, in April 2025, the shipment volume of M20 coniferous pulp to China decreased by 2.9% year-on-year, and the shipment volume of broadleaf pulp to China increased by 26.7% year-on-year [3] Demand End - Cultural paper and white cardboard manufacturers issued price increase letters, but the implementation was poor. Downstream paper mills made rigid purchases, and the production of major finished papers remained stable [4] Inventory End - As of June 12, 2025, the inventory of mainstream pulp ports in China was 218.5 tons, an increase of 2.8 tons from the previous period, a 1.3% increase month-on-month, showing a slight inventory accumulation trend [4] Strategy - Pulp is expected to fluctuate in the range of 5,200 - 5,500 yuan/ton in the short term due to the lack of clear driving factors [4]