ITGE 图解货 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITC国贸期货 正示 500 年龄 3 12 1 E 突期货有限公司 流的衍生品综合服务商 司不要 市 市 官 方 网 站 ll and 打 线 需 有 谨 风 www.itf.com.cn 400-8888-598 慎 险 2025/11/21 2数据 国贸期货研究院 投资咨询号:Z0015194 从业资格号:F3042528 农产品研究中心。 杨璐琳 纸浆价格数据 | 2025年11月20日 | | | 日环比 | 周环比 | | | 2025年11月20日 | 日环比 | 周环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SP2601 | | 5298 | -1.82% | -4. 26% | | 针叶浆银星 | 5500 | -0. 90% | -0. 90% | | 期货价格 | SP2512 | 4786 | -1.48% | -2.13% | 现货价 | 针叶浆俄针 | 5350 | -0. 93% | -0. 93% | | SP2605 | ...

ITGE 图解货 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 之教据 正示 500 年龄 3 12 1 E 突期货有限公司 流的衍生品综合服务商 司不要 市 市 官 方 网 站 ll and 打 线 需 有 谨 风 www.itf.com.cn 400-8888-598 慎 险 2025/11/20 总结 国贸期货研究院 投资咨询号:Z0015194 从业资格号:F3042528 农产品研究中心。 杨璐琳 纸浆价格数据 | 2025年11月19日 | | | 日环比 | 周环比 | | | 2025年11月19日 | 日环比 | 周环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SP2601 | | 5396 | -0.22% | -1.57% | | 针叶浆银星 | 5550 | 0. 00% | 0.00% | | 期货价格 | SP2512 | 4858 | -0. 29% | -0.61% | 现货价 | 针叶浆俄针 | 5400 | 0. 00% | 0.00% | | SP2605 | | 5398 | - ...

ITG国贸期货 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 LL - 500 - 12 - 12 / E 突期货有限公司 流的衍生品综合服务商 司不要 市 市 官 方 网 站 lle 打 线 需 有 谨 风 www.itf.com.cn 400-8888-598 慎 险 2025/11/19 总结 2数据 国贸期货研究院 投资咨询号: Z0015194 从业资格号:F3042528 农产品研究中心。 杨璐琳 纸浆价格数据 | | | 2025年11月18日 | 日环比 | 周环比 | | | 2025年11月18日 | 日环比 | 周环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | SP2601 | 5408 | -1.21% | -1.39% | | 针叶浆银星 | 5550 | 0. 00% | 0.00% | | 期货价格 | SP2512 | 4872 | -0.53% | 0. 04% | 现货价 | 针叶浆俄针 | 5400 | 0.00% | 0. 00% | | | SP2605 | 5410 | - ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - The pulp fundamentals have not improved significantly, but there is a potential shortage of delivery resources for needle pulp in 2026. The futures price may be priced based on Russian needle pulp and high - quality needle pulp. The current futures price is close to the import cost of the delivery product, so there is limited room for further price increases. It is recommended to close the 12 - 1 reverse spread and initiate a 1 - 3 or 1 - 5 reverse spread [11]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price Data - **Futures Prices**: On November 17, 2025, SP2601 was 5474 with a daily decrease of 0.11% and a weekly increase of 0.11%; SP2512 was 4898 with a daily decrease of 0.04% and a weekly increase of 0.53%; SP2605 was 5472 with a daily increase of 0.18% and a weekly increase of 0.37% [6]. - **Spot Prices**: On the same day, the price of coniferous pulp Silver Star was 5550 with no daily change and a weekly increase of 0.91%; Russian needle pulp was 5400 with no daily change and a weekly increase of 5.88%; broad - leaf pulp Goldfish was 4400 with no daily change and a weekly increase of 3.53% [6]. - **Outer - disk Quotes**: In November 2025, the quote for Chilean Silver Star was 680 dollars/ton, down 20 dollars/ton from the previous period, a decrease of 2.86%; Brazilian Goldfish was 530 dollars/ton, up 20 dollars/ton, an increase of 3.92%; Chilean Venus was 590 dollars/ton, unchanged [6]. - **Import Costs**: The import cost of Brazilian Goldfish was 4344, up 3.87% from the previous period; Chilean Venus was 4830, unchanged [6]. Fundamental Data - **Supply**: In September 2025, the import volume of coniferous pulp was 69.1 tons, a month - on - month increase of 12.54%; broad - leaf pulp was 135.6 tons, a month - on - month increase of 7.79%. The pulp shipment volume to China was 187 tons, a month - on - month increase of 13.50% [6]. - **Inventory**: As of November 13, 2025, the pulp port inventory was 211 tons, a 6.1% increase from the previous period. The futures delivery warehouse inventory was 22.2 tons [6]. - **Demand**: The production of finished paper showed different trends. For example, the production of double - offset paper, copper - plate paper, and other products fluctuated slightly in different periods [6]. Valuation Data - **Basis**: On November 17, 2025, the Russian needle pulp basis was 502 with a quantile level of 0.952; the Silver Star basis was 652 with a quantile level of 0.881 [6]. - **Import Profit**: The import profit of coniferous pulp Silver Star was - 9 with a quantile level of 0.594; broad - leaf pulp Goldfish was 56 with a quantile level of 0.704 [6].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The fundamentals of the pulp market have not improved significantly, but there may be a shortage of delivery resources for the 2026 Russian needle pulp. The futures price may be priced based on the Russian needle pulp and high - quality softwood pulp. The 12 - 1 reverse spread strategy is maintained [10] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Pulp Price Data - **Futures Prices**: On November 11, 2025, SP2601 was 5484 with a daily increase of 0.29% and a weekly increase of 3.71%; SP2511 was 4888 with a daily increase of 0.37% and a weekly decrease of 0.04%; SP2605 was 5468 with a daily increase of 0.29% and a weekly increase of 2.86% [5] - **Spot Prices**: On November 11, 2025, the price of softwood pulp Silver Star was 5550 with a daily and weekly increase of 0.91%; Russian Needle was 5400 with a daily and weekly increase of 5.88%; hardwood pulp Goldfish was 4380 with a daily and weekly increase of 3.06% [5] - **Outer - Market Quotes**: In November 2025, the outer - market quote for Chilean Silver Star was 680 dollars/ton, down 2.86% from the previous period; Japanese Xihui was 530 dollars/ton, up 3.92% from the previous period; Chilean Venus was 590 dollars/ton, unchanged from the previous period [5] - **Import Costs**: In November 2025, the import cost of Chilean Silver Star was 5559, down 2.83% from the previous period; Brazilian Goldfish was 4344, up 3.87% from the previous period; Chilean Venus was 4830, unchanged from the previous period [5] Pulp Fundamental Data - **Supply**: In September 2025, the import volume of softwood pulp was 69.1 tons, a month - on - month increase of 12.54%; the import volume of hardwood pulp was 135.6 tons, a month - on - month increase of 7.79%. The pulp shipment volume to China in August 2025 was 162 tons, a month - on - month increase of 4.50% [5] - **Inventory**: As of November 6, 2025, the pulp port inventory was 200.8 tons, a decrease of 5.3 tons from the previous period, a month - on - month decrease of 2.6%. The futures delivery warehouse inventory was 22.4 tons [5] - **Demand**: In November 2025, the production of offset paper was 20.80 tons; coated paper was 8.50 tons; tissue paper was 28.36 tons; white cardboard was 35.70 tons [5] Pulp Valuation Data - **Basis**: On November 11, 2025, the Russian Needle basis was 512 with a quantile level of 0.953; the Silver Star basis was 662 with a quantile level of 0.889 [5] - **Import Profit**: On November 11, 2025, the import profit of softwood pulp Silver Star was - 9 with a quantile level of 0.593; the import profit of hardwood pulp Goldfish was 36 with a quantile level of 0.681 [5] Market Situation Analysis - **Supply - Side**: In October, Chile's Arauco Company's softwood pulp Silver Star was quoted at 680 dollars/ton, down 20 dollars/ton; hardwood pulp Star was quoted at 540 dollars/ton, unchanged [5] - **Demand - Side**: White cardboard has seen a significant increase in both volume and price, and cultural paper has issued frequent price increase letters recently, but whether the price increases can be implemented remains to be observed. Overall demand is still weak [10] - **Inventory - Side**: As of November 6, 2025, the inventory of China's major pulp ports was 200.8 tons, a decrease of 5.3 tons from the previous period, a month - on - month decrease of 2.6%, showing a narrow - range de - stocking trend [10]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the report industry investment rating provided in the content. Group 2: Report's Core View - The pulp fundamentals have no significant improvement, but there is a potential shortage of delivery resources for the 26-year Russian needle pulp, and the futures market may be priced based on Russian needle pulp and high-quality softwood pulp. The 12 - 1 reverse spread strategy is maintained [10]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Pulp Price Data - **Futures Prices**: On November 7, 2025, SP2601 was 5394 with a daily increase of 0.48% and a weekly increase of 3.49%; SP2511 was 4872 with a daily decrease of 0.16% and a weekly increase of 0.54%; SP2605 was 5398 with a daily increase of 0.26% and a weekly increase of 2.62% [5]. - **Spot Prices**: On November 7, 2025, the price of softwood pulp Silver Star was 5500 with no daily or weekly change; Russian Needle was 5100 with no change; hardwood pulp Goldfish was 4250 with no change [5]. - **Foreign Offers**: In November 2025, the offer of Chilean Silver Star was 680 dollars/ton, down 20 dollars/ton from the previous period; Brazilian Goldfish was 530 dollars/ton, up 3.92% from the previous period; Chilean Venus was 590 dollars/ton, unchanged [5]. - **Import Costs**: In November 2025, the import cost of Chilean Silver Star was 5559, down 2.83% from the previous period; Brazilian Goldfish was 4344, up 3.87% from the previous period; Chilean Venus was 4830, unchanged [5]. Pulp Fundamental Data - **Supply**: In September 2025, the import volume of softwood pulp was 69.1 tons, up 12.54% from August; hardwood pulp was 135.6 tons, up 7.79% from August. The domestic production of hardwood pulp on November 6, 2025, was 25 tons, and chemimechanical pulp was 23.5 tons [5]. - **Inventory**: As of November 6, 2025, the pulp port inventory was 200.8 tons, a decrease of 5.3 tons from the previous period, a 2.6% decline. The futures delivery warehouse inventory was 22.4 tons [5][10]. - **Demand**: The production of offset paper on November 6, 2025, was 20.80 tons; coated paper was 8.50 tons; tissue paper was 28.36 tons; white cardboard was 35.70 tons. White cardboard showed an obvious increase in both volume and price, while cultural paper had frequent price - increase letters, but whether they can be implemented remains to be observed, and overall demand was still weak [5][10]. Pulp Valuation Data - **Basis**: On November 7, 2025, the basis of Russian Needle was 228 with a quantile level of 0.905; Silver Star was 628 with a quantile level of 0.872 [5]. - **Import Profit**: On November 7, 2025, the import profit of softwood pulp Silver Star was - 59 with a quantile level of 0.513; hardwood pulp Goldfish was - 94 with a quantile level of 0.558 [5].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - The fundamentals of pulp have not improved significantly, but there is a potential shortage of delivery resources for the 2026 needle pulp futures. The futures price may be priced based on the price of Russian needle pulp and high - quality softwood pulp. Maintain the 12 - 1 reverse spread strategy [10] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures and Spot Prices - On November 5, 2025, the futures prices of SP2601, SP2511, and SP2605 were 5360, 4886, and 5374 respectively, with day - on - day increases of 1.36%, 0.29%, and 1.09% and week - on - week increases of 2.25%, 1.20%, and 1.86% respectively. The spot prices of softwood pulp Silver Star, Russian Needle, and hardwood pulp Goldfish were 5500, 5100, and 4250 respectively, with no day - on - day or week - on - week changes [5] Outer - Disk Quotes and Import Costs - The outer - disk quotes of Chilean Silver Star, Brazilian Goldfish, and Chilean Venus were 680, 530, and 590 US dollars respectively. The outer - disk quote of Chilean Silver Star decreased by 2.86% month - on - month, while that of Brazilian Goldfish increased by 3.92%. The import costs of Chilean Silver Star, Brazilian Goldfish, and Chilean Venus were 5559, 4344, and 4830 respectively, with the import cost of Brazilian Goldfish increasing by 3.87% month - on - month [5] Supply - Side Data - In September 2025, the import volume of softwood pulp was 69.1 tons, a 12.54% increase from August, and the import volume of hardwood pulp was 135.6 tons, a 7.79% increase from August. The pulp shipment volume to China in August 2025 increased by 4.50% month - on - month. The domestic production of hardwood pulp and chemimechanical pulp showed little change in the period from September 4 to October 30, 2025 [5] Inventory Data - As of October 30, 2025, the pulp port inventory was 206.1 tons, a 0.3% increase from the previous period, showing a narrow - range inventory accumulation trend. The futures delivery warehouse inventory decreased slightly during the period from September 4 to October 30, 2025 [5][10] Demand - Side Data - The production of finished paper such as double - offset paper, coated paper, tissue paper, and white cardboard showed little change from September 4 to October 30, 2025. White cardboard showed a significant increase in both volume and price, and cultural paper has issued frequent price increase letters, but whether the price increase can be implemented remains to be observed, and overall demand is still weak [5][10] Valuation Data - On November 5, 2025, the basis of Russian Needle pulp was 214 with a quantile level of 0.902, and the basis of Silver Star pulp was 614 with a quantile level of 0.868. The import profit of softwood pulp Silver Star was - 59 with a quantile level of 0.513, and that of hardwood pulp Goldfish was - 94 with a quantile level of 0.557 [5]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The fundamentals of the pulp market have not improved significantly, but there may be a shortage of delivery resources for SP2601, and the futures price may be priced based on Russian pulp and high - quality softwood pulp. The 12 - 1 reverse spread strategy is maintained. [6][11] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Price Data - On November 3, 2025, among the futures prices, SP2601 was 5306 with a daily increase of 1.80% and a weekly increase of 0.91%; SP2511 was 4890 with a daily increase of 1.07% and a weekly increase of 0.78%; SP2605 was 5346 with a daily increase of 1.63% and a weekly increase of 0.91%. [6] - Among the spot prices, the price of softwood pulp Silver Star was 5500, Russian softwood pulp was 5100, and hardwood pulp Goldfish was 4250, all with no daily or weekly changes. [6] - In the foreign market quotes (in dollars), the price of Chilean Silver Star was 680, down 2.86% month - on - month; Brazilian Goldfish was 530, up 3.92% month - on - month; Chilean Venus was 590, unchanged month - on - month. [6] - In terms of import costs, the import cost of Chilean Silver Star was 5559, down 2.83% month - on - month; Brazilian Goldfish was 4344, up 3.87% month - on - month; Chilean Venus was 4830, unchanged month - on - month. [6] Fundamental Data - In terms of imports, in September 2025, the import volume of softwood pulp was 69.10 million tons, up 12.54% month - on - month, and that of hardwood pulp was 135.60 million tons, up 7.79% month - on - month. The pulp shipment volume to China in August 2025 was 162 million tons, up 4.50% month - on - month. [6] - Regarding domestic production, on October 30, 2025, the domestic production of hardwood pulp was 23.7 million tons, and that of chemimechanical pulp was 23.5 million tons. [6] - For inventory, on October 30, 2025, the pulp port inventory was 206.1 million tons, and the futures delivery warehouse inventory was 22.4 million tons. [6] - In terms of demand, on October 30, 2025, the production volume of offset paper was 20.60 million tons, coated paper was 8.60 million tons, tissue paper was 28.39 million tons, and white cardboard was 36.10 million tons. [6] Valuation Data - On November 3, 2025, the basis of Russian softwood pulp was 210 with a quantile level of 0.9, and the basis of Silver Star was 610 with a quantile level of 0.866. [6] - The import profit of softwood pulp Silver Star was - 59 with a quantile level of 0.512, and that of hardwood pulp Goldfish was - 94 with a quantile level of 0.557. [6] Supply - demand - inventory Situation - Supply: Chilean Arauco Company's softwood pulp Silver Star price in October was 680 dollars per ton, down 20 dollars per ton; hardwood pulp Star was 540 dollars per ton, unchanged; and chemimechanical pulp Venus was 590 dollars per ton, unchanged. [6][11] - Demand: White cardboard showed a significant increase in both volume and price, and cultural paper has issued frequent price increase letters, but it remains to be seen whether the price increases can be implemented. Overall demand is still weak. [11] - Inventory: As of October 30, 2025, the inventory of mainstream pulp ports in China was 206.1 million tons, a narrow - range inventory accumulation compared with the previous period. [11]

Group 1: Report Core View - The pulp fundamentals have not improved significantly, but there is a potential shortage of delivery resources for SP2601. The futures price may be priced based on Russian needles and high - quality softwood pulp. The 12 - 1 reverse spread strategy is maintained [10] - Current paper product demand remains stable, and paper product prices have not rebounded significantly. The positive impact of the "Golden September and Silver October" on the pulp demand side has not been reflected [10] Group 2: Price Data Futures and Spot Prices - On October 29, 2025, the price of SP2601 was 5242, with a daily increase of 0.31% and a weekly increase of 0.42%; SP2511 was 4836, with a daily increase of 0.17% and a weekly decrease of 0.37%; SP2605 was 5276, with a daily and weekly increase of 0.11%. The spot price of softwood pulp Silver Star was 5500, unchanged; Russian Needle was 5100, unchanged; hardwood pulp Goldfish was 4250, unchanged [5] Outer - Disk Quotes and Import Costs - In terms of outer - disk quotes in dollars, the price of Chilean Silver Star was 680, down 2.86% from the previous period; Brazilian Goldfish was 530, up 3.92%; Chilean Venus was 590, unchanged. In terms of import costs, Chilean Silver Star was 5559, down 2.83%; Brazilian Goldfish was 4344, up 3.87%; Chilean Venus was 4830, unchanged [5] Group 3: Fundamental Data Supply - In September 2025, the import volume of softwood pulp was 69.1 tons, a month - on - month increase of 12.54%, and the import volume of hardwood pulp was 135.6 tons, a month - on - month increase of 7.79%. The pulp shipment volume to China in August 2025 was 162 tons, a month - on - month increase of 4.50% [5] - Regarding domestic production, the domestic production of hardwood pulp and chemi - mechanical pulp in the week of October 23, 2025, was 23.5 tons and 23.6 tons respectively [5] Inventory - As of October 23, 2025, the pulp port inventory was 205.5 tons, a decrease of 1.9 tons from the previous period, a month - on - month decrease of 0.9%. The futures delivery warehouse inventory on the same day was 22.6 tons [5][10] Demand - The production of major paper products such as offset paper, coated paper, tissue paper, and white cardboard has shown certain fluctuations recently, but overall, the demand for paper products has remained stable [5] Group 4: Valuation Data Basis - On October 29, 2025, the Russian Needle basis was 264, with a quantile level of 0.913; the Silver Star basis was 664, with a quantile level of 0.89 [5] Import Profit - On October 29, 2025, the import profit of softwood pulp Silver Star was - 59, with a quantile level of 0.512; the import profit of hardwood pulp Goldfish was - 94, with a quantile level of 0.556 [5]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - The pulp fundamentals have not improved significantly, but there is a potential shortage of delivery resources for the 2026 domestic needle pulp, and the futures price may be priced based on the Russian needle pulp and high - quality coniferous pulp; maintain the 12 - 1 reverse spread strategy [10] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures and Spot Prices - On October 28, 2025, the futures prices of SP2601, SP2511, and SP2605 were 5226, 4828, and 5270 respectively, with day - on - day changes of - 0.61%, - 0.17%, and - 0.53%, and week - on - week changes of 1.08%, - 0.62%, and 0.84% [5] - The spot prices of coniferous pulp silver star, Russian needle, and broad - leaf pulp Jinge were 2500, 5100, and 4250 respectively, with no day - on - day or week - on - week changes [5] Outer - Disk Quotes and Import Costs - Outer - disk quotes: The quotes of Chilean silver star, Japanese golden, and Chilean Venus were 680, 530, and 590 dollars respectively, with month - on - month changes of - 2.86%, 3.92%, and 0.00% [5] - Import costs: The import costs of Brazilian goldfish and Chilean Venus were 4344 and 4830 respectively, with month - on - month changes of 3.87% and 0.00% [5] Supply - Side Data - In September 2025, the import volumes of coniferous pulp and broad - leaf pulp were 69.1 and 135.6 tons respectively, with month - on - month changes of 12.54% and 7.79% [5] - The pulp shipment volume to China in August 2025 was 162 tons, with a 4.50% increase [5] - The domestic production of broad - leaf pulp and chemimechanical pulp in different weeks from August 28 to October 23, 2025, showed certain fluctuations [5] Inventory Data - As of October 23, 2025, the pulp port inventory was 205.5 tons, with a 0.9% decrease compared to the previous period, showing a narrow - range de - stocking trend [5][10] - The inventory in the futures delivery warehouse also showed a certain change trend from August 28 to October 23, 2025 [5] Demand - Side Data - The production volumes of double - offset paper, coated paper, tissue paper, and white cardboard from August 28 to October 23, 2025, showed certain fluctuations [5] Valuation Data - On October 28, 2025, the Russian needle pulp basis was 272 with a quantile level of 0.917, and the silver star pulp basis was 672 with a quantile level of 0.892 [5] - The import profits of coniferous pulp silver star and broad - leaf pulp goldfish were - 59 and - 94 respectively, with quantile levels of 0.512 and 0.556 [5] Market Situation - On the supply side, Chile's Arauco company's October coniferous pulp silver star offer was 680 dollars/ton, a decrease of 20 dollars/ton; the broad - leaf pulp star offer was 540 dollars/ton, remaining unchanged [5] - On the demand side, the current demand for paper products is basically stable, the paper product prices have not rebounded significantly, and the positive impact of the "Golden September and Silver October" on the pulp demand side has not been reflected [10]