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纸浆数据日报-20260106

Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 02:43

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - Pulp is currently pulled by the trading logic of "strong supply" and "weak demand", lacking a clear short - term direction. The 05 contract is expected to fluctuate in the range of 5400 - 5700 yuan/ton [6] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Content Pulp Price Data - **Futures Prices**: On January 5, 2026, SP2601 futures price was 5472 yuan/ton, up 0.22% day - on - day and down 1.08% week - on - week; SP2609 was 5562 yuan/ton, down 0.14% day - on - day and down 1.56% week - on - week; SP2605 was 5530 yuan/ton, down 0.04% day - on - day and down 1.32% week - on - week [6] - **Spot Prices**: Coniferous pulp Silver Star was 5600 yuan/ton, unchanged day - on - day and week - on - week; Russian Coniferous pulp was 5400 yuan/ton, unchanged; Broadleaf pulp Goldfish was 4700 yuan/ton, up 0.64% day - on - day and week - on - week [6] - **Foreign Quotes**: Chilean Silver Star's foreign quote was 700 dollars/ton, up 2.94% month - on - month; Brazilian Goldfish was 560 dollars/ton, up 3.70% month - on - month; Chilean Venus was 620 dollars/ton, unchanged [6] - **Import Costs**: Chilean Silver Star's import cost was 5721 yuan/ton, up 2.91% month - on - month; Brazilian Goldfish was 4587 yuan/ton, up 3.66% month - on - month; Chilean Venus was 5073 yuan/ton, unchanged [6] Pulp Fundamental Data - **Import Volume**: In November 2025, coniferous pulp import volume was 72.5 tons, up 4.92% month - on - month compared to October; broadleaf pulp import volume was 176.5 tons, up 33.92% month - on - month [6] - **Shipment Volume**: The pulp shipment volume to China in November 2025 was 178 thousand tons, up 3.00% month - on - month [6] - **Domestic Production**: The broadleaf pulp production of 25 countries showed fluctuations from November 2025 to December 2025; the chemi - mechanical pulp production was relatively stable [6] - **Inventory Data**: Pulp port inventory and futures delivery warehouse inventory also fluctuated during the period from November 2025 to December 2025. As of January 4, 2026, the inventory of China's mainstream pulp ports was 199.7 tons, up 9.1 tons from the previous period, a 4.8% increase [6] - **Finished Paper Production**: The production of various finished papers such as offset paper, coated paper, tissue paper, and white cardboard also fluctuated during the same period [6] Supply, Demand and Inventory Analysis - **Supply**: Suzano announced a full - scale price increase for global broadleaf pulp in January 2026. Goldfish broadleaf pulp increased by 20 dollars in Asia and 120 dollars in Europe and North America [6] - **Demand**: The pulp demand has been stable recently. The price of tissue paper has risen slightly, while the prices of other paper products are stable, and the production of major wood - pulp papers is stable [6] - **Inventory**: As of January 4, 2026, the inventory of China's mainstream pulp ports has shifted to a cumulative inventory trend, ending the continuous five - week destocking phenomenon [6]