阿维塔等新能源汽车
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长安汽车(000625):毛利率环比提升,积极探索新业务
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-10-30 10:12
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Changan Automobile is upgraded to "Outperform" from "Buy" due to competitive pressures and slightly lower-than-expected sales and profitability in the new energy sector [7]. Core Insights - Changan Automobile reported a third-quarter revenue of 42.24 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.6%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 760 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.1% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 18.6% [4][7]. - The company aims to achieve annual sales of 2.95 to 3 million vehicles, with a target of 1.05 to 1.1 million vehicles in the new energy segment. Overseas exports exceeded 460,000 vehicles in the first three quarters, marking a year-on-year growth of over 10% [7]. - Changan is actively exploring new business models, including a strategic partnership with JD Logistics to develop intelligent logistics solutions and plans to mass-produce robots by 2028 [7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The total revenue forecast for Changan Automobile has been revised down to 171.34 billion yuan for 2025, 191.66 billion yuan for 2026, and 223.18 billion yuan for 2027. The net profit forecast has also been adjusted to 5.29 billion yuan for 2025, 7.95 billion yuan for 2026, and 10.30 billion yuan for 2027 [6][7]. - The gross margin for the third quarter was reported at 15.7%, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.49 percentage points. The total expenses ratio increased to 13.53%, primarily due to higher sales and management expenses [7].