新能源销量快速增长，兵装集团分立有望 提升公司经营效率 核心观点 ⚫ 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 预测 2025-2027 年归母净利润 80.30、94.71、113.13 亿元，维持可比公司 25 年平 均 PE 估值 21 倍，目标价 17.01 元，维持买入评级。 风险提示 长安自主品牌销量低于预期、长安合资品牌销量低于预期、行业价格战影响盈利。 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 151,298 | 159,733 | 180,654 | 200,457 | 219,509 | | 同比增长 (%) | 24.8% | 5.6% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 10,447 | 6,624 | 8,395 | 9,919 | 11,868 | | 同比增长 (%) | 36.9% | -36.6% | 26.7% | 18.2% | 19.6% | | 归属母公司净利润(百万元) | 1 ...

Core Viewpoint - Changan Automobile has achieved impressive sales performance in the first half of the year, with a total of 1.355 million vehicles sold, marking an eight-year high, showcasing its strong capabilities as a state-owned enterprise and the effectiveness of its "three-pronged" strategy in new energy, intelligence, and globalization [1][4]. Sales Performance - In the first half of the year, Changan's sales in the new energy sector reached 450,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 48.8%, reflecting consumer recognition of its new energy products and the success of its "Shangri-La" plan [4]. - The Changan Yuyuan brand sold 38,771 units in June, with the Yuyuan Q07 model becoming the best-selling new energy medium SUV under 250,000 yuan, with over 20,000 units delivered since its launch [4][6]. - Deep Blue Automobile achieved a total delivery of 29,893 units in June, a year-on-year increase of 79%, and has delivered over 500,000 units globally [6]. - Avita delivered 10,153 new vehicles in June, a year-on-year increase of 117%, maintaining monthly sales above 10,000 units for four consecutive months [6]. Fuel Vehicle Stability and Global Expansion - Changan's fuel vehicle sales reached 471,308 units in the first half of the year, with the CS75 series selling 116,839 units, a year-on-year increase of 12.1% [7]. - The company has accelerated its global expansion, with nine overseas assembly plants operational and plans for 20 more in countries like Brazil and Indonesia, aiming for 1.2 million units in overseas sales by 2030 [7][8]. Intelligent Transformation - Changan's "Beidou Tianshu 2.0" plan, launched in February, focuses on four major intelligent upgrades, integrating AI technology into its vehicles [9][10]. - The company has developed the SDA platform, which supports advanced driving features and has achieved significant breakthroughs in intelligent driving and cockpit technology [10]. - Changan plans to invest over 200 billion yuan in the next five years for AI model development and aims to create "evolving intelligent automotive robots" [12].

①申万宏源证券正在将自身的发展融入国家叙事，将坚持和加强党的领导、服务中国式现代化 大局放在首要位置； ②张剑说，公司将充分发挥"产研+投资+投行""行研+机构+交易""财富+产品+投顾"等综合优 势； ③他谈到，公司正深化"一个申万宏源"发展理念。 ● 随着我国资本市场改革不断深入，证券行业面临着巨大的机遇和挑战。财联社特别开设走进 券商深度访谈系列，通过对证券公司的观察，全面展现证券业的新样貌、新打法、新思路，进 一步促进行业交流。深度访谈系列邀约申万宏源证券，在与公司董事长、总经理，以及五大业 务部门负责人的对话中深入理解公司与行业发展趋势。 财联社7月7日讯（记者 林坚） 对许多证券公司来说，2025年是具有重大意义的一年，不乏庆祝 成立30周年、25周年、10周年等特殊时点，这对于申万宏源证券更是如此。 2025年是申万宏源证券创业40年。10年前的2015年，作为我国证券行业规模最大的一桩市场化并 购案，公司以新面目备受注目。站在40周年的新起点，公司过往有哪些经验可借鉴？整体战略规划 能带来哪些启示？这是财联社走进申万宏源深度访谈的目的所在。 接受财联社访谈之际，申万宏源证券总经理张剑首先总结了 ...

Group 1: Traditional Automakers Performance - BYD remains the sales leader with 2.146 million units sold in the first half of 2025, achieving a year-on-year growth of 33% and a strong export growth of 80.6% [2][3] - Geely Automotive shows impressive growth with a total sales of over 1.4 million units, marking a 47% year-on-year increase, and its new energy vehicle sales have doubled [3][4] - Changan Automobile reaches its highest sales in nearly eight years with 1.355 million units sold, reflecting a 2% year-on-year growth, while its new energy vehicle sales grow by 48.8% [4] - Chery Group achieves a total sales of approximately 1.26 million units, a 14.5% increase, with new energy vehicle sales rising by 98.6% [4][6] - Great Wall Motors experiences slight growth with total sales of about 569,000 units, a 1.84% increase, although some brands like Ora and Tank show declines [6] Group 2: New Forces in the Automotive Market - Leap Motor tops the new energy vehicle segment with a remarkable 155.7% growth, delivering 221,700 units, surpassing Li Auto for the first time [7][9] - Xiaomi Automotive shows significant potential with a staggering 456% growth, delivering over 150,000 units, and aims for a revised target of 350,000 units [11] - Xpeng Motors also demonstrates strong performance with a 279% increase in sales, delivering 197,200 units [10][12] - NIO achieves a 30.6% year-on-year growth with over 110,000 units delivered [12] - Huawei's AITO brand, under the new forces, faces challenges with a heavy reliance on the Wenjie brand, which accounts for 80% of its total sales [10] Group 3: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The competition in the automotive market is intensifying, with a clear focus on new energy and smart technology as the main battleground [13] - Traditional and new automakers are accelerating their product and technology deployments to prepare for the second half of the year [13]

智通财经7月7日讯（记者 赵昕睿）站在创业40周年暨重组10周年的节点上，申万宏源证券正如何以机 构业务打造核心竞争力？未来的战略规划重点会集中在哪些方向？智通财经走进申万宏源证券，就此向 公司执委、机构业务条线分管领导周海晨进行了深度访谈。 登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 转自：智通财经 随着我国资本市场改革不断深入，证券行业面临着巨大的机遇和挑战。智通财经特别开设走 进券商深度访谈系列，通过对证券公司的观察，全面展现证券业的新样貌、新打法、新思 路，进一步促进行业交流。深度访谈系列邀约申万宏源证券，在与公司董事长、总经理，以 及五大业务部门负责人的对话中深入理解公司与行业发展趋势。 从校门到公司门，80后的周海晨从申万研究所分析师起步，数十年投研经验中沉淀的产业洞察力，成为 他掌舵机构业务的"独特武器"。 申万宏源证券执委、机构业务条线分管领导周海晨。 2024年1月，周海晨迎来关键职业跃迁。作为申万宏源证券执委会成员，分管研究业务和机构业务。这 一岗位变动背后，是申万宏源结合市场环境和业务需求做出的调整和优化，更是公司以业务联动为举 措，纵深推进一流投资银行和投资机构的重要建设。 此次 ...

Core Viewpoint - Changan Automobile has achieved a remarkable sales figure of 1.355 million units in the first half of 2025, marking an eight-year high, amidst fierce competition in the new energy vehicle market and increasing pressure from foreign brands [1][10] Group 1: Sales Performance and Market Strategy - The sales of Changan's new energy vehicles reached 450,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 48.8%, equivalent to half the total sales of three leading new energy brands in the same period [1] - Changan has established a global presence with plans for 20 overseas factories, having already built and put into operation 9, covering over 100 countries [1] - The company is innovating at a rapid pace, generating 19 patents daily, with 70% of its 20,000 global patents being invention patents [1] Group 2: Technological Advancements and Product Development - Changan's strategic shift focuses on building technological barriers rather than just competing on production scale, with a dual strategy in the new energy sector [3] - The company is set to launch a solid-state battery prototype by the end of 2025, indicating a commitment to technological innovation [3] - The Deep Blue S09 and Q07 models showcase advanced technologies, achieving significant fuel efficiency and long-range capabilities, leading to strong market performance [3][6] Group 3: Globalization and Localized Production - The "Haina Baichuan" plan emphasizes Changan's global strategy, with the establishment of the Thailand Rayong factory as a key step in its overseas expansion [4] - This factory not only serves the ASEAN market but also integrates local R&D to optimize vehicle performance for regional conditions, achieving a 60% localization rate [4] - Changan's approach combines production, R&D, and supply chain integration, marking a shift from product export to ecosystem output [4][8] Group 4: Brand Development and Global Influence - Changan is actively enhancing its global brand presence, with multiple new models launched in Europe and participation in international standards development [9] - The company has integrated ESG principles into its global strategy, achieving significant sustainability milestones at its overseas facilities [9] - Changan's journey from a domestic leader to a global brand reflects its commitment to high-quality development and innovation in the automotive industry [10]

Core Viewpoint - The global automotive industry is undergoing significant transformation, with a shift from electric vehicle adoption to a comprehensive competition in smart electric vehicles, emphasizing the importance of brand, product, technology, and global operational systems for automakers [2][9]. Group 1: Sales Performance - In the first half of 2025, Changan Automobile achieved a remarkable sales milestone with a total of 1.355 million vehicles sold, marking an eight-year high, including 450,000 new energy vehicles, which represents a year-on-year growth of 48.8% [3]. - Changan's three major brands and five product lines have shown strong synergy, balancing new and stable offerings, with high-end smart electric brand Avita maintaining a monthly sales level of over 10,000 units for four consecutive months [6][7]. Group 2: Product and Technology Development - Changan's strategy of a "multi-brand matrix + deep technology layout" is yielding results, enhancing its competitive edge in electrification, intelligence, and globalization [7]. - The company has introduced several new models, including the Q07, S09, and UNI-Z PHEV, which are gaining market traction, while its technological innovations are being progressively realized [9][13]. - Changan's "Shangri-La" plan focuses on solid-state batteries, with the "Golden Bell" battery entering real vehicle verification, aiming for mass production by 2027 [13]. Group 3: Global Expansion Strategy - Changan's "No Overseas, No Changan" strategy emphasizes the importance of global presence, with a clear plan for global expansion targeting five core regions: Southeast Asia, Central and South America, Europe, Middle East and Africa, and Eurasia [19][21]. - The company has established over 14,000 channel outlets in more than 100 countries and is transitioning from a sales-driven model to a comprehensive ecosystem development approach [21][22]. - In January 2025, Changan's export volume reached a historic high, with a month-on-month increase of over eight times, positioning it among the top three Chinese automakers in exports [22]. Group 4: Industry Collaboration and Innovation - As a representative of state-owned enterprises, Changan is committed to industry health and stability, implementing measures to support suppliers and enhance the overall supply chain [25]. - The company has formed collaborative mechanisms with over 30 enterprises, including Huawei and Tencent, to foster innovation in smart driving and cloud platforms [26]. - Changan's focus on building a robust technological moat and its ability to respond quickly to global market changes are seen as key factors for its long-term success [27][28].

目前，足球运动已然与城市文化与活力深度链接。"苏超"热潮激发了全民足球热情，重庆铜梁龙则在中甲赛场扮演"黑马"角色，两年完成从中冠到中甲 的"三级跳"。而作为重庆本土成长起来的央企新能源品牌，长安启源坚持科技创新与社会责任并举，此次成为重庆铜梁龙足球俱乐部首席合作伙伴，未来将 以科技力量为铜梁龙征战助力，更将成为其最硬核的"保障团"与"后援团"。 "此次重庆本土车企与球队的强强联合，不仅是一场汽车与体育的跨界联动，也是长安启源对家乡球队的倾情支持。"长安启源方面表示，双方将以"山城最 佳CP"的深厚默契，共同点燃一座城市的激情，形成"城-队-车"脉搏共振。 北京商报讯（记者 刘洋）7月4日，长安启源与重庆铜梁龙足球俱乐部共同宣布，长安启源正式成为重庆铜梁龙足球俱乐部首席合作伙伴、俱乐部比赛服胸 前广告赞助商。 签约现场，重庆铜梁龙足球俱乐部核心球员、球队队长向余望身着新赛季球衣亮相，并展示印有"长安启源"文字与LOGO的新赛季球衣。此外，双方还进行 信物互赠，长安启源为球队队员们递上启源汽车钥匙，球队以签名足球回赠。 据了解，作为重庆铜梁龙足球俱乐部的官方指定用车，长安启源双旗舰车型A07与Q07凭借卓越性能 ...

重庆长安汽车股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 | 品牌启动，以"签约即市场"的高效模式实现本地化落地， | | --- | | 约旦 Mallouk 集团的首批订单 185 台也已经装船整备，即将 | | 起航。 | | 自 2024 年进军国际市场以后，阿维塔已形成 "阿联酋破 | | 圈、卡塔尔扩张、约旦落地" 的中东战略布局，同步推进东 | | 盟、独联体、中东非、拉美四大海外市场。截止目前，阿维 | | 塔已在泰国、阿联酋完成上市发布，渠道触点覆盖 25 个国家 | | 和地区，累计签约门店达 55 家。从国内市场的稳健增长到海 | | 外版图的持续扩张，阿维塔正以系统化的能力加速推进全球 | | 化进程。在渠道端，2025 年阿维塔国内触点已超 700 家、覆 | | 盖 200+城市，海外市场将覆盖 50 个国家和地区，布局超 160 | | 家渠道，海外目标销量 1.5 万辆，并将于 2026 年继续进军欧 | | 洲市场。 | | 三、请问公司海外各区域市场的后续规划？ | | 答：公司坚持"无海外不长安，无基地不长安"，坚定 | | "四个一"发展目标，加速海外五大区域本地化生产制造、 | ...

Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, eight major automotive groups reported a total sales volume of 11.18 million vehicles, all achieving year-on-year growth [1][2] - BYD maintained its leading position with over 2.14 million units sold, followed closely by SAIC Motor with over 2.05 million units [1][3] - Geely adjusted its annual sales target upward by 11% after achieving a 47% completion rate in the first half [1][6] Group Performance - **BYD**: Sold 2.146 million vehicles, a 33% increase year-on-year, with overseas sales reaching 472,000 units, up 132% [3][4] - **SAIC Motor**: Achieved sales of 2.053 million vehicles, a 12.4% increase, with a retail delivery of 2.207 million units [4][5] - **China FAW**: Reported sales of 1.57 million vehicles, a 6.1% increase, with a 46% target completion rate [6][10] - **Geely**: Sold 1.409 million vehicles, a 47% increase, with a significant rise in new energy vehicle sales [6][7] - **Changan**: Achieved sales of 1.355 million vehicles, marking a historical high, with new energy vehicle sales growing by 48.8% [8][9] - **Chery**: Sold 1.26 million vehicles, a 14.5% increase, with a strong export performance [9][10] - **BAIC Group**: Reported sales of 817,000 vehicles, a 6% increase, with a notable growth in its own brand sales [10] - **Great Wall Motors**: Achieved sales of 570,000 vehicles, a slight increase of 1.8%, but faced a decline in overseas sales [10] Target Achievement Rates - **Geely**: Highest target completion rate at 47% after adjusting its annual target [6][7] - **China FAW and SAIC Motor**: Both achieved a target completion rate of 46% [1][6] - **Changan**: Completed 45% of its sales target [1][8] - **Chery**: Achieved a target completion rate of 40% [1][9] - **BYD**: Completed 39% of its annual target [1][3]