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零跑汽车(09863.HK):销量表现持续强劲 产品结构向宽向上
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-19 20:04
Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong performance in Q3 2025, with significant revenue growth and a return to profitability, driven by increased vehicle sales and improved operational efficiency [1][2]. Performance Review - Q3 2025 revenue reached 19.45 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 97.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 36.7% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 2025 was 150 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses, although it decreased by 8% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - Cumulative net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 180 million yuan [1]. Development Trends - Multiple vehicle models contributed to sustained high sales growth, with Q3 2025 sales volume at 174,000 units, up 102% year-on-year and 30% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The C series and B series saw sales increase to 98,000 units and 61,000 units respectively, with October sales surpassing 70,000 units for the first time [1]. - The T series small car's sales proportion decreased, leading to a 5.4% increase in average revenue per vehicle to 112,000 yuan [1]. - The D19 large six-seater model is expected to further enhance the product matrix and growth potential [1]. Profitability and Cash Flow - Q3 2025 gross margin improved to 14.5%, up 6.4% year-on-year and 0.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, benefiting from economies of scale, cost control, and product structure optimization [1]. - The combined selling, general, and administrative expenses decreased by 1.2 percentage points year-on-year to 14.3%, reflecting effective management [1]. - Operating cash flow for Q3 2025 reached 4.88 billion yuan, indicating ongoing improvement in cash flow performance [1]. Global Strategy and Market Expansion - The company is advancing its globalization strategy, with a strong new vehicle cycle and the launch of the Lafa5 sports sedan and D19 flagship SUV [2]. - In Q3 2025, the company exported 17,000 units, with total exports for the first three quarters reaching 38,000 units [2]. - By the end of September, the company established over 700 sales and service outlets in international markets, enhancing its competitive edge in the new energy passenger vehicle sector [2]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings forecast for 2025 and 2026 remains unchanged at 860 million yuan and 4.89 billion yuan respectively [2]. - The current stock price corresponds to a 14.4 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2026 [2]. - The target price has been adjusted down by 12.6% to 78.00 HKD, reflecting a 20.5 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2026, with a potential upside of 42.3% from the current stock price [2].
和比亚迪拼成本控制?朱江明给零跑选了一条最难的路|晚点对话
晚点LatePost· 2024-06-18 15:18
以下文章来源于晚点Auto ,作者晚点团队 晚点Auto . 从制造到创造,从不可能到可能。《晚点LatePost》旗下汽车品牌。 低毛利下,极致降本。 文丨司雯雯 编辑丨冒诗阳 宋玮 新势力创业者中,零跑汽车朱江明也许才是最 " 疯狂 " 的那个。 况且,对手规模远超零跑。2023 年,比亚迪销量 302 万辆,是零跑的 21 倍。 差距悬殊,更常见的做法是打差异化。李斌、李想、何小鹏的共同判断是,先避开大众价位,理想 强调产品、蔚来看重服务、小鹏主打技术领先,这些都是传统车企不足的地方。 一位也在 10 万元造车的汽车人士一开始就判断,规模优势下,和比亚迪拼成本,"没有任何可能 赢,你便宜它更便宜"。 新势力中,只有朱江明这么选。 他认为有得打,"我们的成本控制不比比亚迪差"。比亚迪降价,那就跟牌,"我们今年不就在跟 吗?" 再降呢?"那就看看它能不能把别人打掉"。他不回避正面竞争。 比亚迪的成本优势,主要来自高度垂直整合的供应链。2023 年,瑞银证券拆解了一辆比亚迪海豹, 发现约 75% 的零部件都是自制。 朱江明认可比亚迪整体的成本控制,但觉得建太多产能,风险也随之增加。"它为什么要降价?它现 在的 ...