Core Insights - The progress in ending the U.S. government shutdown has sparked optimism for more companies to go public before Thanksgiving, with at least six companies, including Medline Inc., having submitted IPO applications [1][2] - Medline Inc. is expected to be the largest IPO in the U.S. this year, with plans to begin formal marketing as early as Wednesday [2][4] - The IPO market faces challenges, including potential legislative gridlock in the Senate and a backlog of regulatory work once government operations resume [4] Group 1: IPO Market Dynamics - The longest government shutdown in history may lead to the shelving of alternative IPO strategies adopted during the shutdown, returning to normal IPO processes [2] - Despite the potential for IPOs before Thanksgiving, there are numerous obstacles, including limited working days in 2025, increased market volatility, and mixed performance of recent IPOs [4] - The average weighted return for IPOs priced in Q4 2025 is only 6%, compared to 22% for IPOs in the same period this year [5] Group 2: Future Outlook - The clarity around government shutdowns, tariff policies, and potential interest rate cuts may boost the IPO market in the remaining windows of the year [6] - Analysts predict that 2025 will be a favorable year for new stock offerings, with promising prospects for 2026 as well [6]

Core Points - The U.S. federal government shutdown has led to significant staffing reductions at key financial regulatory agencies, with the SEC furloughing over 90% of its employees, retaining only about 393 for urgent enforcement and market oversight [1] - The CFTC has retained only 5.7% of its 543 employees during the shutdown, which may hinder its ability to monitor markets and prevent fraud [1] - The shutdown could delay or cancel the release of critical economic data, affecting investor assessments of macroeconomic trends and potentially leading to asset price volatility [1] - The SEC will continue to process routine corporate filings but will suspend IPO applications, which may dampen the recent recovery in U.S. IPO activity [1] - As of September 29, 2023, U.S. IPOs have raised $52.94 billion this year, the highest since 2021, with 263 IPOs completed [1] Industry Impact - The shutdown may impact the approval of several cryptocurrency-linked ETFs, which were expected to launch in early October [2] - Democratic Congresswoman Maxine Waters warned that the shutdown poses significant risks to financial markets and investors, particularly at a time when strong regulation is needed [2] - The Federal Reserve and the FDIC will continue to operate normally, as their funding does not rely on congressional appropriations [2]

Group 1 - The U.S. federal government shutdown has led to over 90% of employees at the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) being placed on unpaid leave, with only about 393 employees remaining to handle urgent enforcement and market oversight tasks [1] - The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has retained only 5.7% of its 543 employees during the shutdown, which may hinder its ability to supervise markets and prevent fraud [1] - The shutdown could delay or cancel the release of key economic data, affecting investors' assessment of macroeconomic trends and potentially leading to asset price volatility [1] Group 2 - The SEC will continue to process routine corporate filings but will suspend the acceptance of initial public offering (IPO) applications, which may dampen the recent recovery in U.S. IPO activity [1] - As of September 29, 2023, U.S. IPOs have raised a total of $52.94 billion from 263 offerings this year, the highest since 2021 [1] - The shutdown may also impact the approval of cryptocurrency-linked exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which were expected to launch in early October [2]