马口铁包装
Search documents
中粮包装(0906.HK)中报业绩点评:短期关注加多宝仲裁进程和毛利率改善情况
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-02 12:33
Core Insights - The company reported a 16.9% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2018, reaching 3.33 billion RMB, despite a decline in gross margin due to rising raw material costs [1] - Key product categories, including tinplate, aluminum, and plastic packaging, experienced steady growth, with revenue growth rates of 13.1%, 23.2%, and 14.6% respectively [2] - The partnership with Jia Duo Bao faces uncertainties, leading the company to suspend can supply to Jia Duo Bao while maintaining growth in its two-piece can business through adjustments in customer structure [3] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating with a target price of 3.85 HKD, reflecting adjustments in future profit margin and investment return forecasts [4] Revenue and Profitability - The gross margin remained low at 15.0%, down 2 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to an 8.6% increase in the average purchase price of tinplate and high aluminum prices [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 14.8% to 143 million RMB, with an EPS of 0.12 RMB for the period [1] Product Performance - Tinplate packaging accounted for 53.7% of total revenue, with significant growth in steel drum business (27.1% increase) and strong performance in three-piece and square can businesses [2] - The aluminum packaging segment saw a 34.1% increase in sales volume for single-piece cans, benefiting from new customer acquisitions [2] Partnership and Arbitration - The company has initiated arbitration against Wanglaoji for non-compliance with the agreement regarding the Jia Duo Bao trademark, having already invested 877 million RMB in cash and 220 million RMB in can supplies [3] - Despite the uncertainties with Jia Duo Bao, the two-piece can business showed resilience with a 21.8% revenue increase [3] Future Outlook - The company has revised its EPS forecasts for 2018-2020 to 0.26, 0.31, and 0.38 RMB, respectively, due to the adverse impact of raw material prices and the arbitration situation [4] - The target price adjustment to 3.85 HKD corresponds to a PE ratio of 13x for 2018 and 11x for 2019 [4]