9月30日晚间，海南华铁（603300.SH）公告称，子公司华铁大黄蜂与杭州X公司签署的36.9亿元《算力 服务协议》正式终止。这份曾推动公司股价飙升近3倍的巨额订单，在签署后的7个月内始终处于"零交 付、零成本、零履行"的诡异状态。 同日，上交所就此事向公司及"董监高"火速下发监管函，明确就重大合同终止事项提出监管要求。 更令人意外的是，短短数日后，原实控人胡丹锋宣布终止原定最高套现4.85亿元的减持计划，转而承诺 在未来1个月内以3000万至5000万元增持股份。这一从"大幅减持"到"紧急增持"的极端转变，引发了对 这份神秘订单背后真相的深层质疑。 一纸协议，股价飙涨，谁在获益？ 时间回溯到2025年3月，彼时，海南华铁高调宣布子公司与杭州X公司签署《算力服务协议》，合同金 额高达36.9亿元（含税），服务期为5年。这份协议在当时被视为海南华铁转型算力服务领域的重大突 破。 公司曾表示，该合同履行预计"有利于拓展公司算力服务业务的市场，提升公司的盈利能力及核心竞争 力"。按照当时预测，该合同执行后预计平均每年产生营业收入约7亿元。以海南华铁2024年全年营收 51.71亿元计算，该订单金额相当于公司全年营 ...

Core Viewpoint - Hainan Huatie is planning to issue shares overseas (S shares) and list on the Singapore Exchange to accelerate its international strategy and promote the establishment of overseas intelligent computing centers, particularly in Southeast Asia [1] Group 1: Internationalization and Business Transformation - Hainan Huatie, formerly known as Huatie Emergency, is transitioning from high-altitude equipment rental to intelligent computing and low-altitude economy, leveraging state-owned enterprise resources and private sector flexibility [2] - The company announced an investment in intelligent computing center construction in May 2024, with signed contracts for computing services reaching 6.67 billion yuan, a 169% increase from the end of 2024 [2] - The company is deepening partnerships with ecosystem enterprises like DeepSeek to strengthen its intelligent computing industry chain [2] Group 2: Funding Needs and Market Positioning - The construction of intelligent computing centers in Southeast Asia requires significant foreign currency investment, with overseas revenue in 2024 only at 1.31 million yuan and a gross margin of -35.63% [3] - Listing in Singapore will allow the company to directly raise foreign currency, mitigate exchange rate risks, and meet infrastructure investment needs [3] - The Singapore Exchange listing is expected to enhance international client recognition and facilitate long-term computing service agreements [3] Group 3: Business Expansion and Capital Opportunities - The company plans to accelerate the dual export of equipment and computing services, with nearly 600 units of engineering equipment in South Korea and plans to expand into the Middle East by 2025 [4] - Hainan Huatie is exploring the blue ocean of Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization, having collaborated with Ant Chain to put high-altitude equipment assets on the blockchain [5] - The potential for computing devices and high machinery assets to become RWA targets could open up a market exceeding 100 billion dollars, with the current RWA market size over 22 billion dollars [6] Group 4: Diversification and Risk Management - The company has diversified its business, with a market share of 25% in traditional high machinery equipment, an increase in forklift rental rates from 8% to 84%, and over ten million yuan in orders for cargo drones [7] - The Singapore listing is seen as a critical leap for Hainan Huatie's transformation from a "Chinese equipment rental leader" to a "global computing service provider," with potential to alleviate funding pressures for overseas expansion [9]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for the company [5]. Core Views - The company is a leading player in the aerial work platform rental industry, with significant growth potential in overseas markets, which is expected to contribute to performance increments [3]. - The company is shifting its focus towards non-asset-driven businesses, which are growing rapidly and are projected to account for 60.1% of revenue by 2024, up 13.58 percentage points year-on-year [1][2]. - Despite a decline in net profit by 6.87% year-on-year, the company is expected to achieve stable revenue growth of 20.50% in 2024, reaching 11.581 billion yuan [1][2]. Financial Summary - Revenue for 2024 is projected at 11.581 billion yuan, a 20.50% increase from the previous year, while net profit is expected to be 896.32 million yuan, a decrease of 6.87% [4]. - The gross margin for 2024 is estimated at 32.59%, down 16.73% year-on-year, with the rental service segment showing a gross margin of 38.15% [2]. - Operating cash flow is expected to increase to 4.204 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a positive cash flow trend [2]. Business Segments - The company’s revenue from operating leasing services is projected to decline by 10.08% to 4.621 billion yuan, while engineering technical services and asset management are expected to grow by 26.54% and 112.96%, respectively [1]. - The company has expanded its overseas operations, entering seven countries, and expects overseas revenue to reach 389 million yuan in 2024, a staggering growth of 2765.7% [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 11.928 billion yuan, 13.718 billion yuan, and 15.775 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 921 million yuan, 1.062 billion yuan, and 1.218 billion yuan [4][3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.29 yuan, 0.33 yuan, and 0.38 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios decreasing to 3.87, 3.35, and 2.92 [4][3].