展望2025年，该行预计公司营收增长11.4%，归母净利润增长9.8%。2025Q1~Q3公司产品力以及渠道运 营效率不断提升的背景下，公司实现了稳健的销售表现，综合考虑此前公司召开的订货会情况后，该行 预计公司2025年营收增长11.4%，归母净利润增长9.8%。 报告中称，361度披露2025Q3经营情况公告，全渠道流水增速优异。根据公司披露，2025Q3361度成人 装线下渠道流水增长10%左右，童装线下流水增长10%左右，电商流水同比增长20%左右，整体表现优 异，同时营运状况稳健，该行预计线下渠道库销比在4.5-5之间，同2025Q2末保持一致。 国盛证券发布研报称，361度(01361)作为运动鞋服头部公司之一，业绩增速优异，预计公司2025-2027年 归母净利润为12.61/14.20/15.88亿元，现价对应2025年PE为10倍，维持"买入"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guosheng Securities reports that 361 Degrees (01361) is one of the leading companies in the sports footwear and apparel sector, showing excellent performance growth, with projected net profits of 1.261 billion, 1.420 billion, and 1.588 billion yuan for 2025-2027, respectively, maintaining a "Buy" rating with a 2025 PE of 10 times [1] Group 1 - The company disclosed its Q3 2025 operational performance, indicating strong growth across all channels, with adult apparel offline channel revenue increasing by approximately 10%, children's apparel offline revenue also up by around 10%, and e-commerce revenue growing by 20% year-on-year [1] - The operational status remains stable, with the offline channel inventory-to-sales ratio expected to be between 4.5 and 5, consistent with the end of Q2 2025 [1] - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve an 11.4% revenue growth and a 9.8% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, driven by improved product strength and channel operational efficiency [1]

Core Viewpoint - 361 Degrees reported stable growth in its mid-2025 operational data, with revenue and net profit showing positive year-on-year increases, aligning with expectations [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 increased by 11% to 5.7 billion yuan, while net profit rose by 9% to 860 million yuan, meeting expectations [1] - The proposed interim dividend is 0.204 HKD per share, with a payout ratio of 45%, up from 40.3% in the first half of 2024, enhancing shareholder returns [1] Business Segments - The children's clothing segment maintained double-digit growth, with revenue up 11% to 1.26 billion yuan; children's footwear and apparel saw revenue changes of +28% and -8%, respectively [1] - The gross margin for children's apparel decreased due to the introduction of high-cost performance products aimed at attracting customers [1] - Adult footwear and apparel revenue grew by 8% to 4.18 billion yuan, with footwear and apparel gross margins at 43.3% and 41.3%, respectively, showing year-on-year improvements [1] Channel Performance - E-commerce channel revenue surged by 45% to 1.82 billion yuan, accounting for 31.8% of total revenue, with effective product differentiation between online and offline offerings [2] - Offline revenue remained stable, focusing on innovative retail models and enhancing single-store productivity [2] - As of June 2025, the company operated 5,669 stores, a decrease of 81 from the end of 2024, with an average store size increase of 7 square meters [2] Inventory and Cash Flow - Inventory value decreased by 11% to 1.89 billion yuan, with inventory turnover days increasing by 2 days to 109 days [3] - Operating cash flow improved significantly, up 227% to 520 million yuan, attributed to reduced inventory and slower accounts receivable growth [3] - The company holds approximately 4.3 billion yuan in net cash, with a low debt ratio of 2.2% [3] Profitability Metrics - Gross margin slightly increased by 0.2 percentage points to 41.5%, while overall expense ratios remained stable [3] - Sales expense ratio rose by 0.3 percentage points to 18.2%, with advertising costs at 580 million yuan, consistent with budget and prior year [3] - Operating profit margin decreased by 0.6 percentage points to 20%, and net profit margin fell by 0.3 percentage points to 15% [3] Strategic Outlook - The company has been enhancing its product, brand, and channel strategies over the past two decades, with ongoing brand upgrades and channel optimization [4] - Despite competitive pricing pressures, the company expects to outpace industry growth due to its high cost-performance products [4] - Revised net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 1.26 billion, 1.39 billion, and 1.51 billion yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9, 8, and 7 [4]

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