本月，在播客节目The Diary of A CEO中，主持人Steven Bartlett与嘉宾Mo Gawdat就AI对社会的影响，以及人类如何应对即将到来的技术变革进行了讨 论。Mo Gawdat是谷歌前高管，曾任谷歌X实验室首席商务官，对AI发展有深入思考，曾多次对未来人类社会将如何受到AI影响进行分析。 近两年，AI的发展进入高速时代，产品层出不穷，更新速度惊人。从ChatGPT到DeepSeek，AI正逐渐渗透到所有人生活的方方面面。人们在享受AI带来的 便利的同时，疑惑也层出不穷：AI会不会抢打工人的饭碗？老人和其他不太会使用AI工具的人会不会被社会淘汰？甚至还有终极的担忧——AI会不会发 展到人类再也无法掌控的那一天？ ●图为Mo Gawdat Mo Gawdat认为在接下来的十几年内，世界将经历一个不可逆转的转型时期，人们对自由、责任、经济和权力的方式将发生根本性改变。因此，需要为迎 接一个陌生的世界做好准备。他强调了构建AI社会的重要性，并持乐观态度：尽管会经历一段不可避免的混乱时期，但AI最终能让世界变得更美好。此 外，Mo相信转变的开始将在2027年发生。 本次访谈由Steven Ba ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a dystopian future predicted by former Google X executive Mo Gawdat, where the middle class will be eliminated by AI, leaving only the top 0.1% and the lower class. This "AI hell" period is expected to start in 2027 and last for 12 to 15 years, leading to massive unemployment and social upheaval before transitioning to a utopian society post-2042 [2][11]. Group 1: Dystopian Predictions - Gawdat predicts that from 2027, society will enter a dystopian phase characterized by widespread white-collar unemployment and economic imbalance, lasting for 12 to 15 years [7]. - The current geopolitical environment is unfavorable, primarily driven by financial motives, with significant military expenditures contributing to global instability [7]. - The rise of AI and automation will lead to extreme income and wealth inequality, with most people relying on Universal Basic Income (UBI) for survival [9]. Group 2: AI's Role and Potential - Gawdat argues that AI could replace harmful human leaders, potentially leading to a better world with free healthcare and more leisure time, provided it is managed ethically [4][5]. - The development of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is anticipated to occur by 2026 or 2027, which could drastically change the technological landscape [7][8]. - AI's self-improvement capabilities may lead to a scenario where human contributions become minimal, and AI could take over leadership roles, potentially resulting in a more equitable society [8][10]. Group 3: Social Implications - The elimination of the middle class will result in a society divided into the wealthy elite and the lower class, with the majority becoming "farmers" in a new social structure [12]. - Future societal divisions may emerge between those who embrace a return to community-oriented living and those who pursue technological advancements and efficiency [13][14]. - The ideal scenario would involve humans retaining jobs while benefiting from AI assistance, maintaining economic stability and consumer power [14].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint presented by Mo Gawdat is that the middle class will be completely eliminated by AI, resulting in a society divided into the top 0.1% and the lower class, with no middle ground [1][33] - Gawdat predicts that a dystopian period will begin in 2027 and last for 12 to 15 years, characterized by mass unemployment among white-collar workers, economic imbalance, and social unrest [3][13] - He argues that the current geopolitical environment is driven by financial interests, with wars often being a means for lenders and the arms industry to profit [15][21] Group 2 - Gawdat believes that AI could potentially lead to a utopian future post-2042, where human labor is no longer required for mundane tasks, allowing people to focus on personal fulfillment [3][10] - He emphasizes that the true threat is not AI itself, but rather the incompetence of human leaders who currently control AI, leading to a temporary dystopian phase [8][26] - The transition to a society led by AI could result in a significant shift in power dynamics, where the elite may resist relinquishing control, thus hindering progress towards a more equitable society [29][32] Group 3 - Gawdat suggests that as AI evolves, it will surpass human intelligence, leading to a scenario where human contributions become minimal, and AI could potentially govern with a focus on global prosperity and environmental protection [31][32] - He warns that the current elite may not be willing to give up their power, which could obstruct the transition to a society where resources are abundant and needs are met without competition [32][36] - The future may see a split in society between those who embrace AI and those who resist it, leading to potential conflicts over the role of AI in the workforce [36][38]