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南华干散货运输市场日报-20250828
Nan Hua Qi Huo· 2025-08-28 10:59
Group 1: Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The BDI shipping market started to pick up this week. The increase in BCI freight index from a decline to a rise, along with the continuous rise of BPI, BSI, and BHSI freight indices, contributed to this trend. The BPI freight index had a weekly increase of over 12% [1]. - The surge in agricultural product shipments, especially from Brazil, led to a significant increase in the demand for Panamax and (large) Handysize vessels. In contrast, the shipments of industrial products such as coal and iron ore showed a slight decline [1]. Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Summary - The BDI shipping market showed signs of recovery this week. The BCI freight index reversed from a decline to an increase, while the BPI, BSI, and BHSI freight indices continued to rise. The BPI freight index had a weekly increase of over 12% [1]. - Agricultural product shipments, particularly corn, wheat, and soybeans, increased significantly, driving up the demand for Panamax and (large) Handysize vessels. Industrial product shipments, such as coal and iron ore, decreased slightly [1]. 2. Spot Index Review 2.1 BDI Freight Index Analysis - On August 27, all components of the BDI composite freight index and its sub - ship type freight indices increased week - on - week. The BPI freight index had the largest increase, exceeding 12%. Specifically, the BDI composite index closed at 2046 points, up 6.18% week - on - week; the BCI index was at 2989 points, up 4.27%; the BPI index reached 1874 points, up 12.55%; the BSI index was 1447 points, up 4.25%; and the BHSI index was 745 points, up 4.34% [4]. 2.2 FDI Far East Dry Bulk Freight Index - On August 27, most of the FDI composite index and sub - ship type charter rates increased. However, the freight rate of the Australia - Qingdao route in the FDI Capesize vessel charter rate index decreased on a daily basis. The FDI composite freight index closed at 1375.16 points, up 0.43% month - on - month; the FDI charter rate index was at 1706.73 points, up 0.79% [8]. 3. Dry Bulk Shipment Tracking 3.1 Ship Usage Quantity of Shipping Countries on the Day - On August 28, among the major agricultural product shipping countries, Brazil used 59 ships, Russia used 11 ships, Argentina used 16 ships, and Australia used 5 ships. Among the major industrial product shipping countries, Australia used 52 ships, Guinea used 28 ships, Indonesia used 42 ships, Russia used 24 ships, South Africa used 16 ships, Brazil used 9 ships, and the United States used 10 ships [16][17]. 3.2 Shipment Volume and Ship Usage Analysis on the Day - In terms of agricultural product shipments, 29 ships were used for corn, 23 for wheat, 22 for soybeans, 13 for soybean meal, and 11 for sugar. For industrial product shipments, 106 ships were used for coal, 67 for iron ore, and 17 for other dry goods. By ship type, the largest number of Ultra - Panamax ships (49) were required for agricultural product shipments, followed by 19 Ultra - Handysize ships and 20 Handysize ships. For industrial product shipments, the largest number of Capesize ships (77) were needed, followed by 64 Ultra - Panamax ships and 62 Ultra - Handysize ships [18]. 4. Tracking of the Number of Ships at Major Ports - This week, the number of ships at Chinese and Indonesian ports continued to increase, while the number of ships at Australian ports continued to decrease significantly on a weekly basis. Adjusted data showed that from August 1 to August 27, "one port decreased and four ports increased." Except for a decrease of 9 ships at Chinese ports, the number of ships at other ports was expected to increase. The number of ships at six Australian ports increased by 3, at six Indonesian ports by 2, at five Brazilian ports by 8, and at one South African port by 1 [18][19]. 5. Relationship between Freight and Commodity Prices - On August 27, the price of Brazilian soybeans was $38 per ton. On August 28, the near - term shipping quote for Brazilian soybeans was 3975.84 yuan per ton. - On August 26, the latest quote for the BCI C10_14 route freight was $28,068 per day. On August 27, the latest quote for the iron ore arrival price was $119.95 per thousand tons. - On August 26, the latest quote for the BPI P3A_03 route freight was $14,402 per day. On August 27, the latest quote for the thermal coal arrival price was 551.71 yuan per ton. - On August 27, the Handysize vessel freight index was quoted at 727.6 points. On August 29, the quote for 4 - meter medium ACFR radiata pine was $116 per cubic meter [23].
南华干散货运输市场日报-20250724
Nan Hua Qi Huo· 2025-07-24 08:22
Report Summary - The report focuses on the dry bulk shipping market on July 24, 2025, analyzing spot index, dry bulk shipping volume, port ship quantity, and the relationship between freight and commodity prices [1]. 1. Spot Index Review 1.1 BDI Freight Index Analysis - The increase of the BDI composite freight index narrowed, with the BPI and BSI freight indices falling, while the BCI freight index increase expanded. On July 23, the BDI composite freight index closed at 2120 points, up 11.23% week - on - week; the BCI freight index closed at 3339 points, up 26.38% week - on - week; the BPI freight index closed at 1905 points, down 3.15% week - on - week; the BSI freight index closed at 1313 points, down 0.15% week - on - week; the BHSI freight index closed at 682 points, up 2.71% week - on - week [1][3]. 1.2 FDI Far - East Dry Bulk Freight Index - On July 23, the FDI index rose across the board, but most routes in the Panamax ship rental market of the FDI rental index saw freight declines. The FDI composite freight index closed at 1307.33 points, up 1.96% month - on - month; the FDI rental index closed at 1589.97 points, up 2.11% month - on - month. Among them, the Capesize ship rental index closed at 1555.41 points, up 5.74% month - on - month; the Panamax ship rental index closed at 1712.7 points, down 0.28% month - on - month; the Handymax ship rental index closed at 1513.32 points, up 0.11% month - on - month; the FDI freight index closed at 1118.9 points, up 1.81% month - on - month [7]. 2. Dry Bulk Shipping Situation Tracking 2.1 Shipping Country Shipping Vessel Quantity - On July 24, among major agricultural product shipping countries, Brazil used 32 shipping vessels, Russia 7, Argentina 26, and Australia 6. Among major industrial product shipping countries, Australia used 50, Guinea 27, Indonesia 32, Russia 24, South Africa 21, Brazil 10, and the US 17 [15][16]. 2.2 Shipping Volume and Vessel Usage Analysis - In agricultural product shipping, corn used 19 vessels, wheat 23, soybeans 19, soybean meal 12, and sugar 4. In industrial product shipping, coal used 103 vessels, iron ore 67, and other dry goods 19. Agricultural product shipping required the most Post - Panamax vessels (38), followed by Supramax vessels (16) and Handysize vessels (20). Industrial product shipping required the most Capesize vessels (80), followed by Post - Panamax vessels (56) and Supramax vessels (55) [17]. 3. Main Port Ship Quantity Tracking - In the current week, the number of ships in Chinese, Indonesian, and South African ports increased month - on - month. From July 1 to July 23, the number of dry bulk ships in Chinese ports increased by 27, in Australian ports decreased by 15, in Indonesian ports increased by 2, and in Brazilian ports decreased by 5 [18]. 4. Relationship between Freight and Commodity Prices - On July 23, Brazilian soybeans were at $40/ton, and on July 24, the near - term shipping quote was 3938.83 yuan/ton. On July 22, the BCI C10_14 route freight was $22623/day, and on July 23, the iron ore CIF price was $118/kiloton. On July 22, the BPI P3A_03 route freight was $14362/day, and on July 23, the steam coal CIF price was 529.81 yuan/ton. On July 23, the Handysize ship freight index was 675.6 points, and on July 25, the 4 - meter radiata pine ACFR was $114/cubic meter [22].