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华金证券:算力成具身智能机器人发展核心关键支撑点 建议关注寒武纪-U(688256.SH)等
智通财经网· 2025-08-27 03:41
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that physical intelligence will be a key direction for the development of AI large model architecture, with computing power being the foundation for embodied intelligence [1] - The rapid development of embodied intelligent robots is closely linked to the rise of AI large models, with computing power as a critical support point for this development [1] - Nvidia's release of the Cosmos world model platform at CES 2025 aims to teach AI to understand the physical world, which is expected to revolutionize the $50 trillion manufacturing and logistics industries [1] Group 2 - There are currently two mainstream architectures for embodied large models: end-to-end embodied models and hierarchical decision models, with the latter being favored by most domestic startups due to cost and technical feasibility [2] - The end-to-end model integrates "brain" and "cerebellum," reducing error transmission but requiring massive data and resources [2] Group 3 - The global humanoid robot market is projected to grow from approximately $2.16 billion in 2023 to $32.4 billion by 2029 [3] - The humanoid robot market in China is expected to reach a scale of approximately 20 to 50 billion yuan by 2028, and could grow to 500 billion yuan by 2035 [3] - By 2045, the humanoid robot market could reach a scale of approximately 10 trillion yuan, with over 100 million humanoid robots in use across various industries [3]
能空翻≠能干活,我们离通用机器人还有多远?
3 6 Ke· 2025-05-22 02:28
Core Insights - Embodied intelligence has gained significant attention in both industry and academia, particularly in humanoid robots, which integrate perception, movement, and decision-making capabilities [1][4][30] - The development of embodied intelligence is seen as a pathway towards achieving general robotics, with ongoing discussions about the challenges and milestones that lie ahead [1][30] Group 1: Current State and Future Prospects - The industry anticipates that 2025 may mark the "year of embodied intelligence," with significant competition emerging in the multimodal and embodied intelligence sectors [3][4] - NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang has proclaimed that the era of general robotics has begun, outlining four stages of AI development, culminating in "physical AI," which focuses on understanding and interacting with the physical world [3][4] - Experts believe that while progress has been made, the journey towards true general robotics is still in its early stages, with many technical and conceptual hurdles remaining [31][32] Group 2: Technical Challenges and Opportunities - The current landscape of embodied intelligence is characterized by a lack of comprehensive models and algorithms, with many systems still not achieving convergence [32][33] - Key technical challenges include the integration of sensory feedback, the development of robust algorithms, and the need for advanced perception capabilities, such as tactile sensing [33][34] - The industry is witnessing a shift where many researchers from the autonomous driving sector are transitioning to embodied intelligence, leveraging their expertise in perception and interaction [15][19] Group 3: Application Scenarios - Potential application areas for embodied intelligence include home care, household services, and industrial automation, which are seen as practical and immediate needs [41] - The focus on specific vertical applications rather than general-purpose robots is emphasized, as the technology is still maturing and requires targeted development to meet real-world demands [36][41] - The integration of embodied intelligence into existing industrial systems is viewed as a promising avenue for scalability and broader adoption [39]