Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company has faced significant revenue and profit declines in 2024, with operating income of 36.441 billion yuan, down 40.72% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.961 billion yuan, down 42.60% year-on-year [20][14] - Despite the challenges, the company remains optimistic about its coal transportation business in Xinjiang, which is expected to recover due to seasonal demand [14] Summary by Sections Overall Performance - In 2024, the company reported an operating income of 36.441 billion yuan, a decrease of 40.72% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.961 billion yuan, down 42.60% year-on-year. The net cash flow from operating activities was 5.675 billion yuan, down 16.64% year-on-year [20][14] Coal Business - The coal business achieved record production and sales, with raw coal output reaching 39.8329 million tons, up 78.52% year-on-year, and total coal sales of 47.234 million tons, up 52.39% year-on-year. Revenue from coal operations was 17.379 billion yuan, an increase of 18.03% year-on-year, although the gross margin fell to 22.95%, down 11.73 percentage points due to declining sales prices [27][29] Natural Gas Business - The company reduced its external gas procurement due to price discrepancies, resulting in a 51.65% year-on-year decrease in external LNG sales to 2.2393 million tons. Total natural gas sales were 2.8401 million tons, down 52.95% year-on-year. Revenue from natural gas sales dropped to 13.065 billion yuan, down 65.95% year-on-year, while the gross margin improved to 14.37%, up 6.26 percentage points [31][33] Coal Chemical Business - The coal chemical segment maintained stable production, with methanol output of 1.0788 million tons, up 18.43% year-on-year, and ethylene glycol output of 155,600 tons, up 23.73% year-on-year. However, total sales in this segment decreased by 8.42% year-on-year [36][39] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company forecasts a net profit of 3.487 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a 17.75% increase year-on-year, with expected earnings per share of 0.54 yuan. The company is positioned well in Xinjiang with strong coal reserves and advanced production capacity, indicating potential for valuation recovery [14][42]