Core Insights - Investors are navigating a complex environment characterized by elevated inflation and central banks cutting rates to support softening labor markets [1][4] - The article emphasizes the importance of diversifying portfolios to mitigate risks associated with inflation and interest rate changes [2][21] Impact of Inflation and Rate Cuts on Stocks - Inflation affects all sectors, but companies with sufficient pricing power, particularly in essential goods and services, can maintain shareholder value [3][5] - The Federal Reserve's rate cuts on September 17, 2025, are aimed at addressing labor market weaknesses, creating opportunities for rate-sensitive sectors like property and technology [4][10] Defensive Sectors and Companies - Essential services and goods are considered "recession-proof," making them attractive during economic downturns [5][6] - Companies like Sheng Siong and Nestlé can pass rising costs to consumers, protecting profit margins during inflation [6][7] - The healthcare sector, exemplified by Johnson & Johnson, can also manage rising costs effectively due to non-discretionary demand [8] Opportunities in Low Interest Rates - Low interest rates stimulate borrowing, benefiting property developers and REITs, which can access cheaper financing [9][10] - City Developments Limited (CDL) is highlighted for its diversified assets and strong demand for residential properties, recently divesting a stake for S$834.2 million [11][12] - Growth stocks, particularly in technology, are well-positioned to leverage low interest rates for expansion [13][14] Blue-Chip Stocks as Stability - Blue-chip companies like DBS Group and Unilever provide stability and potential for capital appreciation, even in bearish markets [15][16][17] - DBS Group's strong fundamentals and regional presence have sustained investor confidence, with shares surpassing S$50 [16] Building a Balanced Portfolio - Diversification is crucial, combining inflation-resistant sectors (consumer staples, utilities, healthcare) with rate-sensitive opportunities (tech stocks, REITs, property developers) [19][22] - A multi-scenario approach allows investors to be prepared for varying economic conditions, ensuring no single shock derails the portfolio [20][21]

Core Insights - Procter & Gamble (PG) exceeded Wall Street expectations for first-quarter revenue and profit, driven by strong demand for beauty and hair-care products despite economic uncertainties [1][5] - The company reduced its annual tariff cost estimate to approximately $400 million after tax, down from $800 million, following Canada lifting retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods [1] Financial Performance - PG's quarterly revenue increased by 3% to $22.39 billion, surpassing estimates of 2% growth to $22.17 billion [5] - Core earnings per share reached $1.99, beating estimates by 9 cents, as higher prices helped mitigate tariff pressures [5] Market Trends - Sales volumes in the beauty segment rose by 4% in the three months ending September, compared to a 1% increase in the previous quarter [3] - Overall volumes across PG remained flat, although there was an increase in China [2][3] Competitive Landscape - PG's results are consistent with those of competitors like Unilever, which reported double-digit sales growth from beauty brands in the U.S. [2]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Unilever reported underlying sales growth of 3.9% in Q3 2025, with underlying price growth at 2.4% and volume contributing 1.5% [5][6][18] - Turnover for Q3 was EUR 14.7 billion, down 3.5% year-on-year, primarily due to a negative currency impact of 6.1% [18][19] - The company expects an adverse currency impact on full-year turnover of around 6% and a 30 basis points impact on the underlying operating margin [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Beauty and Wellbeing and Personal Care were major growth engines, with underlying sales growth of 5.1% and 4.1% respectively [22][10] - Power brands, which represent over 75% of turnover, grew by 4.4% in Q3, with volumes up 1.7% for the total group [6][7] - Home Care underlying sales grew 3.1%, driven by strong performances from CIF and Domestos [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America saw underlying sales growth of 5.5%, driven by Personal Care and Wellbeing brands [7][8] - Emerging markets grew by 4.1%, led by a return to growth in Indonesia and China, despite challenges in India and Latin America [3][9] - Latin America experienced a decline in underlying sales by 2.5%, with a 7.3% decline in volume [9][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on premium segments and fast-growing channels, with a significant shift towards digital commerce [22][60] - Unilever is preparing for the demerger of its ice cream business, expected to be completed in 2025 [3][17] - The strategic priority is to strengthen the portfolio with more beauty, wellbeing, and personal care products, aiming for a higher market share in key categories [22][47] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in meeting full-year outlook despite some market softness, particularly in Latin America [21][22] - The company anticipates volume growth in Q4 to be at least in line with Q3, with an expected improvement in underlying operating margin for the full year [21][68] - Management highlighted the importance of learning from challenges in Latin America to avoid similar issues in other regions [32][75] Other Important Information - The company has made significant investments in premium innovations and brand execution, which are expected to drive future growth [22][23] - The acquisition of Dr. Squatch is expected to enhance Unilever's presence in the premium male grooming segment [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on volume growth expectations into 2026 - Management confirmed expectations of 2% volume growth into 2026, reflecting confidence in long-term market performance [25][28] Question: Growth of Wellbeing and Prestige in North America - Management noted strong double-digit growth in Liquid I.V. and Nutrafol, with improvements in prestige beauty brands like Hourglass and K18 [28][29] Question: Challenges in Latin America - Management acknowledged self-inflicted issues in Brazil, particularly in laundry and deodorants, and outlined corrective actions being taken [30][31] Question: Pricing outlook in light of commodity costs - Management indicated that while commodity costs are relatively benign, wage inflation and currency devaluation are factors to consider for future pricing strategies [38][39] Question: Performance in China and Indonesia - Management reported positive growth in both markets, with significant improvements in Indonesia attributed to a reset in business fundamentals [71][72]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Unilever reported underlying sales growth of 3.9% in Q3 2025, with underlying price growth at 2.4% and volume contributing 1.5% [5][18] - Turnover for Q3 was €14.7 billion, down 3.5% year-on-year, primarily due to a negative currency impact of 6.1% [17][18] - The company expects an adverse currency impact on full-year turnover of around 6% and a 30 basis points impact on the underlying operating margin [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Beauty and Wellbeing and Personal Care were major growth engines, with underlying sales growth of 5.1% and 4.1% respectively [20][11] - Power brands, which represent over 75% of turnover, grew by 4.4% in Q3, with volumes up 1.7% [5][6] - Home Care underlying sales grew 3.1%, driven by strong performances from CIF and Domestos [12][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America saw underlying sales growth of 5.5%, driven by strong performance in Personal Care and Wellbeing [6][19] - Emerging markets grew by 4.1%, led by a return to growth in Indonesia and China, despite challenges in India and Latin America [3][8] - Latin America experienced a decline in underlying sales by 2.5%, with a 7.3% decline in volume [8][9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on premium segments and fast-growing channels, with a significant shift towards digital commerce [2][20] - Unilever is preparing for the demerger of its ice cream business, expected to be completed in 2025 [3][16] - The strategic priority is to strengthen the portfolio with more beauty, wellbeing, and personal care products [20][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to outperform markets despite some softness in certain regions, particularly Latin America [19][21] - The outlook for the remainder of the year remains unchanged, with expectations for underlying sales growth within the 3% to 5% range [19][21] - Management highlighted the importance of premium innovations and digital commerce in driving future growth [20][21] Other Important Information - The company has seen significant improvements in its operational execution and brand performance, particularly in developed markets [2][6] - The acquisition of Dr. Squatch has expanded Unilever's presence in the premium male grooming segment [12][18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on volume growth into 2026 - Management confirmed a 2% volume growth expectation into 2026, highlighting strong performance in North America and challenges in Latin America [24][26] Question: Growth of wellbeing and prestige brands in North America - Management noted double-digit growth in Liquid I.V. and Nutrafol, with improvements in prestige beauty brands like Hourglass and K18 [27][28] Question: Actions taken in Latin America regarding pricing - Management acknowledged that pricing strategies in Brazil were too aggressive, leading to corrective actions and expected improvements in competitiveness [30][31] Question: Pricing outlook in light of commodity costs - Management indicated that while commodity costs are relatively benign, there are inflationary pressures in certain categories, and pricing adjustments will be made sensibly [33][36] Question: Performance in Mexico - Management reported soft market conditions in Mexico due to external factors but emphasized strong competitiveness in their portfolio [64][66] Question: Performance in Indonesia and China - Management expressed satisfaction with the growth in Indonesia and noted improvements in China due to strategic changes in the business model [70][72]

1 Safe harbour statement This presentation may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the securities laws of certain jurisdictions, including 'forward-looking statements' within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Words and terminology such as 'will', 'aim', 'expects', 'anticipates', 'intends', 'looks', 'believes', 'vision', 'ambiti ...

Core Insights - Unilever reported a total revenue of €30.1 billion for the first half of 2025, a decline of 3.2% year-on-year, impacted by unfavorable exchange rates (-4%) and net asset disposals (-2.5%) [1] - Net profit decreased by 5.1% to €3.8 billion [1] - The ice cream business, which is set to be spun off, was the only segment to show revenue growth, reaching €4.6 billion, up 0.2% year-on-year [1] Revenue Breakdown - Beauty and Wellness: Revenue of €6.5 billion, down 0.8% [1] - Personal Care: Revenue of €6.5 billion, down 5.9% [1] - Home Care: Revenue of €5.9 billion, down 6.7% [1] - Food: Revenue of €6.6 billion, down 1.8% [1] Sales Performance - Underlying sales growth (USG) for the first half was 3.4%, with volume growth of 1.5% and price contribution of 1.9% [3] - Beauty and Wellness segment saw a USG of 3.7%, with volume contributing 1.7% and price contributing 2% [3] - Personal Care segment achieved a USG of 4.8%, with volume contributing 1.4% and price contributing 3.3% [4] Profitability - Operating profit for Beauty and Wellness was €1.3 billion, down 3.7% year-on-year [3] - Operating profit for Personal Care was €1.4 billion, down 9.8% year-on-year [4] - Overall gross margin reached 45.7%, with a basic operating profit margin of 19.3%, down 30 basis points from the previous year [8] Future Outlook - Unilever expects full-year underlying sales growth to be in the range of 3% to 5%, with second-half growth anticipated to exceed that of the first half [8] - The company is focusing on enhancing its Beauty and Wellness and Personal Care segments, with increased investments in the U.S. and Indian markets [7] - The ice cream business is expected to complete its spin-off by mid-November 2025, transitioning into an independent operating company [7]

H1 2025 Performance - Unilever's H1 2025 underlying sales growth (USG) was 3.4%, driven by 1.5% underlying volume growth (UVG) and 1.9% underlying price growth (UPG)[10] - Power Brands' Q2 2025 USG improved to 4.4%, with 2.1% UVG and 2.3% UPG[12] - The company's turnover decreased by 3.2% year-over-year, from €31.1 billion in H1 2024 to €30.1 billion in H1 2025, impacted by net disposals and adverse currency effects[48] Segment Performance - North America achieved 5.4% USG in H1 2025, representing 23% of Group turnover[13] - Europe saw 3.4% USG in H1 2025, with 3.7% UVG and 1.6% UPG, accounting for 21% of Group turnover[15, 16] - Asia Pacific Africa (APA) experienced 3.5% USG in H1 2025, while Latin America had 0.5% USG[19] - Beauty & Wellbeing segment achieved 3.7% USG in H1 2025, with a €6.5 billion turnover[21, 22] - Dove's H1 2025 USG was 4.8%, driven by 3.3% UPG and 1.4% UVG[26] Strategic Initiatives - The Ice Cream business demerger is on track for mid-November, with Unilever retaining less than 20% stake in TMICC[8, 45] - Post demerger, based on FY 2024 financials, Unilever expects approximately €52 billion turnover, +160 bps GM, +100 bps UOM, +100 bps ROIC, ~100% cash conversion, and ~2x expected leverage[70] Financial Outlook - The company is on track to deliver its full-year 2025 outlook, including an improvement in FY underlying operating margin and USG within the 3-5% range[62, 63] - The company expects second half margins of at least 18.5%[63] - The company completed €1.5 billion share buyback in H1 2025[61]

Core Points - Dove, Walmart, and Big Brothers Big Sisters of America (BBBSA) have launched a multi-year partnership aimed at supporting youth mentorship and confidence as students prepare for the new school year [2][4] - From July 1 to August 31, 2025, Dove will donate $0.05 for every Dove and Dove Men + Care item purchased at Walmart, with a minimum donation of $200,000 and a maximum of $250,000 [6] Group 1: Partnership Details - The partnership includes a series of back-to-school events at select Walmart locations throughout August, featuring interactive activities that promote mentorship and confidence [3][4] - Events will allow attendees to engage with local mentors and mentees, participate in confidence-building activities, and receive product samples and resources [3][4] Group 2: Organizational Background - Dove is recognized as the world's largest provider of self-esteem education, having reached over 130 million young people through its Dove Self-Esteem Project [4] - Big Brothers Big Sisters of America has over 120 years of experience in youth mentoring, operating in all 50 states and more than 5,000 communities [4][9] - Walmart serves approximately 270 million customers weekly and reported a fiscal year 2025 revenue of $681 billion, emphasizing its role in community support [10]

Marketing Strategy - Unilever utilized influencers and AI to promote a cookie-scented Dove product line [1] - The company intends to replicate this strategy to revitalize underperforming toiletry products [1]

Core Insights - The rivalry between Procter & Gamble (PG) and Unilever (UL) is significant in the global consumer goods sector, with both companies dominating the fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) market [1][4]. Procter & Gamble (PG) - PG is recognized for its brand-heavy strategy, focusing on high-margin household and personal care products, which grants it strong pricing power and market dominance in North America [2][5]. - The company operates in over 180 countries with a portfolio of well-known brands, creating a competitive moat that allows for swift adaptation to market changes [5][6]. - PG emphasizes brand superiority and innovation, investing in differentiated products across various price tiers, which helps maintain consumer loyalty without heavy discounting [6][7]. - Despite facing potential tariff costs projected at $1-$1.5 billion annually, PG is managing these impacts through supply-chain localization and strategic pricing adjustments [8]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PG's fiscal 2025 sales and EPS indicates year-over-year growth of 0.2% and 3%, respectively, with projected increases of 2.6% and 3.2% in fiscal 2026 [17]. - PG's stock trades at a forward P/E multiple of 24.06, above its 5-year median, indicating a premium valuation that reflects its consistency and brand strength [22][26]. Unilever (UL) - UL adopts a diversified approach with operations in over 190 countries, focusing on both developed and emerging markets, which enhances its market coverage [9][10]. - The company's "Power Brands" account for over 75% of its turnover, demonstrating resilience and growth potential, particularly in developed markets [10][11]. - Under new leadership, UL is pursuing a consumer-focused strategy that emphasizes premiumization and digital marketing, aligning its products with evolving consumer preferences [12][16]. - Unilever's financial performance shows underlying sales growth of 3% in the first quarter of fiscal 2025, with strong contributions from personal care and wellbeing categories [14]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for UL's fiscal 2025 sales and EPS suggests year-over-year growth of 4.4% and 2.5%, respectively, with projected increases of 3.2% and 6.1% in fiscal 2026 [17]. - UL's stock has outperformed PG, with a total return of 19.1% over the past year, compared to PG's 3.8% growth [20]. - UL trades at a forward P/E multiple of 18.85, indicating it may be undervalued relative to PG, presenting a potential long-term investment opportunity [22][25]. Comparative Analysis - Both companies have experienced downward estimate revisions recently, but UL shows stronger projected revenue growth compared to PG [19]. - Unilever's more attractive valuation and diversified global presence position it favorably for future growth, while PG's premium valuation reflects its defensive qualities [25][26]. - Investor sentiment is shifting towards UL, supported by positive revisions to its earnings estimates, indicating confidence in its financial performance [28].