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中金:维持联想集团跑赢行业评级 升目标价至14.8港元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-08 01:33
Group 1: Company Overview - Company maintains an outperform rating and profit forecast for Lenovo Group, with a target price increase of 10.4% to HKD 14.8, indicating a potential upside of 34.6% based on a FY2026 P/E of 14.0x [1] - Recent visit to Lenovo's Shenzhen Future Center highlighted the company's strategic focus on AI smart devices, emphasizing hardware innovations and enhanced local model capabilities [2] - Lenovo's global supply chain and production layout provide a competitive edge in responding to macroeconomic changes, such as tariffs [2] Group 2: AI PC and Market Performance - In Q2 2025, global PC shipments grew by 6.5%, with Lenovo outperforming the market at a 15.2% growth rate, increasing its market share to 24.6% [3] - AI PCs are gaining traction, with Lenovo's AI PC shipments accounting for 27% of total notebook shipments in China during Q2 2025 [3] - The mobile segment also showed strong performance, with a 14% year-on-year revenue growth in Q2 2025, driven by successful high-end models like Moto Razr and Edge [3] Group 3: Cross-Device Experience and Ecosystem - Lenovo's "one body, multiple ends" strategy aims to create a seamless experience across PCs, smartphones, and tablets, enhancing user engagement with the "Tianxi" personal super intelligent agent [4] - The average weekly active user ratio reached 40% by the end of Q2 2025, indicating growing user participation [4] - Continuous innovation in cross-device connectivity and ecosystem development is a key focus for Lenovo, with an emphasis on SmartConnect capabilities [4] Group 4: Global Supply Chain and Production Strategy - Lenovo ranks eighth in Gartner's 2025 global supply chain list, with over 30 manufacturing bases across 11 markets, implementing a "China + N" strategy [5] - The global production layout enhances Lenovo's ability to navigate uncertainties related to international policies and tariffs [5]