This left the fourth quarter of 2025 with a net loss to common shareholders of $3.3 billion, even though EBIT‑adjusted for the quarter came in at a solid $2.8 billion. GM nevertheless delivered Q4 adjusted EPS of $2.51, ahead of the $2.20 consensus by roughly 14%, showing that the underlying business continues to execute even as it absorbs those strategic clean‑up costs.GM released its 2025 financial results on Jan. 27, reporting full‑year 2025 net income attributable to stockholders of $2.7 billion and EBI ...

Group 1 - General Motors (GM) is recognized for its significant share buyback, having reduced its share count by 40.1% since 2015, primarily by retiring shares issued during the financial crisis [2] - The stock has seen a remarkable increase of over 50% year-to-date, reaching its highest level since returning to public markets in 2010, despite previous tariff concerns [2] - GM is currently trading at just under seven times next year's earnings estimates, indicating potential for further growth, especially with anticipated rate cuts from the Federal Reserve [2] Group 2 - CEO Mary Barra is highlighted for her effective leadership and the respect she deserves for GM's performance over the years [1] - Historically, GM's stock tends to underperform in the first hour or two of trading on earnings report days, presenting a potential buying opportunity [1]

Core Insights - General Motors (GM) has significantly outperformed Ferrari in the stock market over the past six months, with GM shares rising 59.2% while Ferrari's shares have dropped 32.8% [4] - GM's strategy focuses on a diverse range of vehicles catering to various consumer needs, while Ferrari specializes in high-end, exclusive sports cars [3] General Motors Overview - In Q3 2025, GM reported net revenues of $48.59 billion, a slight decrease from $48.76 billion in the same quarter of the previous year, but maintained a 17% market share in the U.S., up 50 basis points year-over-year [8] - GM's vehicle sales in China increased by 2.3% year-over-year in Q4, marking the third consecutive quarter of growth, with strong performance in NEV and BEV sales for 11 straight quarters [10] - The company generated $2 billion in software revenues in the first nine months of 2025, with deferred revenues rising 90% year-over-year and a growing subscriber base for its software services [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for GM's 2026 EPS indicates a year-over-year growth of 15%, with recent improvements in EPS estimates for both 2025 and 2026 [12] Ferrari Overview - Ferrari reported net revenues of $2.06 billion in Q3 2025, a 14.2% increase from the same quarter in 2024, but faced a decline in shipments in key markets like Mainland China and the Americas [13][14] - The company has adjusted its long-term revenue target to approximately €9 billion ($10.4 billion) by 2030, with a reduced expectation that fully electric models will only make up 20% of its portfolio [15] - Ferrari's brand may not align with the evolving preferences of luxury car buyers in China, particularly younger consumers who prioritize advanced technology and sustainability [14] Valuation Comparison - GM is currently trading at a more attractive EV/EBITDA multiple compared to Ferrari, indicating a more reasonable pricing relative to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization [16] Conclusion - GM is better positioned than Ferrari due to its broader scale, stronger growth momentum, and alignment with industry trends, while Ferrari faces challenges such as slowing growth and limited exposure to electric vehicles [17][18]

Industry Overview - The automotive industry faced significant challenges in 2025, including a transition to electric vehicles (EVs) hindered by changing trade policies, tariffs, and the expiration of the $7,500 federal EV tax credit [1] - Advanced Chinese competitors are increasingly entering the global market, posing a threat to U.S. manufacturers [1] General Motors Performance - General Motors (GM) reported a strong fourth-quarter sales figure, indicating resilience and a solid market presence [2] - GM led the U.S. auto industry in sales for 2025, achieving a 6% increase in sales for the full year despite industry challenges [4] - GM maintained its position as the U.S. leader in full-size pickups for the sixth consecutive year, with the Chevrolet Silverado and GMC Sierra achieving their best combined sales in 20 years [5] Brand Performance and Market Position - All four GM brands experienced sales growth in 2025, with GMC setting a new sales record for the second year in a row and Cadillac reporting its best sales in a decade [6] - GM has been the leader in the full-size SUV market for 51 consecutive years and is the second-best-selling EV brand, following Tesla [6] Sales Strategy and Consumer Trends - GM sold nearly 700,000 Chevrolet and Buick models priced below $30,000, which is significant for attracting first-time consumers and ensuring long-term brand loyalty [7] - The focus on more affordable models is crucial as vehicle prices remain high, making affordability a key factor for automakers [8]

Core Insights - Tesla's Model Y became the best-selling electric vehicle in the U.S. with sales exceeding 92,460 units in Q4 and a total of 357,528 units for the year, despite a 4% decline compared to 2024 [1][3][4] Sales Performance - Model 3 sales in Q4 were 37,260 units, a year-over-year decline of 35.7%, while total annual sales reached 192,440 units, showing a slight increase of 1.3% [2][4] - Tesla's overall market share in the U.S. electric vehicle sector rose to 58.9% in Q4, with total sales reaching 589,000 units, attributed to traditional automakers reducing electric vehicle production [2][4] Market Outlook - The total U.S. electric vehicle sales for 2025 are projected to be 1,275,714 units, a minor decrease of 2% from 2024's 1,301,441 units [2][4] - General Motors, another key player in the electric vehicle market, sold over 150,000 electric vehicles in 2025, marking a 48% year-over-year increase, capturing 13% of the total U.S. electric vehicle sales [2][4] Specific Model Performance - Tesla's Cybertruck sales in Q4 were over 4,140 units, a significant decline of 68.1% from the previous year, with total annual sales at 20,237 units, down 48.1% from 2024's 38,965 units [2][4]

Market Overview - The U.S. equity markets started 2026 strongly, achieving two consecutive days of record highs driven by blue-chip tech firms and a rise in energy stocks [1] - Technology stocks benefited from renewed enthusiasm for AI and its growth potential, while the energy sector was optimistic about crude oil price stability following a U.S. attack on Venezuela [1] Investment Strategies - Investors are optimistic that rebuilding Venezuela's oil infrastructure will enhance the industry and improve supply chain dynamics without escalating geopolitical conflicts [2] - Momentum investing is highlighted as a successful strategy, particularly in times when value or growth investing may not yield desired profits [2][3] - The principle of momentum investing is to "buy high and sell higher," capitalizing on established trends that are likely to continue due to existing momentum [3] Momentum Stock Screening - A screening strategy has been developed to identify stocks with strong momentum, focusing on long-term price increases and short-term pullbacks [4] - The screening parameters include selecting the top 50 stocks based on a 52-week price change, then identifying the 10 worst performers over the last week to find potential entry points [5][6] - Stocks with a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) and a Momentum Style Score of B or better are prioritized, as they have a history of outperforming the market [7] Selected Stocks - General Motors (GM) has seen a 58.1% increase in the past year but experienced a 0.2% decline last week, with a Momentum Score of B [10] - NVIDIA (NVDA) has risen 33.6% over the past year but also dipped 0.2% last week, holding a Momentum Score of A [11] - Mercury General (MCY) has increased by 36% in the last year but fell 6.2% last week, with a Momentum Score of B [13]

Core Insights - The U.S. auto industry has shown resilience in consumer demand despite volatility in sentiment and demand, with notable stock performance from companies like General Motors, Strattec Security, Garrett Motion, and REV Group, each gaining over 50% year to date [1] Industry Overview - 2025 was marked by policy uncertainty, particularly around trade and tariffs, which initially created concerns about vehicle pricing and supply chains but ultimately led to a surge in demand as consumers rushed to make purchases [4] - The mid-year surge in electric vehicle (EV) sales was driven by consumers seeking to qualify for a $7,500 federal tax credit before its expiration, resulting in the strongest quarter for EV sales [5] - Following the expiration of EV incentives, the fourth quarter saw a slowdown in demand, yet U.S. new-vehicle sales are projected to reach approximately 16.3 million units in 2025, nearly 2% higher than the previous year [6] Future Outlook - For 2026, the market is expected to stabilize with sales settling around 16 million units, driven by genuine consumer demand rather than temporary incentives [7] - Affordability will be a key theme, with higher-income buyers supporting demand for larger vehicles while cost-conscious consumers shift towards used options [8] Company Highlights - **General Motors (GM)**: The leading automaker in the U.S. with strong brand demand, upcoming product launches, and significant revenue from software offerings, including $2 billion from Super Cruise and OnStar [9][10] GM stock has increased by 55% in 2025, with a projected 13% EPS growth for 2026 [11] - **Strattec Security (STRT)**: A key player in vehicle access and security systems, transitioning towards smarter solutions and benefiting from operational efficiencies, with a stock increase of 95% in 2025 and a projected EPS of $5.24 for fiscal 2026 [12][14] - **Garrett Motion (GTX)**: Focused on advanced turbocharging and zero-emission technologies, with new contracts and a raised profit outlook, the stock has risen by 93% in 2025, with a projected 19% EPS growth for 2026 [15][17] - **REV Group (REVG)**: Specializes in manufacturing specialty vehicles and is merging with Terex to enhance market position, with expectations of $75 million in annual synergies by 2028. The stock has increased by 96% in 2025, with a projected 38% EPS growth for fiscal 2026 [18][20]

Core Insights - General Motors Company (GM) is a leading global automotive manufacturer with a market cap of $77.5 billion, focusing on a diversified portfolio that includes internal combustion vehicles, electric vehicles (EVs), autonomous technology, and mobility services [1] Financial Performance - GM is expected to report an adjusted profit of $2.21 per share for Q4, reflecting a 15.1% increase from $1.92 per share in the same quarter last year [2] - In fiscal 2025, GM's adjusted EPS is projected to decrease by 2.5% to $10.34, but a rebound of 12.7% to $11.65 per share is anticipated in fiscal 2026 [3] Stock Performance - GM's stock has increased by 57.4% over the past 52 weeks, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 Index's 15.7% and the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund's 6.6% gains during the same period [4] - On December 1, GM reached a new 10-year high in trading, indicating growing investor confidence and a successful transformation since its bankruptcy during the financial crisis [5] Analyst Ratings - GM holds a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating, with 13 "Strong Buys," three "Moderate Buys," nine "Holds," and three "Strong Sells" among 28 analysts [6] - The current trading price is above the mean price target of $74.85, with a Street-high target price of $110 suggesting a potential upside of 32.9% from current levels [6]

Core Viewpoint - General Motors (GM) has shown significant improvement in its stock performance and operational metrics, driven by effective share buyback strategies and strong market positioning in the automotive sector [1][2]. Group 1: Share Buyback and Stock Performance - GM has reduced its share count by 40.1% since 2015, primarily by retiring shares issued during the financial crisis [1]. - The stock has increased over 50% year-to-date and is trading at its highest level since returning to public markets in 2010 [1]. - GM's current valuation is just under seven times next year's earnings estimates, indicating potential for further growth, especially with anticipated rate cuts from the Federal Reserve [1]. Group 2: Market Position and Product Performance - GM achieved its highest third-quarter market share in the U.S. since 2017, attributed to strong sales in full-size pickups and SUVs, as well as record crossover deliveries [2]. - Despite scaling back on electric vehicles, Chevrolet has become the number two EV brand in America [2]. - GM is beginning to see significant contributions from its self-driving technology (Super Cruise) and software services (OnStar), indicating a diversification of revenue streams [2].

Core Insights - U.S. stock markets have experienced a significant rally in 2023, largely driven by advancements in artificial intelligence, with notable performance from non-tech companies as well [1][2] Group 1: Company Highlights - General Motors Co. (GM) holds a 17% market share as the top-selling U.S. automaker, benefiting from strong demand across its brands and a 10% year-over-year sales increase in China [6][7] - GM's software and services division generated $2 billion in revenue by the end of Q3 2025, with 11 million OnStar subscribers, indicating a shift towards software-led growth [7] - Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD) is seeing improved trading activity and higher net interest income, with a focus on product diversification to enhance its market position [10][11] - Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE) operates a robust platform that connects travelers and suppliers, leading to stable demand and increased gross bookings, supported by a strong brand portfolio [13][14] - Dillard's Inc. (DDS) is enhancing its customer base through store and online improvements, with a focus on fashionable merchandise driving traffic and better-than-expected earnings [15][16] - Five Below Inc. (FIVE) is experiencing strong momentum with traffic gains and improved marketing effectiveness, leading to an upward revision of its full-year sales expectations to $4.62-$4.65 billion [18][19] Group 2: Financial Performance and Projections - GM has an expected revenue growth rate of -0.3% and an earnings growth rate of 12.9% for the next year, with a 0.5% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings [8] - HOOD's expected revenue and earnings growth rates are 21% and 17.9%, respectively, with a 1.8% improvement in the earnings estimate [12] - EXPE's expected revenue and earnings growth rates are 6.3% and 20.8%, respectively, with a 3.2% improvement in the earnings estimate [14] - DDS has an expected revenue growth rate of 0.7% and an earnings decline of -8.2%, with a 5.3% improvement in the earnings estimate [17] - FIVE's expected revenue and earnings growth rates are 8.6% and 5.6%, respectively, with a 1.3% improvement in the earnings estimate [20]