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东岳集团午前涨超3% 机构建议关注三代制冷剂产能领先企业
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-23 04:02
Core Viewpoint - Dongyue Group's stock price has shown a positive trend, reflecting strong market conditions for HFCs and related products due to favorable supply-demand dynamics and policy support [1][5]. Group 1: Company Performance - Dongyue Group's stock price increased by 3.13%, reaching HKD 10.55, with a trading volume of HKD 56.77 million [1][5]. Group 2: Industry Outlook - The 2026 HCFCs/HFCs enterprise quota has been released, indicating strong continuity in HFCs quota policies, which are expected to maintain robust supply constraints [1][5]. - The high industry concentration and favorable competitive landscape, along with strong demand from household and automotive air conditioning, suggest that HFCs will continue to experience high prosperity [1][5]. - Fluorochemical companies, including those producing PVDF and fluorinated liquids, are likely to benefit from increased demand in downstream sectors such as new energy and AI [1][5]. Group 3: Regulatory and Market Trends - According to Ping An Securities, the quota for second-generation refrigerants will be further reduced by 2025, while the increase in third-generation refrigerant quotas will be limited year-on-year, indicating constrained supply [1][5]. - The demand side is expected to improve, driven by national subsidies, with sustained growth in downstream household appliances and automotive sectors, leading to an improved supply-demand balance for refrigerants [1][5]. - It is recommended to focus on leading companies in third-generation refrigerant production capacity [1][5].
华泰证券:制冷剂2026年配额征求稿公示 供需或延续偏紧
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 00:21
Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment released a draft plan for the total allocation of ozone-depleting substances for 2026, indicating a reduction in production and internal use quotas for HCFCs and HFCs, which may sustain high industry prosperity due to supply constraints and strong demand in air conditioning markets [1] Group 1: Quota Adjustments - For HCFCs, the production and internal use quotas for 2026 are set at 151,400 tons and 79,700 tons, respectively, representing a decrease of 12,200 tons and 6,300 tons compared to 2025 [1] - Specifically, the R22 production and internal use quotas for 2026 are 146,100 tons and 78,000 tons, reflecting a reduction of 3,000 tons and 2,900 tons from 2025 [1] Group 2: HFCs Quota Changes - In the case of HFCs, the production quota for R245fa is increased by 3,000 tons for 2026 compared to 2025, while the R41 production quota is raised by 50 tons, with other varieties remaining unchanged [1] Group 3: Industry Outlook - The quota system for refrigerants HCFCs and HFCs maintains supply constraints, combined with high product concentration, a favorable competitive landscape, and robust demand from household and automotive air conditioning, suggesting that the industry's high prosperity may continue [1]