国信证券发布研报称，展望2026年一季度，伴随一季度长协价格确定，终端空调企业长协订单执行稳 定。根据百川盈孚、卓创咨询，26年1月份R22、R125、R152a报价均上涨。排产方面，2026年前两月排 产出现分化，1月受元旦假期以及部分企业前置2月春节排产影响，内销排产推高。此外，关注成本支 撑、供需改善背景下含氟聚合物价格上涨，建议关注PVDF、PTFE等含氟高分子价格修复。 国信证券主要观点如下： 一季度主流制冷剂长协价格持续上涨 展望一季度，伴随一季度长协价格确定，终端空调企业长协订单执行稳定：据卓创资讯（301299）， R32长协价格将在6.12万元/吨，环比2025年四季度价格上涨1000元/吨，涨幅1.66%；R410A长协价格在 5.51万元/吨，环比2025年四季度上涨1900元/吨，涨幅3.57%。预计往后一周R32价格区间约6.2-6.3万元/ 吨，R410a往后一周价格区间约5.5-5.6万元/吨，R134a往后一周价格区间约5.6-5.7万元/吨。 R22、R125、R152a报价上涨 根据百川盈孚、卓创咨询，本月R22报价提升至1.7万元/吨，较上月+1000元/吨；R134a报 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the fluorochemical industry [5][10]. Core Insights - The fluorochemical industry is experiencing rapid growth, with prices of fluorinated polymers continuing to rise. The performance of fluorochemical companies is strong, supported by stable demand and supply dynamics [1][4]. - The long-term outlook for mainstream refrigerants such as R32, R134a, and R125 remains positive due to tightening quota constraints, which are expected to sustain price increases [5][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - As of January 30, 2026, the fluorochemical index stood at 2155.24 points, up 6.77% from the end of December 2025. The index underperformed the Shenwan Chemical Index by 5.95 percentage points but outperformed the CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite indices by 5.12 and 3.01 percentage points, respectively [1][17]. 2. Refrigerant Market Review - In the first quarter of 2026, long-term contract prices for mainstream refrigerants are on the rise. R32 is expected to be priced at 61,200 CNY/ton, a 1.66% increase from the previous quarter, while R410A is projected at 55,100 CNY/ton, up 3.57% [2][22]. - The domestic prices for R22, R134a, R125, and R32 have shown increases, with R22 reaching 17,000 CNY/ton, R125 at 48,500 CNY/ton, and R134a maintaining at 58,000 CNY/ton [24][23]. 3. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply side of the fluorochemical industry is characterized by tight overall supply and low inventory levels among companies, which supports price increases. The demand side shows continued interest in stockpiling ahead of the holiday season [4][9]. - The production quotas for refrigerants in 2026 indicate a slight increase in the production capacity for R32, R125, and R134a, while R143a and R152a quotas have been reduced [4][79]. 4. Liquid Cooling Demand - The rapid growth of data centers is driving the demand for fluorinated liquids and refrigerants, as traditional air cooling methods are becoming insufficient. The market for liquid cooling solutions is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating a market size exceeding 100 billion CNY by 2027 [64][70]. - Companies involved in the production of fluorinated liquids, such as Juhua Co., Dongyue Group, and others, are well-positioned to benefit from this trend [73][74]. 5. Key Company Profit Forecasts - Juhua Co. is expected to achieve a net profit of 3.54-3.94 billion CNY in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 80%-101%. Dongyue Group and Sanmei Co. are also projected to see significant profit increases [4][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the fluorochemical industry [5][10]. Core Insights - The fluorochemical industry is experiencing rapid growth, with prices of fluoropolymers continuing to rise. The industry index has shown a performance that outpaces the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 300 Index [1][5]. - The first quarter of 2026 is expected to see stable execution of long-term contracts for refrigerants, with significant price increases noted for R32 and R410A [2][5]. - The demand for fluorinated liquids and refrigerants is anticipated to increase due to the growth of liquid cooling technologies in data centers, driven by the need for efficient cooling solutions [3][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - As of January 30, 2026, the fluorochemical index reached 2155.24 points, up 6.77% from the end of December 2025, while the chemical index rose by 12.72% [1][17]. - The Guosen Chemical Fluorochemical Price Index reported a 2.95% increase, indicating a positive trend in pricing for fluorochemical products [1][18]. 2. Refrigerant Market Review - Long-term contract prices for refrigerants are on the rise, with R32 priced at 61,200 CNY/ton and R410A at 55,100 CNY/ton, reflecting increases of 1.66% and 3.57% respectively from the previous quarter [2][22]. - The domestic prices for R22, R125, and R134a have also seen upward adjustments, with R22 now at 17,000 CNY/ton, up 1,000 CNY/ton from the previous month [2][24]. 3. Liquid Cooling Demand - The report highlights the urgent need for efficient cooling technologies in data centers, with liquid cooling solutions becoming increasingly favored over traditional air cooling due to their superior efficiency [3][64]. - The market for liquid cooling in data centers is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate of 51.4% expected from 2019 to 2027 [3][70]. 4. Refrigerant Quota Announcements - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment has announced the refrigerant quotas for 2026, indicating a slight increase in production quotas for R32, R125, and R134a, while R141b's quota has been eliminated [4][79]. - The report suggests that the tightening of refrigerant quotas will support long-term price stability and growth in the industry [4][74]. 5. Company Profit Forecasts - Major companies in the fluorochemical sector, such as Juhua Co., Dongyue Group, and Sanmei Co., are expected to see significant profit growth in 2025, with Juhua's net profit projected to increase by 80%-101% [4][10].

开源证券近日发布氟化工行业周报：本周氟化工指数下跌4.98%，跑输上证综指4.54%。本周（1月26 日-1月30日）氟化工指数收于5062.85点，下跌4.98%，跑输上证综指4.54%，跑输沪深300指数5.06%， 跑输基础化工指数4.08%，跑赢新材料指数0.31%。 以下为研究报告摘要： 本周（1月26日-1月30日）行情回顾 本周氟化工指数下跌4.98%，跑输上证综指4.54%。本周（1月26日-1月30日）氟化工指数收于5062.85 点，下跌4.98%，跑输上证综指4.54%，跑输沪深300指数5.06%，跑输基础化工指数4.08%，跑赢新材料 指数0.31%。 实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润为8.5~11亿元，同比增长45.78%~58.10%。【ST联创（300343）】 2025年预计实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润为3000~4000万元，同比增长37.22%~82.96%。【中欣氟 材（002915）】2025年预计实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润为1600~2000万元，同比扭亏为盈。 【金石资源】公司收购诺亚氟化工股权已交割完成，并派出董事。 受益标的 推荐标的：金石资源、巨化股份、 ...

游戏 公司点 2026年01月30日 市场数据: 收盘价 (元) -年内最高/最低 (元) 42.00/21.96 市净率 股息率%(分红/股价) | 流通 A 股市值 (百万元) 106,208 | | --- | | 上证指数/深证成指 4,117.95/14,205.89 | | 11 100 date 1 11 2 1 - 1 1 + 1 | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | 基础数据: | 2025年09月30日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 7.57 | | 资产负债率% | 32.97 | | 总股本/流通 A 股 (百万) | 2,700/2,700 | | 流通 B 股/H 股 (百万) | -/- | 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 研究支持 李绍程 A0230525070002 lisc@swsresearch.com 联系人 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxv@swsresearch.com 一年内股价与大 ...

Price Trends - The latest price of R2201 as of January 28 is 17,333.33 yuan per ton, reflecting an increase of 11.83% over the last 60 days [2][4] Related Companies - Relevant producers include: - Juhua Co., Ltd. (600160) - Yonghe Co., Ltd. (605020) - Sanmei Co., Ltd. (603379) - Luxi Chemical Co., Ltd. (000830) - Haohua Technology Co., Ltd. (600378) [2][4]

Core Viewpoint - The Hebei Provincial Emergency Management Department has announced six typical cases of rewarded reporting to encourage public participation in reporting major safety hazards and illegal activities, aiming to enhance public safety awareness and improve social governance in safety production [1] Group 1: Case Summaries - Case 1: In February 2025, a report led to a fine of 165,000 yuan for a company illegally storing sulfur, with the whistleblower receiving a reward of 49,500 yuan [2] - Case 2: In July 2025, a report resulted in a 50,000 yuan fine for a company illegally storing and selling refrigerants R22 and R32, with the whistleblower receiving 7,500 yuan [3] - Case 3: In August 2025, a report about a gas station led to a 20,000 yuan fine for safety violations, with the whistleblower receiving 6,000 yuan [4] - Case 4: In October 2025, a report about a shoe manufacturing company with damaged safety equipment resulted in an 8,000 yuan fine, and the whistleblower received 1,600 yuan [5] - Case 5: In November 2025, a report about illegal fireworks sales led to confiscation and a 15-day detention for the violator, with the whistleblower receiving 3,000 yuan [6] - Case 6: In November 2025, a report about a metal wire product company resulted in a 10,000 yuan fine for safety training violations, with the whistleblower receiving 2,000 yuan [7]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records primarily focus on the chemical industry, specifically tracking price changes and stock performance of chemical companies as of January 20. Key Financial Metrics - The Shanghai Composite Index reported at 4113.65, with a day-on-day change of -0.01% - Basic chemicals and petrochemicals reported at 7785.68 and 4841.91, with day-on-day changes of +0.35% and +2.58% respectively [1][1][1] Price Changes in Chemicals - Top five price increases in chemicals: - R125: +3.09% - R22: +2.94% - Niacinamide: +2.94% - Acrylic Acid: +2.7% - Propyl Acetate: +2.22% [1][1][1] - Price increases in anti-involution products: - Polyester Bottle Chips: +0.75% - Caprolactam: +0.54% [1][1][1] Price Spread Changes - Top five increases in price spreads: - Lithium Iron Phosphate: +52.62% - Anhydride: +38.41% - Rigid Polyether: +37.5% - Glyphosate: +29.24% - Phenol: +17.62% [1][1][1] Stock Performance of Chemical Companies - Top five stock price increases: - Jiangtian Chemical: +19.99% - Yida Co.: +11.96% - Runfeng Co.: +10.72% - Qicai Chemical: +10.71% - Hongmian Co.: +10.13% [1][1][1] Earnings Forecasts - **Oriental Tower**: Expected net profit for 2025 is between 1.08-1.27 billion, a year-on-year increase of 91.4%-125.07% [2][2][2] - **Batian Co.**: Expected net profit for 2025 is between 890-980 million, a year-on-year increase of 117.53%-139.53% [2][2][2] - **Kaisheng New Materials**: Expected net profit for 2025 is between 110-140 million, a year-on-year increase of 96.47%-150.06% [2][2][2] - **Qiaoyuan Co.**: Expected net profit for 2025 is between 226-256 million, a year-on-year increase of 51.51%-71.62% [2][2][2] - **Zhongshi Technology**: Expected net profit for 2025 is between 330-370 million, a year-on-year increase of 63.86%-83.73% [2][2][2] - **Changhua Chemical**: Expected net profit for 2025 is between 89-109 million, a year-on-year increase of 53.75%-87.91% [2][2][2] - **Xinjiang Tianye**: Expected net profit for 2025 is around -50 million, indicating a loss [2][2][2] - **Juheshun**: Expected net profit for 2025 is between 130-160 million, a year-on-year decrease of 47%-57% [2][2][2] Other Notable Announcements - **Huarun Materials**: Expected net loss for 2025 is between 85-115 million, a year-on-year reduction of 85.08%-79.81% [3][3][3] - **Huajin Co.**: Expected net loss for 2025 is between 1.6-1.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 42.75%-32.02% [3][3][3] - **Xinghua Co.**: Expected net loss for 2025 is between 420-560 million [3][3][3] - **Baomo Co.**: Change in actual controller due to share transfer agreement [3][3][3] - **Nanjing Julong**: Plans to invest 30 million to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary for a 60,000-ton modified plastic production line [3][3][3] - **Jiangtian Chemical**: Plans to invest 49.8 million to establish a 60,000-ton acrylic acid project with a one-year construction period [3][3][3] Conclusion - The chemical industry shows a mix of positive earnings forecasts and significant stock price movements, alongside some companies projecting losses. The data indicates potential investment opportunities in companies with strong growth forecasts while highlighting risks in those expecting losses.

Price Movement - The latest price of R2201 as of January 18 is 17,333.33 yuan per ton, reflecting an increase of 11.83% over the last 30 days [2][4] Related Companies - Relevant producers in the industry include: - Juhua Co., Ltd. (600160) - Yonghe Co., Ltd. (605020) - Sanmei Co., Ltd. (603379) - Luxi Chemical Co., Ltd. (000830) - Haohua Technology Co., Ltd. (600378) [2][4]

Group 1: Core Insights - The refrigerant industry is experiencing strong growth, with leading manufacturers expected to see their profits double by 2025 [2] - Sanmei Co., Ltd. forecasts a net profit of 1.99 billion to 2.15 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 155.66% to 176.11% [2] - Yonghe Co., Ltd. anticipates a net profit of 530 million to 630 million yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 110.87% to 150.66% [2] Group 2: Quarterly Performance - Sanmei's Q4 net profit is estimated to be between 399 million and 559 million yuan, slightly lower than the second and third quarters [2] - Yonghe's Q4 net profit is projected to be between 61 million and 161 million yuan, also lower than its performance in the previous two quarters [2] Group 3: Market Dynamics - Both companies attribute their profit growth to a significant increase in the prices of core refrigerant products [2] - The production quotas for second-generation refrigerants (HCFCs) are being further reduced in 2025, while third-generation refrigerants (HFCs) will continue to be managed under production quotas, leading to an improved competitive landscape [2] Group 4: Price Trends - Data from Longzhong Information indicates that while R22 prices have declined due to weak demand, R32 and R1234a prices continue to reach new highs, significantly outperforming the same period in 2024 [3] - The refrigerant industry remains strong, with the performance of refrigerant manufacturers significantly better than upstream hydrofluoric acid producers and raw material suppliers [3] Group 5: Future Outlook - In 2026, leading refrigerant manufacturers are expected to benefit from structural optimization on the supply side, with a total quota of 802,000 tons for third-generation refrigerants, an increase of 3,050 tons from 2025 [3] - The market for third-generation refrigerants is highly concentrated, with the top six companies controlling over 90% of the market share [3] - According to CITIC Securities, the ongoing tightening of supply for third-generation refrigerants, coupled with demand from new energy vehicles, air conditioning, and foreign trade, is likely to sustain the industry's upward trend [3]