Ronald Keung, CFA 23 February 2026 | 6:46AM HKT Equity Research +852-2978-0856 | ronald.keung@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. MiniMax Group (0100.HK) Eric Sheridan Global full-modal AI company reaching hypergrowth stage; initiate at Neutral on valuation 0100.HK 12m Price Target: HK$1,018.00 Price: HK$970.00 Upside: 4.9% We initiate on MiniMax with DCF-based 12-m TP of HK$1,018 per share, at a sector-relative Neutral rating, on balanced risk-reward based on our bull/bear framework. MiniMax is one of the t ...

Core Viewpoint - The release of Seedance 2.0 by ByteDance marks a significant advancement in AI video generation technology, positioning it as a leader in the field and indicating a shift towards industrialization in generative AI [1][2]. Group 1: Technical Architecture - Seedance 2.0 features a dual-branch diffusion transformer architecture, integrating video and audio generation within a unified framework, which enhances audiovisual consistency and stability in long videos [3][4]. - The model employs a discrete diffusion approach to balance quality and speed, achieving a 30% improvement in 2K video generation speed compared to competitors [5]. - It introduces a global character anchoring mechanism to maintain consistency during scene transitions, allowing for detailed control over camera movements [5]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The AI video generation market in 2026 is characterized by a dual leadership from the US and China, with major players including OpenAI and Google, each with distinct strengths in physical simulation and high-resolution video production [6][7]. - In China, various companies like Kuaishou and Alibaba are competing with differentiated strategies, focusing on low-cost production, speed, and integration with e-commerce [8]. Group 3: Ecological Synergy - Seedance 2.0 is a core engine within ByteDance's content ecosystem, creating a closed-loop system that connects content creation, user feedback, and model iteration [11][12]. - The integration of various AI models and platforms allows for automated content production pipelines, enhancing efficiency and reducing costs for businesses [12]. Group 4: Future Trends - The architecture of Seedance 2.0 suggests a trend towards world modeling, where video generation could serve as a low-cost training simulator for robotics and scientific visualization [13]. - There is potential for 3D automation, where text inputs could generate corresponding interactive 3D assets alongside video content, reducing development costs in gaming and metaverse applications [14]. - The rise of interactive content is anticipated, enabling real-time viewer engagement and personalized storytelling through AI-generated video [15]. Group 5: Commercialization - Seedance 2.0 is expected to redefine production paradigms in short video and marketing sectors, significantly lowering production costs and increasing efficiency [18][19]. - The model allows for rapid generation of tailored video advertisements, enabling businesses to produce multiple creative variations at a fraction of traditional costs [19].

Core Viewpoint - The recent IPO of MiniMax on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange marks a significant milestone for the AI industry, with the company achieving a market capitalization exceeding HKD 100 billion, indicating the entry of China's large model industry into the billion-dollar valuation era [5][14]. Group 1: MiniMax IPO Details - MiniMax officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on January 9, 2026, with an initial offering price of HKD 165 per share, which surged to HKD 345 per share by the end of the first trading day, representing a 109.09% increase [5][6]. - The total market capitalization of MiniMax reached HKD 1,066 billion, making it the highest-valued AI-native enterprise on the Hong Kong market [5][6]. - The IPO was met with overwhelming demand, with the public offering portion receiving 1,837 times oversubscription and the international offering portion receiving 37 times oversubscription [16][17]. Group 2: Company Background and Growth - MiniMax was founded in 2021 by former SenseTime Vice President Yan Junjie and has developed a series of multimodal general models, including MiniMax M2.1 and Hailuo 2.3, targeting global markets [11][14]. - The company has achieved rapid growth, with revenues increasing from USD 346,000 in 2024 to USD 3,052,300 in 2025, and projected revenues for the first three quarters of 2025 exceeding USD 5,433,700 [14]. - MiniMax has attracted significant investment, raising over USD 1.5 billion in less than four years, with notable investors including Alibaba, Tencent, and MiHoYo [9][13]. Group 3: Market Impact - The successful listing of MiniMax has sparked a rally in both the Hong Kong and A-share markets, with the AI sector experiencing a surge in stock prices and heightened investor interest [7]. - The company has a user base of over 212 million individuals across more than 200 countries, with a monthly active user count of approximately 27.62 million and around 1.77 million paying users [11][14]. - The IPO has also benefited key investors, with Alibaba and the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority being among the largest beneficiaries, with Alibaba holding approximately 13.66% of MiniMax's shares [19][21].

Group 1 - The core focus of the news is the rapid growth and successful IPO of MiniMax, a leading global artificial intelligence company, which has achieved a market capitalization of over 81.8 billion HKD within four years of its establishment [3][6][8] - MiniMax has developed a series of multimodal AI models and is recognized as one of the only four companies globally to enter the first tier of multimodal AI, alongside OpenAI, Google, and ByteDance [3][8] - The company has over 200 million users across more than 200 countries and regions, with over 70% of its revenue coming from international markets, indicating strong global market penetration [3][8] Group 2 - MiniMax's IPO on January 9, 2023, was marked by a significant oversubscription, with the public offering receiving 1,837 times oversubscription and the international offering receiving 37 times oversubscription, attracting notable cornerstone investors [6] - The company has a workforce of 385 employees, with an average age of 29, and a high proportion of 73.8% of its staff being research and development personnel, showcasing a strong talent density [3][8] - MiniMax's revenue for the first nine months of 2025 is projected to grow by over 170% year-on-year, reflecting its robust business model and diverse revenue structure [8]

Group 1 - MiniMax, a domestic large model company, has exercised its overallotment option in full as of January 9 [1] - MiniMax officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on January 9, with an issue price of 165 HKD per share [1] - Since its establishment in early 2022, MiniMax has developed a series of multimodal general large models, including MiniMax M2, Hailuo 2.3, Speech 2.6, and Music 2.0, which possess strong coding and agent capabilities, as well as extended context processing abilities [1]

Core Viewpoint - MiniMax, a technology company specializing in AI, experienced a remarkable debut on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with its stock price soaring nearly 110% on the first day of trading, indicating strong market interest and investor confidence in AI applications [1][3]. Company Overview - MiniMax was founded in 2021 by former SenseTime Vice President Yan Junjie and has established a full-modal parallel technology route, developing a series of general large models such as MiniMax M2.1, Hailuo 2.3, Speech 2.6, and Music 2.0 [3]. - The company has launched various AI-native products globally, including Hailuo AI, Xingye, and Talkie, and as of September 2025, it has over 2.12 million personal users across more than 200 countries and regions, with a monthly active user count of approximately 27.62 million and around 1.77 million paying users [3]. Financial Performance - MiniMax's total revenue increased to $53.437 million as of September 30, 2025, compared to $19.455 million in the same period of 2024, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [4]. Market Impact - The strong performance of MiniMax has sparked a bullish sentiment in the AI and large model sectors, leading to a collective surge in A-share AI application concepts, with over twenty stocks hitting the daily limit [3]. - Analysts suggest that MiniMax's explosive debut may be a catalyst for broader AI application growth, with expectations that AI will penetrate multiple industry segments by 2026 [3]. Investment and Shareholder Insights - MiniMax is noted for being the fastest AI company to go public, having undergone seven rounds of financing with early investors including Yunqi Capital, miHoYo, IDG, Hillhouse Capital, and Mingshi Venture Capital [5]. - miHoYo, as an early angel investor, holds approximately 6.4% of MiniMax's shares, valued at over 6.8 billion HKD post-IPO, and has become a customer since 2023 [5]. - Alibaba holds a 13.66% stake, valued at over 14.5 billion HKD, while Tencent and IDG also have significant holdings, valued at approximately 2.7 billion HKD and 3 billion HKD, respectively [5][6]. Market Sentiment and Demand - Institutional investors showed strong interest in MiniMax, with a subscription rate exceeding 70 times for international placement shares, indicating robust demand from major investment firms [7]. - The company attracted 14 prominent cornerstone investors, including well-known domestic and international institutions, with a total subscription amount reaching approximately 3.5 billion USD [7]. Industry Trends - The large model market in China is projected to experience explosive growth, with daily usage expected to exceed 10 trillion tokens by mid-2025, marking a significant shift from pilot phases to large-scale implementation [8]. - The internet and financial sectors are identified as the most active application areas for large models, collectively accounting for over 90% of usage, with a trend towards open-source models reshaping the industry landscape [8].

Core Viewpoint - MiniMax, the first global AI company to go public, has made a remarkable debut on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, achieving the fastest time from establishment to IPO in the AI sector [1][6]. Company Overview - MiniMax was founded in 2021 and is recognized as a leading global artificial general intelligence (AGI) company, focusing on a full-modal parallel technology route [8]. - The company has developed a series of full-modal general models, including MiniMax M2.1, Hailuo 2.3, Speech 2.6, and Music 2.0 [9]. IPO Performance - The IPO price was set at the upper limit of 165 HKD, with the public offering receiving an oversubscription of 1837 times, breaking the previous record [6][7]. - On its first trading day, MiniMax's stock opened with a gain of over 42% and closed up 109%, reaching a market capitalization exceeding 100 billion HKD [6]. Financial Growth - As of September 30, 2025, MiniMax's total revenue increased to approximately 53.4 million USD, a year-on-year growth of over 170% from 19.5 million USD in the same period of 2024 [11]. - The overseas market contributed over 70% to the revenue growth, driven by improvements in model intelligence, expansion of AI product suites, and increased adoption by users [11]. Market Position and Future Potential - MiniMax's rapid rise indicates a new phase in the AI industry, with the company achieving significant operational efficiency with only 385 employees [13]. - The global large model market is projected to grow from 10.7 billion USD in 2024 to 20.65 billion USD by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 80.7% [16]. - MiniMax's performance suggests a potential for systematic revaluation of Chinese AI companies in the global capital market, with significant revenue potential compared to established players like OpenAI [17].

Core Viewpoint - MiniMax, a leading AI model company, successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with its stock price surging over 109% on the first day, achieving a market capitalization exceeding 100 billion HKD [1]. Company Overview - MiniMax specializes in general artificial intelligence (AGI) and has developed a foundational model architecture that includes text-to-visual, text-to-audio, and text-to-text modalities. The company has created several multimodal models, including MiniMax M2.1, Hailuo 2.3, Speech 2.6, and Music 2.0, positioning itself among the top four multimodal companies globally [1]. - The company has undergone seven rounds of financing, with early investors including prominent firms such as IDG and Tencent. Its latest funding round in August raised approximately 390 million USD, leading to a valuation exceeding 4.2 billion USD [2]. Financial Performance - As of September 2025, MiniMax has over 212 million individual users across more than 200 countries and regions. The company's revenue for the first nine months of 2025 increased by over 170% year-on-year, with over 70% of revenue coming from international markets [3]. - Research and development expenditures grew by 30% year-on-year, while sales and marketing expenses decreased by 26% during the same period [3]. Market Insights - The global large model market is in the early stages of commercialization, with projections indicating a growth from 10.7 billion USD in 2024 to 20.65 billion USD by 2029, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 80.7% [3]. - The large model application market is expected to expand from 7.1 billion USD in 2024 to 151.5 billion USD by 2029, with a CAGR of 84.3%. Additionally, the large model as a service (MaaS) market is forecasted to grow from 3.6 billion USD to 55 billion USD during the same period, achieving a CAGR of 72.7% [3].

Core Viewpoint - MINIMAX-WP officially listed today, closing with a significant increase of 109.09% at 345 HKD, with a trading volume of 4.005 billion HKD [1] Company Overview - MiniMax is a leading global general artificial intelligence technology company, having developed a series of multimodal general models, including MiniMax M2, Hailuo 2.3, Speech 2.6, and Music 2.0, which possess code and agent capabilities as well as long context processing abilities [1] - The company’s self-developed models enable it to understand, generate, and integrate various modalities, including text, audio, images, video, and music [1] - MiniMax has launched a range of AI-native products globally, such as MiniMax Agent, Hailuo AI, MiniMax Audio, and Xingye, along with an open platform for enterprises and developers [1] Industry Insights - According to a report from China Merchants Securities, the global large model market is in the early stages of commercial explosion, with the application layer expected to grow over 20 times in five years [1] - MiniMax is recognized as a rare AI enterprise with comprehensive self-research capabilities and successful commercialization, establishing strong barriers in technology iteration, product matrix, and global operations [1] - With the explosion of the AI application market and the release of the company's scale effects, there is potential for improvement in profitability [1]

Group 1 - MiniMax, an AI large model company, officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange with an issue price of HKD 165 per share, and as of the report, the share price rose to HKD 348.8, an increase of 111.39%, resulting in a total market capitalization of HKD 106.5 billion (approximately RMB 95.639 billion) [1] - The company emphasizes that advanced artificial intelligence should be accessible to a wide range of users and industries, aiming to create real and long-term value [3] - Since its establishment in early 2022, MiniMax has developed a series of multimodal general large models, including MiniMax M2, Hailuo 2.3, Speech 2.6, and Music 2.0, which possess strong coding and agent capabilities, as well as long context processing abilities [5] Group 2 - MiniMax's self-developed models enable the understanding, generation, and integration of various modalities, including text, audio, images, video, and music [5] - The company has launched a series of AI-native products globally, such as MiniMax Agent, Hailuo AI, MiniMax Audio, and Xingye, along with an open platform for enterprises and developers [5]