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股指期货持仓
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-31 02:57
持仓分析:期指箱体震荡IH主力贴水转升水 周三(8月2日)期指箱体震荡,主力涨跌互现,IC主力独自弱势收跌。另外值得注意的是,IH主力 贴水转升水。... 股指期货持仓08-0204:40 0阅读 持仓分析:空头主力势力占上风短线IC或延续振荡行情 周四沪指低开后振荡上行,尾盘翻红,收涨0.06%于3249.78点。截至收盘,沪深300、上证50和中 证500指数涨跌幅分别为0.18%、0.02%和0.61%。... 股指期货持仓07-2809:27 0阅读 持仓分析:期指总持仓增加IC多空处于平衡 本周市场在分化中呈现争夺局面,IF连续调整一周时间,IH也受累跟随调整两天。虽然热点略微 转换到IC,但IC也缺乏上攻的力量,只是略显抗跌,最终导致沪综指连续两天收出十字星。... 股指期货持仓07-2709:15 0阅读 持仓分析:期指持仓触底回升空头持仓增幅高于多头 周一期指各品种均出现上涨,其中IH及IC涨幅较大,主力合约当日分别上涨0.67%和0.66%。IF稍 有不及,仅上涨0.38%。基差方面,由于IH表现强劲,主力合约升水幅度进一... 股指期货持仓07-2509:53 0阅读 持仓分析:期指分化程 ...
兴业期货日度策略-20250626
Xing Ye Qi Huo· 2025-06-26 12:20
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The market sentiment is positive, and the trading volume is continuously increasing. Long positions in stock index futures IF2509 should be held. - Polysilicon prices continue to decline, while the support for Shanghai aluminum is relatively strong. - The long - term upward trend of stock indices is clear, although there may be short - term fluctuations. High - valuation bonds face repair pressure. - Gold and silver prices are in a high - level oscillation, with a long - term bullish view on gold. - Copper, aluminum, and nickel prices in the non - ferrous metals sector are in a range - bound state, with different influencing factors for each. - The supply of lithium carbonate and polysilicon exceeds demand, and their prices are under pressure. - Steel prices are oscillating weakly, while iron ore prices are relatively firm and run in a narrow range. - Coal and coke prices are in a bottom - building stage, with a weak supply - demand relationship. - The support for glass is stronger than that for soda ash. - Crude oil prices may oscillate weakly and are in a repair stage. - Methanol prices have support due to potential supply tightening in the third quarter. - Polyolefin prices are oscillating, and their pricing depends on supply and demand. - Cotton prices have relatively strong support, while rubber prices are oscillating weakly. [1][2][4][6][8][10] 3. Summary by Category Financial Futures - **Stock Index Futures**: Market sentiment is positive, trading volume is increasing, and the long - term upward trend of stock indices is clear. Long positions in IF2509 should be held. The stock - bond seesaw effect is obvious, and high - valuation bonds face repair pressure. [1] - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The domestic macro - economic outlook has improved, and the high - valuation bond market faces repair pressure. It is in a range - bound oscillation. [1] Precious Metals - **Gold and Silver**: Geopolitical risk premiums have significantly declined, and prices are in a high - level oscillation. The long - term bullish view on gold remains unchanged, and short - put options on gold and silver 08 contracts can be held. [4] Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: The weakening US dollar index supports copper prices, but demand expectations are cautious, and the pattern of near - term strength and long - term weakness may continue. [4] - **Aluminum**: The supply and demand of Shanghai aluminum are mixed, and low inventory and supply constraints support prices. Alumina has excess pressure, and short - selling opportunities can be waited for at high prices. [4] - **Nickel**: The nickel market is in an oversupply situation, but resource - end support is strong, and it continues to oscillate in a range. [4] Energy and Chemicals - **Polysilicon**: The supply - demand pattern is loose, prices are under pressure, and short - call options can be held. [6] - **Crude Oil**: After the rapid rise and fall in the short - term, the market needs to oscillate and repair. It is recommended to wait and see. [8] - **Methanol**: Although the coastal demand has weakened and port inventories have increased, supply may tighten in the third quarter, and the 09 contract price has support. [10] Steel and Minerals - **Steel**: The fundamentals of rebar and hot - rolled coils have not changed much, demand is weak in the off - season, and prices are expected to oscillate weakly. Iron ore prices are relatively firm and run in a narrow range. [6] - **Coal and Coke**: The coal and coke market is in a bottom - building stage. The long - term oversupply pattern of coking coal has not improved, and short - positions in coking coal futures can be stopped for profit. Coke supply and demand are both weak, and the futures price has rebounded first. [8] Building Materials - **Soda Ash and Glass**: Soda ash supply exceeds demand, and short - positions can be held. The support for glass is stronger than that for soda ash, and long - glass and short - soda ash arbitrage strategies can be considered. [8] Agricultural Products - **Cotton**: The fundamentals have improved marginally, and prices have relatively strong support. [10] - **Rubber**: The supply increases while the demand decreases, and prices are under pressure and oscillate weakly. [10] Polyolefins - Polyolefin production and trader inventories have significantly decreased. If there are more maintenance devices in July, futures prices will decline limitedly. Otherwise, prices may hit new lows for the year. [10]