法国兴业银行在最新报告中指出，日本即将在两周后举行的选举存在高达50%的可能性引发政府危机。一旦政局动荡，日本国债收益率将大幅上 升。而在当前全球财政赤字普遍飙升、各国长期利率高度联动的背景下，日本债市一旦失控，极有可能引发一场波及全球的债券市场危机。 | | Proposal | Scale per year (JPYtn) | Funding | Impacts on GDP (%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Ruling party maintains a majority | | | | | | | Cash handouts of 20,000 yen for all citizens | 2.5 | | 0.10 | | Scenario 1 | Additional 20,000 yen for children and | | Increased tax revenes etc. | | | | households exempt from resident tax | 0.9 | | 0.04 | | Ruling party losess a ...

June 20, 2025 05:45 PM GMT Global Rates Strategy | Global M Update Government Bond Auctions: The Month Ahead We review the supply, coupon, and redemption picture for the US, UK, Euro, JPY, AUS, NZ, and CAN government bond markets over the next month. This week, G7 net DV01 is expected to be $94.3mn/bp, compared to an average* $72.3mn/bp; US $71.2mn/ bp; Euro $3.4mn/bp; Japan $7.4mn/bp; UK $8.5mn/bp. The Week Ahead: Net issuance (gross issuance less coupons less redemptions) In the euro area, we estimate abo ...

M Update Government Bond Auctions: The Month Ahead We review the supply, coupon, and redemption picture for the US, UK, Euro, JPY, AUS, NZ, and CAN government bond markets over the next month. This week, G7 net DV01 is expected to be $109.3mn/bp, compared to an average* $72mn/bp; US $82mn/ bp; Euro $17.1mn/bp; Japan $7mn/bp; UK $1.8mn/bp. The Week Ahead: Net issuance (gross issuance less coupons less redemptions) June 6, 2025 05:38 PM GMT Global Rates Strategy | Global In the euro area, we estimate about €2 ...

29 May 2025 Emerging bond dynamic and regime change Toronto The tariff threat to the tariff retreat has now been reduced to a two-day cycle. Donald Trump threatened Europe with a higher 50% tariff last Friday and then on Sunday extended the deadline for Europe to come to an agreement from 1 June to 9 July. This latest twist and turn will have further convinced investors of what many were already assuming, based on GREED & fear's meetings with investors in North America this week. That is, that the 47th Pres ...