2025年，在"双循环"新发展格局下，中国资本市场正经历一场深刻的蜕变。全球资本再平衡的浪潮中，中国逐渐成为 那个不可忽视的核心锚点。 而在这一宏大叙事中，创新药板块无疑是今年最为亮眼的主角之一。行业从过去的"数量追逐"大步迈向"硬科技决 胜"，资本市场也以真金白银投票：板块整体走强，细分赛道黑马频出。 其中，康宁杰瑞在2025年不仅完成蜕变，在资本市场获得认可，年内股价涨幅220.57%（数据截止2025年12月22日收 盘），成为中大型未盈利生物科技公司中的领跑者，更在近期荣获由格隆汇颁布的"年度创新力奖"，这一奖项背后， 是对其"以平台化技术为引擎，实现管线高效、快速产出"创新模式的权威肯定。 从普涨到分化：2026，平台定胜负 2025年，创新药板块走出了一轮清晰的结构性牛市。在估值修复、政策支持与BD出海浪潮的多重推动下，整个行业的 估值体系正在被系统性重构。 资本市场的共识已然明确：创新药的投资逻辑，已从早先的"故事与管线"叙事，转向对"商业化兑现能力"与"持续创新 动能"的深度定价。政策鼓励源头创新、审评审批持续提速、头部药企海外授权（BD）高频落地：这些因素共同构筑 了板块向上的坚实基座。 随 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tianfeng Securities maintains a "buy" rating for Shiyao Group (01093), forecasting revenue and net profit growth from 2025 to 2027 despite a decline in 2025H1 due to pressure from centralized procurement and a significant drop in traditional drug sales [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2025H1, the company reported revenue of 13.273 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.5%, and a net profit of 2.548 billion yuan, down 15.6% [1] - The traditional drug business saw a revenue drop of 24.4% to 10.248 billion yuan, with product sales declining by 32.3% when excluding authorized income [1] Group 2: Business Segments - Authorized income has become a significant source of revenue and profit for the company, with a 120 million USD upfront payment for SYH2086 expected to contribute to future earnings [2] - The company has established six business development (BD) projects in 2024, highlighting the value of its eight R&D platforms [2] Group 3: Clinical Developments - SYS6010 has initiated overseas Phase III clinical trials, with positive early data recognized by regulatory authorities in both China and the U.S. [3] - The HER2 bispecific antibody KN026 has had its new drug application accepted by the Chinese National Medical Products Administration, showing promising clinical trial results [4] - Multiple clinical data readouts are expected in 2025, including various ongoing trials for different cancer treatments [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company is leveraging technological innovation as a driving force for its drug development, with key products in advanced clinical stages and expected market submissions in the near future [1][2]. Group 1: Product Development and Clinical Trials - The company has two main products, KN026 (HER2 bispecific antibody) and JSKN003 (HER2 bispecific antibody ADC), both in Phase 3 clinical trials, with KN026 expected to submit for market approval for 2L+ HER2-positive gastric cancer in 2025 [1]. - KN026 is involved in three Phase 3 clinical trials, including a combination study with chemotherapy for 2L+ HER2-positive gastric cancer, which has met the primary endpoint for progression-free survival (PFS) [1]. - JSKN003 is also in three Phase 3 clinical trials targeting HER2-positive breast cancer and platinum-resistant recurrent epithelial ovarian cancer [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Collaborations - In 2024, the company achieved significant licensing revenue from multiple collaborations, including a $700.8 million deal for KN035 and a $308 million deal for JSKN003, leading to a total revenue of 640 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 192.6% [2]. - The company turned a profit of 166 million yuan in 2024, marking its first profitable year, while maintaining a stable R&D expenditure of 404 million yuan [2]. - Cash reserves at the end of 2024 stood at 1.571 billion yuan, providing a solid financial foundation for ongoing clinical development [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Strategic Focus - The company is focusing on the development of JSKN016 (TROP2/HER3 ADC), which is currently in Phase 2 clinical trials, aiming to enhance efficacy through dual-targeting mechanisms [2]. - The clinical strategy for JSKN016 includes targeting unmet needs in triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) and EGFR-TKI resistant non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) [2]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 458 million, 490 million, and 398 million yuan respectively, with a recommendation for investment based on the promising pipeline [3].