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IP衍生品产业研究(十三):泡泡玛特2025H1业绩超预期,IP平台化和全球化逻辑持续兑现
Changjiang Securities· 2025-08-26 14:49
Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the industry, highlighting strong performance metrics and growth potential [2][3]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 13.876 billion and an adjusted net profit of 4.710 billion for H1 2025, representing year-on-year increases of 204.4% and 362.8%, respectively, both exceeding initial forecasts of 200% and 350% [3][6]. - Gross margin and adjusted net profit margin stood at 70.3% and 33.9%, reflecting increases of 6.3 and 11.6 percentage points year-on-year, driven by higher overseas sales, optimized product design, cost control, and reduced reliance on external sourcing [3][6]. - The launch of the new blind box series "THE MONSTERS" is expected to further enhance sales, with online and offline release dates set for August 28 and 29, respectively [6]. Summary by Sections IP Incubation and Operation - The top five IPs generated over 1 billion in revenue, with the leading IP "THE MONSTERS" achieving 4.8 billion in revenue, a 668% increase year-on-year, accounting for 34.7% of total revenue [8]. - The company has registered 59.12 million members, with a repurchase rate exceeding 50% [8]. IP Grouping - Plush toy revenue surged by 1276% year-on-year, making up 44.2% of total revenue, while figure sales increased by 95% [8]. - The company launched nearly 20 plush products across 10 IPs in H1 2025, with significant growth in various product categories [8]. IP Globalization - The company operates 571 retail stores and 2597 robotic stores across 18 countries, with significant revenue growth in China, Asia-Pacific, the Americas, and Europe [8]. - Revenue from the Americas reached 2.27 billion, a staggering 1142% increase year-on-year, with online sales contributing significantly [8].
泡泡玛特(09992):“潮”向全球,业绩延续高增长
HUAXI Securities· 2025-08-20 11:56
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported a strong performance in the first half of 2025, achieving revenue of 138.8 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 204.4%, and a net profit of 45.7 billion CNY, up 396.5% [2] - The adjusted net profit for the same period was 47.1 billion CNY, reflecting a 362.8% increase, surpassing previous forecasts [2] - The adjusted net profit margin reached 33.9%, an increase of 11.6 percentage points, with a gross margin of 70.3%, up 6.3 percentage points [2] Summary by Sections IP Matrix and Global Popularity - The company employs a diverse IP strategy, achieving strong sales performance with five major IPs generating over 1 billion CNY each in revenue [3] - The top IPs include THE MONSTERS, MOLLY, SKULLPANDA, CRYBABY, and DIMOO, with revenues of 48.1 billion CNY, 13.6 billion CNY, 12.2 billion CNY, 12.2 billion CNY, and 11.1 billion CNY respectively, showing significant year-on-year growth [3] Product Structure and Performance - The product mix has diversified, with plush toys, figures, MEGA, and derivatives generating revenues of 61.4 billion CNY, 51.8 billion CNY, 10.1 billion CNY, and 15.5 billion CNY respectively, reflecting year-on-year increases of 1276.2%, 94.8%, 71.8%, and 78.9% [4] - Plush products have become a key driver for expanding the brand's appeal among younger fans globally [4] Global Expansion - The company has seen significant growth in various regions, with revenue from China reaching 82.8 billion CNY (+135.2%), Asia-Pacific at 28.5 billion CNY (+257.8%), and the Americas at 22.6 billion CNY (+1142.3%) [5] - The Americas market has shown the most dramatic growth, with a 10-fold increase in revenue, driven by an expansion of retail presence [5] Financial Forecasts - The revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised to 308.01 billion CNY, 427.86 billion CNY, and 553.14 billion CNY respectively, with net profits expected to be 106.67 billion CNY, 152.25 billion CNY, and 203.81 billion CNY [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 7.94 CNY, 11.34 CNY, and 15.18 CNY for the same period [6]