Core Insights - LABUBU has significantly boosted the sales performance of Pop Mart, with the company reporting a revenue of 138.8 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 204.4% [1][2] - The IP "THE MONSTERS," which includes LABUBU, generated 48.1 billion yuan in revenue, representing a staggering 668% increase compared to the previous year [2][3] - Pop Mart's strategy focuses on maintaining a balanced growth across its various IPs, with LABUBU accounting for less than 35% of the total revenue from THE MONSTERS [3][17] Financial Performance - The overall revenue for Pop Mart in the first half of 2025 reached 138.8 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 204.4% [2][12] - Revenue from THE MONSTERS reached 48.1 billion yuan, with a 668% increase year-on-year [2][6] - Other IPs such as MOLLY, SKULLPANDA, CRYBABY, and DIMOO also saw significant revenue growth, exceeding 10 billion yuan each [2][3] IP Development and Strategy - Pop Mart is expanding its IP portfolio, with new characters like "Xingxingren" showing promising growth, generating 3.9 billion yuan in revenue [3][4] - The company emphasizes a platform-based approach, aiming for healthy development across multiple IPs rather than relying solely on LABUBU [3][17] - Pop Mart is actively engaging consumers through events and collaborations, enhancing the emotional connection with its IPs [16][17] Supply Chain and Operational Challenges - The surge in demand for LABUBU and other plush products has led to significant challenges in the supply chain, prompting a comprehensive review and adjustment of production capabilities [6][7] - The production capacity for plush products has increased tenfold compared to the previous year, reaching approximately 30 million units per month [6][7] - The company is focused on improving the alignment between real demand and production forecasts to minimize discrepancies [7] International Expansion - Pop Mart's international strategy has shown remarkable results, with revenue from the Americas growing by 1142.3% and Europe by 729.2% in the first half of 2025 [11] - The company has established regional headquarters in four areas, indicating a structured approach to global expansion [11] - The number of registered members in China has increased significantly, contributing to 91.2% of sales, highlighting the importance of member engagement in driving revenue [12]

联合研究丨行业点评 [Table_Title] IP 衍生品产业研究（十三）：泡泡玛特 2025H1 业绩超预期， IP 平台化和全球化逻辑持续兑现 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 丨证券研究报告丨 1 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 泡泡玛特发布 2025H1 业绩，2025H1 营收/经调整净利润 138.76/47.10 亿元（同比 +204.4%/+362.8%，均高于预告的 200%/350%），毛利率/经调整净利率为 70.3%/33.9%（同 比+6.3/+11.6pcts），毛利率提升来自 1）海外占比提升，2）优化产品设计和成本管控、提升对 供应商议价权，3）外采商品占比下降。近期泡泡玛特发布 THE MONSTERS 心底密码系列盲 盒新品，线上/线下发售时间分别为 8 月 28 日/8 月 29 日。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 蔡方羿 高超 仲敏丽 SAC：S0490516060001 SAC：S0490516080001 SAC：S0490522050001 SFC：BUV463 SFC：BUX177 杨云祺 章颖佳 SAC： ...

Core Viewpoint - Bubble Mart International Group reported exceptional financial performance for the first half of 2025, with revenue of 13.88 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 204.4%, and adjusted net profit of 4.71 billion RMB, up 362.8% compared to the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance - The revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025 surpassed the total figures for the entire year of 2024 [1]. - Bubble Mart's stock price rose by 12.54% to 316 HKD per share, marking the largest single-day increase in 10 months, with a total market capitalization of 424.3 billion HKD [1]. Future Outlook - The founder, Wang Ning, expressed optimism about achieving a revenue target of 20 billion RMB for the year, with a possibility of reaching 30 billion RMB [2]. - The management anticipates an increase in net profit margin, projecting it to be around 35% for the year [2]. IP Strategy and Diversification - The company aims to maintain a healthy balance in its IP portfolio, with LABUBU accounting for less than 35% of total sales, indicating a diverse range of IPs [3][4]. - The revenue from THE MONSTERS, which includes LABUBU, reached 4.81 billion RMB, a staggering increase of 668.0% year-on-year, representing 34.7% of total revenue [3]. Supply Chain and Production Capacity - Bubble Mart's plush product category generated revenue of 6.14 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 1276.2%, and for the first time, its revenue share exceeded that of figurines [7]. - The company has significantly increased its production capacity, achieving a monthly output of approximately 30 million plush products, which is over ten times the output from the previous year [6][7]. Organizational Structure and Management - The company has initiated a major organizational restructuring to enhance global strategy and improve management efficiency, aiming for a flatter organizational structure [8][9]. - Wang Ning emphasized the importance of focusing on the company's overall health and adaptability in management practices to address the challenges posed by rapid growth [8][9].

Core Insights - Goldman Sachs' latest report analyzes the cyclical patterns of IP companies, stating that the typical popularity cycle for a single IP lasts 2-3 years, with platformization being a viable solution for sustainability [1][2] - The report identifies three typical stock price response patterns for IP companies based on their development stages: rapid growth, maturity, and diversification [1][5] Group 1: IP Cycle and Market Potential - The popularity cycle of single IPs generally lasts 2-3 years, as evidenced by examples like Lingna Belle and Kuromi in the Chinese market [2] - Companies with continuous content generation capabilities can extend their IP cycles beyond the typical duration [2] - The Chinese IP toy market shows significant potential, with per capita spending at 124 RMB (17 USD), which is only 1/17 of North America's and 1/4 of Japan's spending [12] Group 2: Stock Price Response Patterns - In the high-growth phase, stock price turning points often occur when high-frequency data shows signs of weakness, regardless of optimistic profit expectations [5] - In the maturity phase, stock price turning points align with downward revisions in profit expectations [5] - Companies with diversified business models are less affected by single IP cycles, demonstrating more resilient stock price performance [5] Group 3: Factors Influencing Sustainable Growth - Five key drivers for sustainable growth in IP companies include diverse product offerings, resource investment, monetization capabilities, customer interaction, and IP portfolio expansion [4][10] - Disney and Bandai are highlighted as exemplary companies in building comprehensive IP ecosystems, showcasing strong profitability resilience [4] Group 4: Bubble Mart Analysis - Goldman Sachs conducted a scenario analysis for Bubble Mart, suggesting that in the most optimistic scenario, long-term revenue potential could reach 81 billion RMB (11 billion USD), comparable to Lego's level [1][8] - The report maintains a neutral rating for Bubble Mart with a target price of 260 HKD, based on a 25x expected P/E ratio for 2027 [11] - Bubble Mart's growth is driven by both internal factors (product development, category expansion) and external factors (celebrity endorsements, rising emotional value demand) [8] Group 5: Market Dynamics - The rise of short video platforms and reduced content supply has created opportunities for non-content IPs [3] - The report emphasizes that establishing an IP platform is crucial for unlocking growth potential and achieving long-term success [11]