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高频数据跟踪20260330:焦炉高炉开工率回升,能源有色价格上涨
China Post Securities· 2026-03-31 06:32
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - High - frequency economic data focuses on four aspects: production - end heat is differentiated with rising coke oven, blast furnace, and PX operating rates, and asphalt at a low level and declining, while tire operating rates remain stable; commercial housing transaction area rebounds, and the industrial land area decreases; price trends diverge, with prices of crude oil, coking coal, and non - ferrous metals rising, and agricultural product prices continuing the seasonal downward trend; residents' travel heat rebounds overall, with increases in subway passenger volume and domestic and international flight operations. Short - term concerns are on the impact of imported inflation on the price end and the real - estate recovery situation [2][31]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Production - Steel: In the week of March 27, the coke oven capacity utilization rate increased by 0.87pct, the blast furnace operating rate increased by 1.25pct, and the rebar production decreased by 5.46 tons [9]. - Petroleum asphalt: The operating rate decreased by 2.5pct compared with the previous week. On March 25, the operating rate of domestic petroleum asphalt plants was 19.3% [9]. - Chemical industry: The PX operating rate increased by 1.01pct compared with the previous week, and the PTA operating rate remained flat [9]. - Automobile tires: The all - steel tire operating rate increased by 0.03pct, and the semi - steel tire operating rate decreased by 0.01pct compared with the previous week [10]. Demand - Real estate: In the week of March 29, the commercial housing transaction in 30 large and medium - sized cities increased, the inventory - to - sales ratio of commercial housing in 10 large cities decreased, the land supply area in 100 large and medium - sized cities decreased, and the transaction premium rate of residential land in 100 large and medium - sized cities decreased [13]. - Movie box office: In the week of March 22, the total national movie box office revenue was 327 million yuan, a decrease of 45 million yuan compared with the previous week [13]. - Automobile sales: In the week of March 22, the daily average retail sales of national passenger car manufacturers increased by 6,293 vehicles, and the daily average wholesale sales increased by 4,809 vehicles compared with the previous week [17]. - Shipping freight rates: In the week of March 27, the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) increased by 119.82 points, the China Containerized Freight Index (CCFI) increased by 18.43 points, and the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) decreased by 25 points [20]. Prices - Energy: On March 27, the settlement price of Brent crude oil futures was 112.57 US dollars per barrel, with a weekly change of 0.34%; the settlement price of coking coal futures was 1,218 yuan per ton, with a weekly change of 4.82% [22]. - Metals: On March 27, the closing price of LME copper futures was 12,141 US dollars per ton, with a weekly change of 2.59%; the closing price of LME aluminum futures was 3,284.5 US dollars per ton, with a weekly change of 2.9%; the closing price of LME zinc futures was 3,106.5 US dollars per ton, with a weekly change of 1.65%; the settlement price of domestic rebar futures was 3,121 yuan per ton, with a weekly change of - 0.16% [23]. - Agricultural products: On March 27, the 200 - index of agricultural product wholesale prices decreased by 1.29% week - on - week. The weekly changes in the prices of pork, eggs, vegetables, and fruits were - 1.56%, 1.71%, - 1.85%, and 0.26% respectively [25]. Logistics - Subway passenger volume: On March 29, the seven - day moving average of Beijing's subway passenger volume increased by 61,700 person - times, with a weekly change of 0.61%; the seven - day moving average of Shanghai's subway passenger volume increased by 192,900 person - times, with a weekly change of 1.81% [27]. - Flight operations: On March 29, the seven - day moving average of domestic (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) flight operations increased by 80.43 flights, with a weekly change of 0.61%; the seven - day moving average of domestic (Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) flight operations increased by 11.29 flights, with a weekly change of 3.08%; the seven - day moving average of international flight operations increased by 0.71 flights, with a weekly change of 0.04% [29]. - Urban congestion: On March 29, the seven - day moving average of the peak congestion index in first - tier cities was 1.7, a decrease of 0.04 compared with the previous week, with a weekly change of - 2.21% [29].
伦铝价格弱势震荡 2月4日LME铝库存持平
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-02-05 03:08
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that LME aluminum futures prices are experiencing weak fluctuations, with a current price of $3044.5 per ton, reflecting a decline of 0.47% from the opening price [1] - On February 4, LME aluminum futures opened at $3108.5 per ton, reached a high of $3134.0, and closed at $3059.0, marking a decrease of 1.29% [2] - The inventory data shows that as of February 4, LME registered aluminum warehouse receipts totaled 440,650 tons, with canceled receipts remaining unchanged at 54,525 tons, and total aluminum inventory at 495,175 tons, also unchanged [2] Group 2 - On February 4, the Shanghai Futures Exchange reported aluminum warehouse receipts of 150,289 tons, a decrease of 423 tons compared to the previous trading day [2] - The electrolytic aluminum spot price ratio between Shanghai and London was reported at 0, with the import profit and loss at -2139.1 yuan per ton, slightly worsening from -2128.13 yuan per ton on the previous trading day [2]
伦铝价格继续爬升 1月27日LME铝库存减少3025吨
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-28 03:07
Group 1 - LME aluminum futures prices continue to rise, opening at $3220 per ton and currently at $3243 per ton, with an increase of 0.95% [1] - On January 27, LME aluminum futures had an opening price of $3182.5, a highest price of $3213.5, a lowest price of $3153.0, and a closing price of $3212.5, reflecting a change of 0.53% [2] - The average daily shipment of aluminum ore and aluminum concentrate from Brazil in January reached 14,200 tons, a 49.39% increase compared to January of the previous year [2] Group 2 - As of January 27, the LME registered aluminum warehouse receipts totaled 479,500 tons, with canceled receipts at 22,750 tons, a decrease of 250 tons [2] - The total aluminum inventory at LME is 502,250 tons, which has decreased by 3,025 tons [2] - The electrolytic aluminum spot price ratio between Shanghai and London was 7.59, with an import loss of 2,240.15 yuan per ton, compared to a loss of 2,392.65 yuan per ton on the previous trading day [2]
伦铝价格持续上涨 1月23日LME铝库存减少2000吨
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-26 03:06
Core Viewpoint - The London Metal Exchange (LME) aluminum futures prices have shown a continuous upward trend, with the current price at $3179.5 per ton, reflecting a 0.19% increase from the opening price [1] Group 1: LME Aluminum Futures Performance - On January 26, LME aluminum futures opened at $3169 per ton and reached a high of $3195 per ton during the trading session [1] - On January 23, LME aluminum futures had an opening price of $3140.0, a closing price of $3173.5, with a daily increase of 1.15% [1] Group 2: Aluminum Market Inventory and Trading Data - As of January 23, LME registered aluminum warehouse receipts totaled 482,475 tons, with canceled receipts at 24,800 tons, a decrease of 2,000 tons [1] - The total aluminum inventory on LME was reported at 507,275 tons, also reflecting a decrease of 2,000 tons [1] - On the same date, the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) aluminum warehouse receipts increased by 2,296 tons, totaling 141,152 tons [1] Group 3: Import and Export Dynamics - The electrolytic aluminum spot price ratio between Shanghai and London was recorded at 7.65, indicating an import loss of 1,918.67 yuan per ton, compared to a previous loss of 2,056.45 yuan per ton [1]
伦铝价格高位震荡 1月16日LME铝库存减少2000吨
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-19 03:08
Core Viewpoint - The LME aluminum futures prices are experiencing fluctuations, with a recent increase noted in the trading session. Group 1: LME Aluminum Futures Prices - On January 19, the LME aluminum futures opened at $3142.5 per ton and are currently at $3152.5 per ton, reflecting a rise of 0.77%. The intraday high reached $3163.5 per ton, while the low was $3138.5 per ton [1] - On January 16, the LME aluminum futures had an opening price of $3166.5, a high of $3174.0, a low of $3113.0, and a closing price of $3128.5, marking a decrease of 1.36% [2] Group 2: Market Data and Inventory - As of January 16, the Shanghai Futures Exchange reported aluminum warehouse receipts of 140,750 tons, an increase of 2,667 tons compared to the previous trading day [2] - The electrolytic aluminum spot price ratio between Shanghai and London was 7.57, with an import loss of ¥-2,416.75 per ton, improving from the previous day's loss of ¥-2,563.98 per ton [2] - The LME reported registered aluminum warehouse receipts of 446,575 tons, with canceled receipts decreasing by 2,000 tons to a total of 41,425 tons. The total aluminum inventory stands at 488,000 tons, also down by 2,000 tons [2]
LME金属涨跌不一 铜铝镍锡回调
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-16 00:32
Core Viewpoint - LME metal futures showed mixed performance with copper, aluminum, nickel, and tin experiencing declines, while lead reached a 13-month high after five consecutive increases [1] Group 1: Metal Prices - As of the close, London copper was reported at $13,148.5, down $151.5, a decrease of 1.14% [1] - London aluminum closed at $3,171.5, down $18, a decrease of 0.56% [1] - London zinc was reported at $3,313.5, up $23.5, an increase of 0.71% [1] - London lead closed at $2,096.5, up $11, an increase of 0.53%, marking a 13-month high [1] - London tin was reported at $52,775, down $1,225, a decrease of 2.27% [1] - London nickel closed at $18,590, down $195, a decrease of 1.04% [1]
伦铝价格高位弱势震荡 1月14日LME铝库存减少2000吨
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-15 02:58
Core Viewpoint - The LME aluminum futures prices are experiencing weak fluctuations at high levels, with a current price of $3176 per ton, reflecting a decline of 0.42% from the opening price [1]. Group 1: LME Aluminum Futures Market - On January 15, LME aluminum futures opened at $3187 per ton and reached a high of $3187 per ton and a low of $3154 per ton [1]. - On January 14, the LME aluminum futures closed at $3189.5 per ton, with a slight decrease of 0.20% from the previous day [2]. - The trading data for January 14 shows that the opening price was $3186.5, the highest price was $3225.0, and the lowest price was $3176.0 [2]. Group 2: Aluminum Market Indicators - The electrolytic aluminum spot price ratio between Shanghai and London was reported at 7.61 on January 14, indicating an import loss of 2514.57 yuan per ton [2]. - The Shanghai Futures Exchange reported an increase in aluminum futures warehouse receipts to 133,565 tons, up by 32,803 tons from the previous trading day [2]. - As of January 14, the LME registered aluminum warehouse receipts totaled 446,575 tons, with canceled receipts decreasing by 2,000 tons, resulting in total aluminum inventory of 492,000 tons, also down by 2,000 tons [2].
伦铝价格延续涨势 1月5日LME铝库存减少2500吨
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-06 03:04
Core Viewpoint - The LME aluminum futures prices continue to rise, indicating a positive trend in the aluminum market [1][2]. Group 1: LME Aluminum Futures Performance - On January 6, LME aluminum futures opened at $3080.5 per ton and are currently at $3111.5 per ton, reflecting a 0.84% increase [1]. - The highest price during the day reached $3114 per ton, while the lowest was $3080.5 per ton [1]. Group 2: Historical Price Data - On January 5, LME aluminum futures opened at $3024.0, peaked at $3093.0, and closed at $3090.0, marking a 2.28% increase [2]. - The lowest price recorded on January 5 was $3023.5 [2]. Group 3: Market Inventory and Trading Data - As of January 5, the Shanghai Futures Exchange reported aluminum warehouse receipts of 82,796 tons, an increase of 1,127 tons from the previous trading day [2]. - The LME registered aluminum warehouse receipts totaled 447,475 tons, with canceled receipts decreasing by 2,500 tons to 59,275 tons [2]. - The total aluminum inventory at LME stands at 506,750 tons, also down by 2,500 tons [2].
伦铝价格继续上涨 12月29日LME铝库存减少1800吨
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-30 03:05
Group 1 - LME aluminum futures prices continued to rise, opening at $2952 per ton and currently at $2959 per ton, with an increase of 0.24% [1] - The highest price during the day reached $2965 per ton, while the lowest dipped to $2948 per ton [1] Group 2 - On December 29, LME aluminum futures had an opening price of $2966.0, a highest price of $2997.5, a lowest price of $2939.0, and a closing price of $2949.0, reflecting a decrease of 0.25% [2] - As of December 29, the Shanghai Futures Exchange reported aluminum warehouse receipts of 78,455 tons, an increase of 1,697 tons compared to the previous trading day [2] - LME registered aluminum warehouse receipts totaled 447,825 tons, with canceled receipts at 71,425 tons, a decrease of 1,800 tons [2] - LME aluminum inventory stood at 519,250 tons, also down by 1,800 tons [2] - The electrolytic aluminum spot price ratio between Shanghai and London was 7.51, with an import loss of 2,221.25 yuan per ton, compared to a loss of 2,502.53 yuan per ton on the previous trading day [2]
伦铝价格高位震荡 12月23日LME铝库存持平
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-24 03:08
Core Viewpoint - The LME aluminum futures prices are experiencing fluctuations at high levels, with a current price of $2950 per ton, reflecting a 0.37% increase from the opening price [1] Group 1: LME Aluminum Futures Performance - On December 24, LME aluminum futures opened at $2947 per ton and reached a high of $2957.5 per ton, with a low of $2946 per ton [1] - On December 23, the LME aluminum futures closed at $2941 per ton, with an opening price of $2943.5, a highest price of $2966.0, and a lowest price of $2926.0, showing no percentage change [1] Group 2: Aluminum Market Updates - As of December 23, the registered aluminum warehouse receipts at LME totaled 445,200 tons, with 74,400 tons canceled, remaining unchanged [1] - The aluminum inventory at LME stood at 519,600 tons, also unchanged [1] - The Shanghai-London aluminum price ratio was reported at 7.46, with the import loss at -2350.47 yuan per ton, improving from the previous day's loss of -2466.39 yuan per ton [1] - On December 23, the Shanghai Futures Exchange aluminum warehouse receipts increased by 1 ton from the previous trading day, totaling 76,089 tons [1]