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中集安瑞科(03899):LNG储运订单高增,氢氨醇放量可期
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [3][10]. Core Insights - The company is a clean energy equipment platform under CIMC, focusing on LNG transportation, storage, and processing equipment, with a strong financial position and a projected CAGR of 17% for net profit from 2020 to 2024, driven by the growth in clean energy equipment [9][10]. - The company has a robust order book, with total orders amounting to 30.8 billion yuan as of Q3 2025, including 27.3 billion yuan in clean energy equipment [10][51]. - The report highlights the potential for growth in hydrogen and methanol businesses, supported by national policies and increasing demand for clean energy solutions [12][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company, established in 2004, is a subsidiary of CIMC, primarily engaged in the production of various transportation, storage, and processing equipment for clean energy, chemical environments, and liquid food industries [20][21]. - The company has shown steady revenue and profit growth, with a CAGR of 19% for revenue and 17% for net profit from 2020 to 2024 [26][32]. 2. Energy Equipment - The company benefits from a full order book in clean energy equipment, with significant growth expected in LNG storage and transportation due to declining natural gas prices and increasing demand [9][10]. - The report notes that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the LNG market, with a projected increase in LNG-powered vessels and infrastructure [62][66]. 3. Energy Operations - The company is expanding its operations in blue hydrogen and green methanol production, with projects expected to come online in the near future [10][12]. - The focus on utilizing by-products from steel production for hydrogen and LNG production is highlighted as a key growth area [21][61]. 4. Chemical and Food Industries - The company holds a significant market share in chemical tank containers, although it faces short-term pressures from the chemical cycle [32][34]. - The liquid food segment is also impacted by consumer trends, but diversification strategies are in place to enhance resilience [32][34]. 5. Investment Analysis - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 1.133 billion, 1.469 billion, and 1.762 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 13, 10, and 8 [10][11]. - The report suggests a reasonable valuation of 19.1 billion yuan for 2026, indicating a potential upside of 29% from the current market capitalization [10][11].
中集安瑞科(3899.HK)动态跟踪报告:清洁能源板块稳定增长 焦炉气综合利用项目、造船业务持续突破
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-10 19:50
Core Viewpoint - The company has demonstrated steady revenue growth and improved profitability in the first half of 2025, driven by its clean energy segment and strong order intake in various sectors [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 12.61 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.9% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 560 million RMB, up 15.6% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin was 14.4%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points, while the net margin rose by 0.2 percentage points to 4.6% [1]. Segment Performance - The clean energy segment generated revenue of 9.63 billion RMB, a 22.2% increase year-on-year, attributed to rising domestic environmental protection and energy-saving demands [1]. - The chemical environment segment saw a revenue decline of 14.3% to 1.11 billion RMB, impacted by unstable U.S. trade policies and geopolitical tensions [1]. - The liquid food segment's revenue fell by 18.6% to 1.88 billion RMB due to a decrease in new orders [1]. Order Intake and Backlog - The company secured new orders worth 10.74 billion RMB in H1 2025, with clean energy, chemical environment, and liquid food orders amounting to 8.97 billion, 1.08 billion, and 690 million RMB respectively [2]. - New orders in Q2 2025 for the chemical environment and liquid food segments increased by 43% and 62% respectively [2]. - As of H1 2025, the total backlog stood at 29.18 billion RMB, remaining stable year-on-year, with clean energy backlog increasing by 10% to 25.20 billion RMB [2]. Strategic Developments - The company is focusing on the comprehensive utilization of coke oven gas and has a robust shipbuilding order book [2]. - The completion of the coke oven gas utilization project in July 2025 is expected to produce 147,000 tons of LNG and 20,000 tons of hydrogen annually [2]. - The company maintains a leading global share in LNG bunkering vessels, with new shipbuilding orders totaling 2.34 billion RMB in H1 2025 [2]. Investment Outlook - The company’s performance aligns with expectations, and the forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is set at 1.29 billion, 1.51 billion, and 1.75 billion RMB respectively, corresponding to EPS of 0.63, 0.74, and 0.86 RMB [2].