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SoFi vs. OppFi: Which Fintech Stock Looks More Compelling Right Now?
ZACKS· 2026-01-28 17:51
Core Insights - SoFi Technologies (SOFI) and OppFi Inc. (OPFI) are both players in the fintech lending sector, with SOFI focusing on prime and near-prime borrowers while OPFI targets subprime borrowers [1] Group 1: SoFi Technologies (SOFI) - SoFi continues to innovate, recently launching SoFi Pay for low-cost international payments and a USD stablecoin, indicating a push towards blockchain integration in financial services [2] - The relaunch of SoFi's crypto trading platform aligns with increased investor interest in cryptocurrencies, while the introduction of SoFi Coach aims to provide personalized financial insights [3] - The SoFi Smart Card offers cash-back rewards and credit-building tools, enhancing customer engagement and brand loyalty [4] - Marketing partnerships, such as with NFL MVP Josh Allen, are increasing SoFi's brand visibility among younger consumers [5] - The acquisition of Galileo Financial Technologies has strengthened SoFi's fintech infrastructure, enabling better payment processing and AI-driven engagement tools [6][7] - The integration of Galileo's technology with SoFi's products enhances operational efficiency and innovation, creating a structural advantage [8] Group 2: OppFi Inc. (OPFI) - OppFi's financial performance is driven by its AI and machine-learning-based underwriting engine, Model 6, which has led to significant profitability growth [9] - In Q3 2025, OppFi reported a 136.9% year-over-year increase in net income, while revenues grew by 13.5%, highlighting the efficiency of its business model [10] - The company's auto-approval rate reached 79.1%, improving operational efficiency and leading to a 79% growth in adjusted EPS [11] - OppFi's Model 6.1 upgrade aims to enhance risk pricing precision, with early results showing a decline in net charge-offs [12] - The Loan Origination Lending Application (LOLA) is expected to further improve scalability and operational efficiency, with testing underway [13][14] - OppFi's disciplined credit assessment combined with rising automation positions it well for profitability in a volatile lending environment [15] Group 3: Financial Estimates and Valuation - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SOFI indicates a 36.8% growth in sales and a 146.7% increase in EPS for 2025 [16] - SOFI's current quarter sales estimate is $981.89 million, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 32.85% [17] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OPFI shows a 13.6% increase in sales and a 65.3% rise in EPS for 2025 [19] - OPFI's current quarter sales estimate is $159.75 million, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 17.71% [20] - OPFI is trading at a forward P/E ratio of 5.78X, significantly lower than SOFI's 41.91X, indicating that OPFI appears cheaper [22] Group 4: Comparative Analysis - SoFi is viewed as the more compelling investment due to its diversified, platform-driven model that supports balanced growth across cycles [23] - OppFi's efficiency gains are notable, but its business is more closely tied to subprime credit conditions, which may increase risk during economic stress [23]
OPFI Hits 79% Auto-Approval Rate: Can Its Efficiency Rise Further?
ZACKS· 2026-01-13 16:45
Core Insights - OppFi (OPFI) achieved a record auto-approval rate of 79.1% in Q3 2025, an increase of 230 basis points year-over-year, driven by its AI and machine-learning credit assessment technology, Model 6 [1][8] - The company reported revenues of $155 million in Q3 2025, reflecting a 13.5% increase from the previous year, alongside a 490-basis point reduction in the expense-to-revenue ratio [2][8] - Net income and adjusted net income surged by 136.9% and 41.4% year-over-year, respectively, indicating significant operational efficiency [3] Operational Efficiency - The high auto-approval rates contributed to improved margins by decoupling top-line growth from manual underwriting costs, with the sustainability of this efficiency reliant on the upcoming Model 6.1 refit [4] - The Loan Origination Lending Application (LOLA) is set to be migrated in Q1 2026, which, combined with the credit assessment tool, aims to transition labor-intensive processes into a high-margin software-first business [5] Market Performance and Valuation - OppFi's stock has decreased by 4.8% over the past year, compared to a 4.6% decline in its industry and a 23.4% increase in the Zacks S&P 500 Composite [6] - The forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio for OPFI is 5.92X, which is lower than WEX's 9.06X but higher than Global Payments' 5.75X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OppFi's earnings per share remains unchanged at $1.57 for 2025 and $1.71 for 2026 [13]
Dave vs. OppFi: Which Fintech Stock Is the Smarter Bet Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-12-24 18:41
Core Insights - Both OppFi Inc. (OPFI) and Dave (DAVE) are key players in the fintech sector, focusing on digital lending solutions for customers [1] - DAVE offers interest-free cash advances, while OPFI collaborates with banks to serve the underbanked population [1] Group 1: Performance Metrics - DAVE's ExtraCash service allows customers to borrow up to $500 without interest, achieving a 49% year-over-year growth in originations in Q3 2025, resulting in a 63% increase in top-line growth and a 137% rise in adjusted EBITDA [3][9] - OPFI reported a 13.5% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 2025, with adjusted net income growing by 41.4% and adjusted EPS rising by 39.1% [7][9] Group 2: Credit Risk Management - DAVE's average 28-day delinquency rate decreased by 7 basis points to 2.33% in Q3 2025, aided by the CashAI v5.5 rollout, which also improved the 28-day days past due metric [4][9] - OPFI's Model 6 led to a 430 basis point reduction in net charge-offs as a percentage of total revenues year-over-year, indicating effective credit risk management [8] Group 3: Financial Guidance and Estimates - DAVE raised its revenue guidance for the year to $544-$547 million, up from $505-$515 million, and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $215-$218 million from $180-$190 million [5] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DAVE's 2025 sales is $546.1 million, reflecting a 57.3% year-over-year increase, while OPFI's estimate is $597.6 million, suggesting a 13.6% growth [12][13] Group 4: Valuation Comparison - OPFI is trading at a forward P/E ratio of 6.47X, significantly lower than DAVE's 15.81X, making OPFI a more attractive investment option [14] - Both companies are rated Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating strong potential for investors [17]
3 Undervalued Stocks Investors Should Grab Right Before 2026
ZACKS· 2025-12-19 17:11
Core Insights - Investing in undervalued stocks with strong fundamentals is a strategy for long-term wealth creation, providing a margin of safety against market volatility while positioning for potential upside [2] - The focus on companies with robust fundamentals helps filter out those that are deteriorating, allowing investors to capitalize on stocks that can rebound from economic setbacks [3] OppFi (OPFI) - OppFi is enhancing its credit approval process through its proprietary AI and machine learning-based Model 6, which improved auto approval rates to 79.1% in Q3 2025 from 76.8% year-over-year [4] - The company experienced a 136.9% increase in net income, attributed to a 500 basis point reduction in total expenses as a percentage of revenues [4] - Management raised its adjusted net income guidance for 2025 to $137-$142 million from an earlier estimate of $95-$97 million, and adjusted EPS expectations increased to $1.54-$1.60 from $1.06-$1.07 [6] - OPFI is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 6.29X, significantly lower than the industry average of 20.73X, despite an 8% decline in stock price over the past three months [7] Green Dot (GDOT) - GDOT's B2B segment saw a revenue growth of over 30% in Q3 2025, driven by the Arc platform and strategic partnerships [12] - The company has a strong balance sheet with cash and equivalents of $1.6 billion and no current debt, resulting in a long-term debt to equity ratio of 7% compared to the industry average of 70.7% [14] - GDOT's revenue for 2025 is estimated at $2.1 billion, indicating a 20.4% year-over-year increase, with EPS expected to rise by 1.5% [17] Evertec (EVTC) - Evertec reported an 8% year-over-year revenue growth in Q3 2025, supported by expansions in Latin America and acquisitions [19] - The company has a strong liquidity position with cash and equivalents of $500 million and current debt of $24 million, resulting in a current ratio of 2.91 [20] - EVTC's revenue for 2025 is projected at $924 million, suggesting a 9.3% year-over-year gain, with EPS expected to rise by 9.5% [23]
OppFi Rallies 33% YTD: Should You Still Purchase the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-12-04 18:06
Core Insights - OppFi Inc. (OPFI) shares have increased by 32.5% year-to-date, outperforming its industry which declined by 11.6% and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite which grew by 19.8% [1][7] - The company has consistently raised its earnings guidance for 2025, indicating strong investor confidence in its profitability outlook [9][10] Performance Comparison - Over the past month, OPFI gained 2.2%, surpassing Cantaloupe's 0.2% and Fidelity National Information Services' 1.5% [4] - Year-to-date, OPFI has outperformed Cantaloupe's 11.2% rise and Fidelity National Information Services' 17.4% decline [1][4] Operational Efficiency - OPFI improved its auto approval rate to 79.1% in Q3 2025 from 76.8% in the previous year, contributing to a 500-basis-point decline in total expenses as a percentage of revenues [5] - The company experienced a 13.5% year-over-year increase in revenue, leading to a 136.9% increase in net income [5][7] - Model 6 also reduced net charge-offs as a percentage of total revenues by 430 basis points year-over-year [6] Financial Guidance - For 2025, OPFI expects adjusted net income to range from $106 million to $142 million across the first three quarters, with adjusted EPS projected between $1.18 and $1.60 [9][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OPFI's 2025 revenues is $598 million, reflecting a 13.6% year-over-year growth [15] Valuation Metrics - OPFI is currently priced at 5.99 times forward 12-month earnings per share, significantly below the industry average of 20.1 times [11] - The trailing 12-month EV-to-EBITDA ratio for OPFI is 5.03 times, compared to the industry average of 10.94 times, indicating undervaluation [11] Analyst Confidence - Over the past 60 days, EPS estimates for both 2025 and 2026 have been revised upward, with the 2025 earnings estimate rising by 10.6% [16] - This upward revision trend highlights strong analyst confidence in OPFI's financial performance [16] Investment Recommendation - Given the operational improvements, consistent earnings guidance increases, and undervaluation relative to the industry, OPFI is recommended as a strong buy for investors seeking long-term capital gains [17][18]
Is OppFi's Operational Efficiency Essential for Profitability?
ZACKS· 2025-12-02 16:46
Core Insights - OppFi's (OPFI) third-quarter 2025 performance showcases operational efficiency, driven by technology and disciplined cost management, resulting in improved profitability [1] - The company achieved a 13.5% year-over-year revenue growth, indicating sustained customer demand [1][8] Financial Performance - Total expenses saw a marginal increase, but expenses as a percentage of revenues decreased by 500 basis points from the previous year [2] - The implementation of Model 6 and LOLA led to a 230 basis point increase in auto-approval rates, reaching 79.1%, which reduced reliance on human underwriters [2] - Adjusted net income surged by 41.4% year-over-year in Q3 2025, with margins expanding by 500 basis points [3] - Over the nine months ending September 30, adjusted net income increased by 82.7%, translating to a 1,000 basis point margin expansion [3] Operational Efficiency - The disparity between revenue growth and adjusted net income growth highlights operational efficiency, crucial for scaling the business and ensuring long-term profitability [4] - The company's reliance on technology optimizes its cost structure, creating a buffer against credit default risk [5] Guidance and Valuation - Management revised the adjusted net income guidance for the year to $137-$142 million, reflecting confidence in operational performance [5] - OppFi's stock has increased by 27.4% over the past year, outperforming the industry average decline of 12.2% [6] - The stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 5.77, significantly lower than the industry average of 20.16 [10] - OppFi holds a Value Score of A, while its peers Corpay and Cantaloupe have scores of B and C, respectively [13]
OppFi's Adjusted EPS Guidance for 2025 Raised Again: Can it Deliver?
ZACKS· 2025-11-17 15:56
Core Insights - OppFi (OPFI) raised its adjusted earnings per share (EPS) guidance for 2025 to $1.54-$1.60, up from $1.39-$1.44, following a strong quarterly performance with an adjusted EPS of 46 cents, reflecting a 39.1% year-over-year increase [2][8] Financial Performance - The company experienced a 13.5% year-over-year increase in revenue, driven by the predictive capabilities of Model 6, which improved loan management and boosted originations and receivables [3][8] - Adjusted net income rose by 41.4% compared to the same quarter last year, supported by effective expense management [3] Credit Risk Management - OPFI achieved a significant reduction in credit risk, with net charge-offs declining by 430 basis points or 11.2% year-over-year as a percentage of total revenues [4] - The company's future performance hinges on its ability to scale sustainably while leveraging its credit risk mitigation technology [4][5] Future Outlook - The management plans to roll out Model 6.1 in Q4 2025, aimed at enhancing risk detection and increasing volume growth [5] - The absence of major macroeconomic challenges is expected to facilitate the achievement of the new EPS guidance [5] Stock Performance and Valuation - OPFI's stock has increased by 28.4% year-to-date, outperforming competitors like Corpay (CPAY) and Global Payments (GPN), which have seen declines of 17.5% and 33.2%, respectively [6][8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 5.82, significantly lower than the industry average of 21.13 [10] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OppFi's earnings for 2025 has increased by 10.6% over the past 30 days [12]
OppFi Q2: AI-Driven Growth Overshadowed By Fintech Sector Sell-Off
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-12 09:31
Company Overview - OppFi Inc. (NYSE: OPFI) specializes in providing high-interest loans through partnerships with banks, utilizing a technological tool known as Model 6 to automate the loan process [1] Business Model - The primary activity of the company involves offering loans, which are facilitated through its banking partnerships, indicating a reliance on technology to streamline operations [1]
OPFI's Net Charge-Off Rates Decline: A Win for Risk Management?
ZACKS· 2025-06-16 16:32
Core Insights - OppFi's net charge-off rate has significantly improved, indicating better credit quality and risk management strategies [1][2][5] - The company's adjusted net income has surged, reflecting the positive impact of reduced charge-offs on profitability [5][6] Performance Metrics - In Q1 2025, OppFi reported a net charge-off rate of 35%, a decrease of 700 basis points from the previous quarter and 1300 basis points year-over-year [2][9] - Adjusted net income reached $33.8 million, marking a 285.1% increase year-over-year [5][9] Risk Management Strategies - The implementation of Model 6 has enhanced OppFi's ability to identify long-term credit risks and target higher-quality borrowers [3][9] - Effective loan recovery efforts have contributed to minimizing losses on defaulted loans, further reducing net charge-offs [4][9] Market Position - OppFi's stock has increased by 252.9% over the past year, outperforming competitors and the industry average [7][9] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9.32, significantly lower than the industry average of 22.58 [11] Future Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OppFi's earnings for 2025 has risen by 15% over the last 60 days, indicating positive market sentiment [13] - OppFi holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), reflecting strong investor confidence [15]