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英伟达:整体业绩超预期,Blackwell加速出货-20250610
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-10 10:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for NVIDIA is "Buy" with a maintained rating for the next six months [7]. Core Insights - NVIDIA's overall performance exceeded expectations with total revenue of $44.1 billion for FY26Q1, representing a 69.0% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations of $43.3 billion [1]. - The non-GAAP gross margin was reported at 61%, and if excluding a $4.5 billion impairment charge, it would have been 71.3%, slightly above Bloomberg's consensus of 70.96% [1]. - Net profit for the quarter was $23.6 billion, exceeding Bloomberg's consensus of $23.1 billion [1]. - The strong demand for AI continues to drive high revenue growth, with expectations for gross margins to recover to 75% by the end of the year [3]. Business Segment Summary - Data Center revenue reached $39.1 billion, slightly below consensus expectations of $39.2 billion; Compute business generated $34.155 billion, a 76.1% year-over-year increase, but below the expected $35.469 billion [2]. - Networking revenue was $4.96 billion, significantly exceeding expectations of $3.45 billion, with NVLink product shipments exceeding $1 billion in Q1 [2]. - Gaming revenue was $3.763 billion, a 42.2% year-over-year increase, far surpassing the expected $2.845 billion [2]. - Automotive revenue was $567 million, a 72.3% increase, meeting expectations, while OEM & Other revenue was $111 million, below the expected $118 million [2]. - The company anticipates total revenue of $45 billion (±2%) for Q2, with moderate sequential growth across all business segments [3][5].
天风证券晨会集萃-20250604
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-03 23:45
Group 1: AI Industry Insights - NVIDIA reported Q1 revenue of $44.1 billion, a 12% increase quarter-over-quarter and a 69% increase year-over-year, with a forecast of $45 billion for Q2 FY2026 [1] - The AI industry is expected to be a key investment theme in 2025, with both China and the US making significant progress in AI infrastructure and applications [1] - Long-term investment opportunities are suggested in "AI + overseas expansion + satellite" sectors, focusing on areas like optical modules, liquid cooling, and domestic computing power [1] Group 2: Food and Beverage Sector - The food and beverage sector saw a decline of 1.06% from May 26 to May 30, with soft drinks and low-alcohol segments performing well, increasing by 9.27% and 7.13% respectively [26][27] - Key recommendations include focusing on white liquor brands like Moutai and Fenjiu, and monitoring the performance of yellow wine during its data validation phase [26] - The upcoming 618 shopping festival and Q2-Q3 peak season are expected to boost sales in the soft drink and low-alcohol segments, with several companies benefiting from cost advantages [27][29] Group 3: Hong Kong Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong stock market saw a net inflow of 25.8 billion yuan over five trading days, with a total net inflow of 610.7 billion yuan year-to-date, representing 82% of the previous year's total [3] - The Hong Kong Legislative Council passed the "Hong Kong Stablecoin Ordinance," marking a significant step in financial innovation and stability [3] - Major internet companies are currently valued at relatively low PE ratios, with Meituan seeing significant accumulation of southbound funds [3] Group 4: Construction Materials - Cement clinker prices in the Yangtze River Delta region increased by 30 yuan per ton, with companies planning to implement staggered production from June to August [14] - The overall cement shipment rate was 48% in May, showing a year-on-year decline, but the recent price increase indicates a positive shift in market sentiment [14] - The report suggests that cement companies may see profit growth despite reduced volumes, with a focus on companies like China National Materials and West Cement [14] Group 5: Semiconductor Equipment - The company reported a 22% year-over-year increase in Q1 revenue to 1.48 billion yuan, with a significant rise in net profit [23] - The components business achieved a 70.45% revenue growth, driven by increased demand from the new energy sector [24] - The semiconductor segment is expected to contribute to future growth, with successful collaborations with major clients [25]