Investors with a lot of money to spend have taken a bearish stance on Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY).And retail traders should know.We noticed this today when the trades showed up on publicly available options history that we track here at Benzinga.Whether these are institutions or just wealthy individuals, we don't know. But when something this big happens with LLY, it often means somebody knows something is about to happen.So how do we know what these investors just did? Today, Benzinga's options scanner spotted 33 ...

Core Viewpoint - Incyte Corporation has shown strong performance in its recent earnings report, with significant growth in revenues and earnings per share, driven by the success of its key products, particularly Jakafi and Opzelura, leading to a positive outlook for the stock [2][3][4]. Financial Performance - Incyte reported Q3 2025 adjusted earnings of $2.26 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.66, and up from $1.07 per share in the same quarter last year [2]. - Total revenues for Q3 2025 reached $1.37 billion, reflecting a 20% year-over-year increase, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.26 billion [3]. Product Sales Breakdown - Jakafi sales amounted to $791.1 million, a 7% increase year-over-year, driven by a 10% rise in paid demand, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $770 million [4]. - Opzelura generated $188 million in sales, up 35% year-over-year, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $179.1 million, attributed to increased patient demand [5]. - Zynyz, a newly approved drug, recorded sales of $22.7 million, significantly higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.5 million [6]. - Iclusig sales were $37.6 million, up 26% year-over-year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $30.6 million [7]. - Pemazyre generated $22.7 million in sales, reflecting a 10% year-over-year increase, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $22 million [7]. - Minjuvi's revenues totaled $42 million, a 34% increase year-over-year, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $37.9 million [8]. - Axatilimab-csfr (Niktimvo) recorded $45.8 million in sales, up 27% sequentially, following its launch in Q1 2025 [9]. - Jakavi royalty revenues from Novartis rose 9% to $125.6 million, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $119.2 million [10]. Expenses and Cash Position - Adjusted R&D expenses totaled $467 million, down 11% year-over-year, primarily due to a prior milestone payment [14]. - Adjusted SG&A expenses were $308 million, up 11% year-over-year, driven by increased international marketing activities [15]. - As of September 30, 2025, Incyte's cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities amounted to $2.9 billion, up from $2.4 billion as of June 30, 2025 [15]. Market Outlook - Estimates for Incyte have trended upward, with a consensus estimate shift of 9.57% in the past month [16]. - Incyte holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expectations for an in-line return in the coming months [18].

Core Insights - Financial institutions are showing a bullish sentiment towards Eli Lilly, with 41% of traders being bullish and 32% bearish, indicating a strong interest in the stock [1] - The predicted price range for Eli Lilly over the last three months is between $730.0 and $1200.0, suggesting significant market expectations [2] - Analysts have set an average target price of $1174.2 for Eli Lilly, with various firms maintaining or upgrading their ratings [9][10] Options Activity - A total of 46 unusual trades were identified for Eli Lilly, with 41 being calls valued at $2,414,792 and 5 puts valued at $616,686, reflecting a preference for bullish positions [1] - The mean open interest for Eli Lilly options trades is 648.68, with a total volume of 1,068.00, indicating active trading [3] - Noteworthy options activity includes a mix of bullish and bearish trades, with significant volumes and varying strike prices [7] Company Overview - Eli Lilly focuses on neuroscience, cardiometabolic diseases, cancer, and immunology, with key products including Verzenio, Mounjaro, and Taltz [8] - The stock is currently trading at $1059.99, reflecting a slight increase of 0.03%, with an anticipated earnings release in 73 days [12]

Core Insights - Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) reported third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $7.02, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.02 per share, and significantly up from $1.18 per share in the same quarter last year [1][9] - Revenues reached $17.60 billion, a 54% increase year over year, driven by strong sales of GLP-1 drugs, Mounjaro and Zepbound, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $16.01 billion [2][9] Revenue and Sales Performance - Mounjaro sales were $6.52 billion, up 109% year over year, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.48 billion [3] - Zepbound recorded sales of $3.59 billion, a 185% increase year over year, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.45 billion [4] - Trulicity generated revenues of $1.05 billion, down 19% year over year, in line with estimates [6] - Jardiance sales rose 40% to $959 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $687 million [6] - Taltz brought in sales of $901.5 million, up 2% year over year, but missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate [7] - Verzenio generated sales of $1.47 billion, up 7% year over year, but also missed estimates [7] - Emgality revenues were $175.7 million, down 13% year over year, while Olumiant sales were $268.9 million, up 7% [8] Market Dynamics and Competition - Mounjaro and Zepbound are gaining market share from Novo Nordisk's Ozempic and Wegovy, despite facing strong competition [5] - The company is investing in obesity treatments and has several new molecules in clinical development, including orforglipron and retatrutide [14] Guidance and Future Outlook - Lilly raised its 2025 revenue guidance to $63.0 billion to $63.5 billion, up from a previous range of $60.0 billion to $62.0 billion, and increased EPS guidance to $23.00 to $23.70 [11][13] - The company is expanding its portfolio beyond GLP-1 drugs into cardiovascular, oncology, and neuroscience areas, with recent acquisitions to enhance its pipeline [17][18] Stock Performance - Following the strong third-quarter results and guidance increase, Lilly's shares rose more than 5% in pre-market trading, with a year-to-date increase of 5.3% compared to the industry average of 3.3% [13]

Core Insights - Incyte Corporation reported third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of $2.26 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.66 and more than doubling from $1.07 per share in the same quarter last year [1][9] - Total revenues for the third quarter reached $1.37 billion, reflecting a 20% year-over-year growth, driven by strong performance from Jakafi and Opzelura, and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.26 billion [2][9] Revenue Breakdown - Jakafi sales amounted to $791.1 million, a 7% increase year-over-year, attributed to a 10% rise in paid demand, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $770 million [3][9] - Opzelura cream generated $188 million in sales, up 35% year-over-year, driven by increased patient demand, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $179.1 million [4][9] - Newly approved Zynyz generated $22.7 million in sales, significantly higher than the year-ago quarter and beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.5 million [5][9] - Minjuvi's revenues totaled $42 million, a 34% year-over-year increase, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $37.9 million [6][9] - Niktimvo recorded $45.8 million in sales, up 27% sequentially, following its launch in the U.S. [7][9] Market Performance - Incyte's shares have increased by 34.8% year-to-date, outperforming the industry growth of 10.3% [8] Financial Guidance - The company revised its 2025 guidance for Jakafi revenues to a range of $3.05-$3.075 billion, up from the previous range of $3-$3.05 billion, while maintaining the guidance for Opzelura revenues at $630-$670 million [16]

Core Insights - Incyte reported a revenue of $1.37 billion for Q3 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 20.1% and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.26 billion by 8.71% [1] - The company's EPS for the quarter was $2.26, up from $1.07 a year ago, representing a surprise of 36.14% compared to the consensus estimate of $1.66 [1] Revenue Breakdown - Product revenues reached $1.15 billion, surpassing the average estimate of $1.09 billion, with a year-over-year change of 19.4% [4] - Product royalty revenues totaled $171.12 million, exceeding the estimated $164.43 million, reflecting a 9.1% increase year-over-year [4] - Net product revenues for Iclusig were $37.58 million, above the $30.63 million estimate, showing a 26.4% year-over-year increase [4] - Net product revenues for Pemazyre were $22.74 million, slightly above the $21.99 million estimate, with a 10.1% year-over-year change [4] - Net product revenues for Minjuvi/Monjuvi reached $41.99 million, exceeding the $37.87 million estimate, representing a 33.6% year-over-year increase [4] - Net product revenues for Opzelura were $187.97 million, surpassing the $179.13 million estimate, with a year-over-year change of 35% [4] - Net product revenues for Jakafi were $791.07 million, above the $769.99 million estimate, reflecting a 6.7% year-over-year increase [4] - Net product revenues for Niktimvo were $45.83 million, exceeding the estimate of $42.68 million [4] - Net product revenues for Zynyz were $22.67 million, significantly above the $9.46 million estimate, showing a remarkable year-over-year change of 3167.2% [4] - Royalty revenues for Olumiant were $37.11 million, slightly below the estimate of $37.17 million, with a year-over-year change of 6.7% [4] - Royalty revenues for Tabrecta were $6.51 million, below the estimate of $7.15 million, reflecting a 9.9% year-over-year change [4] - Royalty revenues for Jakavi were $125.65 million, exceeding the estimate of $119.18 million, with an 8.6% year-over-year increase [4] Stock Performance - Incyte's shares have returned +11% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.6% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Core Insights - Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) is set to report its Q3 2025 earnings on October 30, with sales and earnings estimates at $16.01 billion and $6.02 per share respectively [1][7] - Earnings estimates for 2025 have decreased from $23.15 per share to $22.73 per share over the past month [1] Earnings Performance - The company's performance has been mixed, exceeding earnings expectations in two of the last four quarters while missing in the other two, resulting in an average earnings surprise of negative 2.31% [3] - In the last reported quarter, LLY achieved a positive earnings surprise of 12.48% [3] Earnings Expectations - LLY has an Earnings ESP of -0.66% and holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [4] - Companies with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 have a higher likelihood of beating earnings estimates [5] Key Growth Drivers - The primary drivers for LLY's top-line growth in Q3 are expected to be its GLP-1 drugs, Mounjaro and Zepbound, which have seen high demand [6][7] - Sales estimates for Mounjaro and Zepbound are $5.48 billion and $3.45 billion respectively, with LLY's own estimates at $5.33 billion and $3.46 billion [8] Competitive Landscape - CVS Caremark has excluded Zepbound from its preferred drug list, which negatively impacted prescriptions in July and is expected to affect growth in Q3 [9] - Competitive dynamics have also hurt sales of Trulicity, with patient switches to Mounjaro and lower realized prices affecting revenues [11] Product Performance - Sales estimates for other key drugs include Trulicity at $1.05 billion, Taltz at $919 million, Verzenio at $1.58 billion, Jardiance at $687 million, Olumiant at $263 million, and Emgality at $196 million [11] - Newer products like Ebglyss, Jaypirca, Kisunla, and Omvoh are anticipated to contribute to sales growth [12] Strategic Initiatives - LLY is diversifying beyond GLP-1 drugs into cardiovascular, oncology, and neuroscience areas, with several M&A deals announced in 2025 [25] - The acquisition of Adverum Biotechnologies aims to enhance LLY's pipeline with gene therapies for vision loss [26] Market Position - LLY's stock has increased by 6.9% this year, outperforming the industry average of 5.6% [14] - Despite facing pricing pressures and competition, LLY remains the largest drugmaker with strong growth prospects [30]

Core Viewpoint - Incyte Corporation (INCY) is expected to exceed expectations in its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, with revenue estimates at $1.26 billion and earnings at $1.66 per share [1]. Group 1: Revenue Drivers - Incyte's primary revenue source is from Jakafi (ruxolitinib) sales in the U.S., with strong sales momentum anticipated across all approved indications [2][5]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Jakafi's third-quarter sales is projected at $770 million, with higher royalties expected from Novartis due to increased Jakavi sales outside the U.S. [3][5]. - Additional revenue contributions are expected from Opzelura, with a sales estimate of $179.1 million, and from other drugs like Minjuvi, Pemazyre, and Iclusig, with respective sales estimates of $37.9 million, $22 million, and $30.6 million [7][10]. Group 2: Recent Developments - Incyte's recent approvals, including Niktimvo and Monjuvi's expanded use, are likely to enhance product sales [5][9]. - The company has entered into an asset purchase agreement with MorphoSys AG, gaining exclusive global rights to tafasitamab, which is expected to boost sales following FDA approval for a new cancer indication [9]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Year-to-date, Incyte's shares have increased by 29.3%, outperforming the industry growth of 9.3% [4]. - Incyte has a mixed earnings surprise history, with two earnings beats and two misses in the last four quarters, averaging a surprise of 4.2% [15]. Group 4: Earnings Expectations - The Earnings ESP for Incyte is +3.48%, indicating a potential earnings beat, with the most accurate estimate at $1.72 compared to the consensus estimate of $1.66 [17].

Core Insights - The BRAVE-AA-PEDS trial is the first and largest study focused on children and adolescents with severe alopecia areata, showing that 71% of adolescents treated with baricitinib 4 mg achieved successful scalp hair regrowth at one year [1][2][4] - Eli Lilly plans to submit the trial data to global regulators for a potential label update for baricitinib, commercially known as Olumiant [1][9][10] Group 1: Trial Results - At one year, 54.1% of patients receiving baricitinib 4 mg and 31% receiving baricitinib 2 mg achieved successful hair regrowth, defined as 80% or more scalp hair coverage [7] - Among patients with severe disease, 71% receiving baricitinib 4 mg and 58.6% receiving baricitinib 2 mg achieved successful hair regrowth [7] - In a post-hoc analysis, 80% of adolescents diagnosed with severe AA less than two years before treatment achieved successful hair regrowth with baricitinib 4 mg [4] Group 2: Safety Profile - The safety profile of baricitinib in adolescents was consistent with that seen in adult trials, with no new safety signals observed after one year [5][8] - Common treatment-emergent adverse events included acne, upper respiratory tract infection, and influenza, with no deaths or major adverse cardiovascular events reported [5][8] Group 3: Future Plans and Context - Lilly intends to enroll a new cohort of children ages 6 to under 12 in the BRAVE-AA-PEDS trial in the next year [9][12] - Baricitinib is the most-researched JAK inhibitor in alopecia areata, with over 1,300 adults and 423 adolescents enrolled in clinical trials [10]

Core Insights - Incyte Corporation (INCY) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on hematology/oncology, inflammation, and autoimmunity, with a market cap of $16.8 billion, set to announce Q3 earnings on October 28, 2025 [1] Financial Performance - Analysts expect INCY to report a profit of $1.38 per share for Q3 2025, an increase of 89% from $0.73 per share in the same quarter last year [2] - For the full fiscal year, EPS is projected to be $5.14, a significant rise from $0.08 in fiscal 2024, with an expected 25.1% year-over-year increase to $6.43 in fiscal 2026 [3] Stock Performance - INCY stock has increased by 29.8% over the past 52 weeks, outperforming the S&P 500 Index's 14.8% gains and the Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund's 5.5% losses [4] - The stock's performance is attributed to strong sales of Jakafi and the successful launch of Opzelura cream, along with recent FDA approvals for new treatments [5] Market Sentiment - Analysts maintain a "Moderate Buy" rating for INCY, with 11 out of 26 analysts recommending a "Strong Buy," 14 advising a "Hold," and one suggesting a "Strong Sell" [7] - The current trading price is above the mean price target of $85.67, with a Street-high price target of $115 indicating a potential upside of 33.5% [7]