Core Insights - AbbVie reported strong fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, surpassing expectations, primarily driven by its newer immunology drugs, Rinvoq and Skyrizi, which offset the decline of the legacy drug Humira [1] Financial Performance - Skyrizi and Rinvoq generated combined revenues of approximately $26 billion, reflecting over 40% year-over-year growth. Skyrizi sales increased by 50% year-over-year to $17.56 billion, while Rinvoq sales rose by 39% to $8.30 billion [2] - AbbVie anticipates overall sales to grow at a high single-digit revenue CAGR through 2029, with combined sales of Skyrizi and Rinvoq expected to exceed $31 billion in 2026, surpassing the long-term guidance of $31 billion for 2027 [4] Market Dynamics - The immunology market is experiencing strong growth, with significant market share gains for Skyrizi in psoriasis and Rinvoq in rheumatoid arthritis. New indications for both drugs, including recent approvals and potential future approvals, are expected to drive further growth [3][5] - AbbVie expects Rinvoq to secure approvals for vitiligo and alopecia areata in 2026, with additional phase III data anticipated for hidradenitis suppurativa and systemic lupus erythematosus [5] Competitive Landscape - AbbVie faces competition from Johnson & Johnson, which markets Stelara and Tremfya, and Eli Lilly, which recently received FDA approval for Omvoh in ulcerative colitis [7][8] Valuation and Estimates - AbbVie shares are currently trading at a P/E ratio of 15.14, below the industry average of 18.74, but above its five-year mean of 13.68 [12] - Estimate revisions for 2026 EPS have trended higher, while those for 2027 have decreased over the past 30 days [14]

Core Insights - Eli Lilly reported strong financial performance for 2025, with full-year revenue of $65.2 billion, a 45% increase compared to 2024, and earnings per share (EPS) of $24.21, up 86% year-over-year [3][6] - The company anticipates continued revenue growth in 2026, projecting revenue between $80 billion and $83 billion, reflecting approximately 25% growth at the midpoint despite expected pricing pressures [4][9] Financial Performance - In Q4 2025, Lilly achieved a revenue growth of 43% compared to Q4 2024, with a gross margin of 83.2% [2] - The non-GAAP performance margin was reported at 47.2%, an increase of 4.2 percentage points year-over-year [1] - R&D expenses rose by 26%, while marketing, selling, and administrative expenses increased by 29%, driven by investments in the pipeline and promotional support [2] Product Performance - The incretin portfolio was a significant growth driver, generating over $13 billion in Q4, a 91% increase year-over-year [6] - Key products like Zepbound and Mounjaro saw substantial market growth, with Zepbound revenue more than doubling year-over-year and holding nearly 70% share of new prescriptions in the branded obesity market [8] Pipeline and Clinical Updates - Lilly's late-stage pipeline includes Orforglipron, which is expected to receive FDA approval in Q2 2026, and retatrutide, which showed promising results in weight loss trials [13][14] - The company is also advancing combination studies in immunology and oncology, with positive results reported for ixekizumab and pirtobrutinib [15][16] Access Initiatives and Market Strategy - Lilly has established a U.S. access agreement for obesity medicines, capping patient out-of-pocket costs at $50 per month, with Medicare access expected by July 1, 2026 [5][17] - The company is expanding direct channels, with LillyDirect engaging over 1 million patients, to offset pricing pressures through increased volume [19] Capital Allocation - In 2025, Lilly returned $1.3 billion to shareholders through dividends and $1.5 billion in share repurchases, while committing over $55 billion to manufacturing expansion since 2020 [20]

Core Insights - Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) reported strong fourth-quarter 2025 results, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $7.54, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.99, and a year-over-year earnings increase of 42% [1] - Revenues reached $19.3 billion, a 43% increase year over year, driven by the success of GLP-1 drugs Mounjaro and Zepbound, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $17.87 billion [1] Revenue Drivers - Mounjaro generated sales of $7.41 billion, up 110% year over year, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.65 billion [2] - Zepbound recorded sales of $4.26 billion, a 123% increase year over year, also beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.87 billion [3] Competitive Landscape - Mounjaro and Zepbound face competition from Novo Nordisk's semaglutide products, with Novo Nordisk reporting a decline in its Diabetes and Obesity Care segment sales due to competitive pressure from Lilly's offerings [4] - Despite competitive dynamics, Mounjaro and Zepbound are expected to maintain strong demand in 2026 [13] Other Drug Performance - Trulicity generated $1.04 billion in revenue, down 17% year over year, but still beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.0 billion [5] - Jardiance sales fell 36% to $768 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $776 million [5] - Taltz brought in $1.05 billion, up 10% year over year, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $955 million [6] - Verzenio generated $1.60 billion, up 3% year over year, but missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.62 billion [6] Full-Year Performance - For the full year 2025, Eli Lilly's sales rose 45% to $65.2 billion, significantly beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $63.54 billion [10] - Adjusted earnings for 2025 were $24.21 per share, an 86% increase year over year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $23.74 [10] 2026 Outlook - Eli Lilly expects 2026 revenues in the range of $80 billion to $83 billion, higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $77.5 billion [11] - EPS for 2026 is projected to be between $33.50 and $35.00, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $33.24 [11] Market Reaction - Following the positive quarterly earnings and optimistic 2026 outlook, Lilly's shares rose approximately 9% in pre-market trading [14] - Over the past year, Lilly's stock has increased by 19.2%, outperforming the industry average of 17.1% [14] Strategic Initiatives - Lilly is investing in obesity treatments and has several new molecules in clinical development, including orforglipron, an oral GLP-1 small molecule [16][17] - The company is diversifying its portfolio beyond GLP-1 drugs into cardiovascular, oncology, and neuroscience areas, including recent acquisitions to enhance its capabilities in oral small-molecule therapies [19]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, full-year revenue grew by 45% to $65.2 billion compared to 2024, with earnings per share increasing by 86% to $24.21 [6][10] - Q4 revenue increased by 43% compared to Q4 2024, with gross margin at 83.2%, consistent with Q4 2024 [10][11] - Non-GAAP performance margin was 47.2%, an increase of 4.2 percentage points compared to Q4 2024 [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Key products contributed over $13 billion to revenue in Q4, growing by 91% compared to Q4 2024 [12] - Kisunla became the U.S. market leader in amyloid-targeting therapy with over 50% share of total prescriptions, generating $109 million in revenue [12] - Zepbound revenue more than doubled compared to Q4 2024, maintaining nearly 70% share of new prescriptions in the branded obesity market [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. revenue increased by 43% in Q4, driven by volume growth of Mounjaro and Zepbound, partially offset by a 7% decline in price [11] - International revenue growth was strong, with double-digit volume growth in Europe, Japan, and China, and volume doubling in the rest of the world due to Mounjaro's launch [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company executed 39 business development transactions and is investing in artificial intelligence for drug discovery [7] - Plans to build multiple new manufacturing sites in the U.S. and Europe to expand manufacturing capacity [7] - The company anticipates launching Orforglipron for chronic weight management in the U.S. in Q2 2026, with a focus on expanding the addressable market [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth trajectory of the incretin analog market and expects continued robust growth in 2026 [16] - The company is preparing for potential challenges in Medicaid access but anticipates new states will add coverage in 2027 [17] - Management highlighted the importance of patient satisfaction and real-world efficacy for new product launches [42] Other Important Information - The company distributed $1.3 billion in dividends and $1.5 billion in share repurchases in 2025 [8] - The company has one of the largest clinical stage pipelines in its history, with 36 active phase III programs [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Metrics for Orforglipron launch - Management indicated they will track market expansion and patient satisfaction as key success factors for Orforglipron [41][43] Question: Accelerated pathways for international approvals - Management expects most international launches for Orforglipron to occur in late 2026 to 2027, with some exceptions [47] Question: International Mounjaro growth - Management noted Q4 as a strong base for 2026 growth, with a focus on market expansion and reimbursement strategies [53][54] Question: Investment in immunology - Management is reinvesting proceeds from obesity opportunities to accelerate growth in immunology and other areas [60] Question: Medicare volume ramp and employer opt-ins - Management expects Medicare access to be granted by July 1, 2026, and anticipates a bolus of patients moving into the Medicare space [65][66] Question: Combo therapies with Zepbound - Management sees significant opportunities in combination therapies for immune diseases and is pursuing various studies [75]

Core Insights - Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE: LLY) is forming a strategic collaboration with Repertoire Immune Medicines, potentially worth up to $1.93 billion, aimed at developing new treatments for multiple autoimmune diseases [2][3]. Group 1: Collaboration Details - Under the agreement, Repertoire will receive an upfront payment of $85 million, with an additional $1.84 billion contingent on development and commercial milestones [3]. - The collaboration includes tiered royalties on future net sales, focusing on therapies that restore the immune system without broad immune suppression [3]. Group 2: Access to Technology - As part of the collaboration, Eli Lilly will gain access to Repertoire's Decode platform, which studies T cell recognition and binding to specific targets on diseased cells [4]. - Repertoire will handle early discovery work, after which Eli Lilly will take over clinical development, manufacturing, regulatory activities, and commercialization [4]. Group 3: Strategic Expansion - Eli Lilly is actively expanding its immunology business through various deals and acquisitions, including the $3.2 billion acquisition of Morphic Holding in 2024 to enhance its inflammatory bowel disease pipeline [5]. - The current immunology portfolio of Eli Lilly includes treatments such as Olumiant, Taltz, and Omvoh, addressing conditions like arthritis, immune-related hair loss, psoriasis, and chronic bowel disorders [6].

Core Insights - Eli Lilly (LLY) has established a strong position in the cardiometabolic market, primarily due to the success of its GLP-1 therapies, Mounjaro and Zepbound, which generated $24.8 billion in sales, representing 54% of total revenues in the first nine months of 2025 [1][10] Group 1: Product Performance - Mounjaro and Zepbound's sales growth is attributed to improved domestic supply and expansion into new international markets, prompting Eli Lilly to raise its sales and earnings guidance twice in 2025 [2] - Sales estimates for Mounjaro and Zepbound for the upcoming quarter are projected at $6.55 billion and $3.62 billion, respectively, driven by stronger market penetration in the U.S. and international adoption [3] Group 2: Broader Portfolio Growth - Eli Lilly's portfolio, including oncology drug Verzenio and immunology drug Taltz, continues to show steady growth, with new launches like Omvoh, Ebglyss, Jaypirca, and Kisunla contributing to overall revenue [4] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk (NVO) are the leading players in the obesity market, with Mounjaro and Zepbound competing against NVO's semaglutide products, Ozempic and Wegovy [5] - Novo Nordisk received FDA approval for its oral Wegovy pill, enhancing its competitive edge, while Eli Lilly is seeking FDA approval for its own oral GLP-1 pill, orforglipron [6] Group 4: Market Dynamics - The obesity market is gaining attention due to its significant growth potential, with smaller biotech firms like Viking Therapeutics and Structure Therapeutics developing competing GLP-1 therapies [7][8] Group 5: Stock Performance and Valuation - Eli Lilly's stock has increased by 35.9% over the past six months, outperforming the industry average of 20.9% [11] - The stock is currently trading at a price/earnings ratio of 31.58, which is higher than the industry average of 17.86, but below its five-year mean of 34.56 [14] - Earnings estimates for 2025 have improved from $23.69 to $23.85 per share, and for 2026 from $32.06 to $33.25 [18]

Core Insights - AbbVie generates significant revenue from its immunology franchise, particularly from the strong uptake of its blockbuster drugs, Skyrizi and Rinvoq, which have helped the company achieve top-line growth despite the loss of exclusivity for Humira three years ago [1][8] - The company is expected to report Q4 and full-year 2025 results on February 4, 2025, with investors keenly awaiting sales figures for Skyrizi and Rinvoq [1] Immunology Performance - Skyrizi and Rinvoq have been successfully launched across major indications previously covered by Humira, including a new indication for atopic dermatitis, and have shown strong performance in the inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) market, particularly for ulcerative colitis (UC) and Crohn's disease (CD) [2] - Sales estimates for Q4 2025 are projected at $4.87 billion for Skyrizi and $2.33 billion for Rinvoq, driven by strong demand in the IBD market and new indications [3][8] Expansion into Other Therapeutic Areas - AbbVie is expanding its presence in neuroscience and oncology, with growth in neuroscience supported by the uptake of oral migraine therapies, Ubrelvy and Qulipta [4] - In oncology, AbbVie has broadened its portfolio to include solid tumors, led by newer assets such as Elahere and Emrelis [4] Competitive Landscape - The immunology market is highly competitive, with Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) as a key player, marketing blockbuster drugs Stelara and Tremfya, and focusing on Tremfya after Stelara lost U.S. patent exclusivity [5] - Eli Lilly (LLY) is also expanding its immunology presence with the FDA approval of Omvoh for UC, marking its first immunology drug approved for IBD in the U.S. [6] Financial Performance and Valuation - AbbVie shares have outperformed the industry year to date, trading at a P/E ratio of 15.50, which is lower than the industry average of 17.91 [7][9] - The bottom-line estimate per share for 2025 has slightly declined from $10.73 to $10.64, while estimates for 2026 have increased from $14.41 to $14.42 over the past 60 days [10]

Core Insights - The medical sector is increasingly adopting artificial intelligence (AI), enhancing drug synthesis, device creation, and diagnostic accuracy [2][3] Group 1: Eli Lilly and Co. (LLY) - Eli Lilly focuses on cardiometabolic health, neuroscience, oncology, and immunology, which are high-growth areas with significant commercial potential [5] - Demand for LLY's GLP-1 drugs, Mounjaro and Zepbound, remains strong, contributing to robust sales in 2025 [6] - LLY is advancing its pipeline with an oral GLP-1 obesity pill, orforglipron, expected to launch next year [7] - Eli Lilly is collaborating with OpenAI for novel medicine discovery and invested $409 million in Genetic Leap for AI-driven drug discovery [7] - The company is building a supercomputer with NVIDIA to enhance its AI capabilities, with expected revenue and earnings growth rates of 22.3% and 41.3% respectively for the current year [8] - LLY has a return on equity (ROE) of 109.5%, significantly higher than the industry average of 37% [9] Group 2: Medtronic plc (MDT) - Medtronic is integrating AI into its solutions to improve patient care and operational efficiency, including an AI-powered surgical video management platform [10] - The GI Genius project enhances colorectal cancer detection, increasing survival rates by identifying polyps that may be missed [11] - Medtronic's partnerships leverage AI to optimize cardiac procedures and improve diagnostic precision, driving growth in the medtech sector [12] - The company has an expected revenue and earnings growth rate of 7.5% and 2.7% respectively for the current year [14] - MDT has a ROE of 14.9%, outperforming the industry average of -2.5% [14] Group 3: Intuitive Surgical Inc. (ISRG) - Intuitive Surgical is embedding AI into its robotic systems, providing objective performance indicators for surgeons [15] - The company is piloting telecollaboration for remote surgical support, enhancing training and decision-making [16] - ISRG's revenue and earnings growth rates are expected to be 14.3% and 11.1% respectively for the current year [19] - ISRG has a ROE of 15.1%, compared to the industry's ROE of -18.7% [19] Group 4: Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. (REGN) - Regeneron utilizes AI and machine learning for drug target identification, clinical trial optimization, and precision medicine [20] - The company has seen revenue growth driven by strong performance from Dupixent and Libtayo, despite declining sales of Eylea [21] - REGN's expected revenue and earnings growth rates are 4.9% and -0.4% respectively for the current year [23] - REGN has a ROE of 13.8%, significantly higher than the industry's ROE of -65.41% [23] Group 5: Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) - Johnson & Johnson's MedTech division is focused on AI technologies for surgical robotics and digital surgery analytics [24] - The company has developed the Ottava robotic surgery platform and the Caresurgical/VELYS digital surgery systems, enhancing procedure planning [25] - JNJ has an expected revenue and earnings growth rate of 5% and 5.7% respectively for the current year [26] - JNJ has a ROE of 32.7%, compared to the industry's ROE of 37% [26]

Core Insights - The medical sector is rapidly adopting artificial intelligence (AI), significantly transforming diagnostics, treatment, and operational efficiency in 2024 [1] - AI-powered diagnostics have become central to enhancing accuracy and speed in medical practices [1] Group 1: AI Adoption in Healthcare - The healthcare sector is typically defensive, characterized by low-beta and dividend-paying stocks, but AI has turned several stocks into potential high-growth providers [2] - Key stocks benefiting from AI integration include Eli Lilly and Co. (LLY), Medtronic plc (MDT), Intuitive Surgical Inc. (ISRG), Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. (REGN), and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) [2] Group 2: Eli Lilly and Co. (LLY) - Eli Lilly focuses on cardiometabolic health, neuroscience, oncology, and immunology, which are high-growth areas with significant commercial potential [5] - Strong demand for LLY's GLP-1 drugs, Mounjaro and Zepbound, is driving top-line growth, supported by international market launches and increased production [6] - LLY is advancing its pipeline in obesity and diabetes, with an oral GLP-1 obesity pill expected to launch next year [7] - The company is collaborating with OpenAI and investing in AI-driven biotech initiatives, including a $409 million investment in Genetic Leap [9] - LLY has an expected revenue growth rate of 22.3% and earnings growth rate of 41.3% for the current year, with a beta of 0.35 and a dividend yield of 0.6% [9][10] Group 3: Medtronic plc (MDT) - Medtronic is integrating AI into its surgical systems and endoscopy to enhance patient care and operational efficiency [11] - The GI Genius project uses AI algorithms to detect colorectal polyps during colonoscopies, improving cancer survival rates [12] - MDT's partnerships leverage AI to optimize cardiac procedures and improve diagnostic precision, positioning the company for growth in medtech innovation [13] - Medtronic has an expected revenue growth rate of 7.5% and earnings growth rate of 2.7% for the current year, with a beta of 0.71 and a dividend yield of 3% [15] Group 4: Intuitive Surgical Inc. (ISRG) - Intuitive Surgical is embedding AI and digital tools into its robotic ecosystem, enhancing surgical performance metrics [16] - The company is piloting telecollaboration through Intuitive Telepresence, allowing remote surgical support [17] - ISRG has an expected revenue growth rate of 14.3% and earnings growth rate of 11.1% for the current year, with a beta of 0.39 and an ROE of 15.1% [20] Group 5: Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. (REGN) - Regeneron utilizes AI and machine learning for drug target identification, clinical trial optimization, and precision medicine [21] - The company has seen revenue growth driven by strong performance from drugs like Eylea HD and Dupixent, despite declining sales of its lead drug [22] - REGN has an expected revenue growth rate of 4.9% and earnings growth rate of -0.4% for the current year, with a beta of 0.39 and a dividend yield of 0.5% [24] Group 6: Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) - Johnson & Johnson's MedTech division applies AI technologies for surgical robotics and digital surgery analytics [25] - The company has developed the Ottava robotic surgery platform and the Caresurgical/VELYS digital surgery systems, enhancing procedure planning and real-time data sharing [26] - JNJ has an expected revenue growth rate of 5% and earnings growth rate of 5.7% for the current year, with a beta of 0.34 and a dividend yield of 2.5% [27]

Core Viewpoint - Eli Lilly is experiencing significant growth driven by its GLP-1 franchise and is exploring further acquisition opportunities to enhance its market position [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance and Market Position - Eli Lilly's shares have increased substantially in recent years due to strong clinical advancements in its GLP-1 franchise [1]. - The company has established itself as a leader in the rapidly growing weight loss medicine market and has several promising pipeline candidates [1]. Group 2: Acquisition Strategy - Eli Lilly has a history of acquiring smaller drugmakers to enhance its pipeline, particularly in oncology and pain management [4]. - The company is reportedly considering acquiring Abivax, a French biotech firm, which could significantly impact its outlook [6]. Group 3: Potential Acquisition Details - Abivax is a pre-revenue company with a promising drug, obefazimod, aimed at treating ulcerative colitis, which has shown significant remission rates in clinical trials [6][7]. - The acquisition of Abivax could come at a high cost, with the company's market capitalization currently at 9.5 billion euros ($11.2 billion) [8].