Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing fluctuations, particularly affecting the innovative drug sector, with the ETF Huatai Innovation Drug (589120) declining by 2.05% and facing a five-day losing streak, despite attracting over 7.9 million yuan in funds [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Huatai Innovation Drug ETF (589120) has seen a decline in its constituent stocks, with major players like I-Mab and Junshi Biosciences dropping over 3%, and others like BeiGene and Zai Lab falling more than 2% [3]. - The top ten constituent stocks of the ETF show a negative trend, with BeiGene-U down by 2.38% and Junshi Biosciences-U down by 3.42%, indicating a general downturn in the sector [3]. Group 2: Long-term Outlook - Despite the short-term market pressure, the long-term outlook for the innovative drug sector remains positive, with expectations of a clear beta market driven by liquidity recovery at the beginning of the year [4]. - The JPM conference highlighted the achievements of over 20 Chinese pharmaceutical companies, with projections for significant revenue growth in innovative drugs, such as a 25% increase for Heng Rui in 2026 [4]. Group 3: Business Development (BD) Trends - The BD activities in the sector are at a peak, with 17 transactions occurring since January, totaling approximately 10.15 billion USD in upfront payments, significantly exceeding market expectations [5]. - The ongoing trend of foreign companies expanding in China and the increasing flow of funds into the innovative drug sector suggest a favorable environment for growth and investment [5]. Group 4: Investment Strategy - The innovative drug sector is recommended for increased allocation, particularly in Hong Kong stocks, as the market is currently at a relative bottom, with potential for new historical highs [5]. - The ETF focuses on leading innovative drug companies, providing a high degree of exposure to the opportunities presented by the rise of Chinese innovative drugs [5].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state and future potential of China's innovative drug sector, highlighting the shift from "creating from nothing" to "refining existing innovations" driven by new technologies and market dynamics [1]. Group 1: Innovative Drug Sector Dynamics - The underlying logic of the innovative drug sector has shifted from "from nothing to something" to "from something to refinement," with a focus on high-level engineering and specific technology tracks like ADC and PD1 plus [1]. - The current market valuation of leading companies in the ADC and PD1 plus segments has not yet reached reasonable levels, indicating that the market may not have peaked [1]. - The global pharmaceutical market is valued at $2 trillion, with innovative drugs accounting for $1 trillion; the potential market share for Chinese innovative drugs is projected to be between $200 billion and $250 billion in sales [1]. Group 2: Market Valuation and Growth Potential - The main incremental market value in the innovative drug sector is expected to come from the realization of overseas value, with a target of achieving a 20-30% share of FDA-approved pipelines by 2030 [1]. - Current market capitalization of leading companies has increased from $1.3 trillion to $2.4 trillion, representing a growth of $1.1 trillion, which corresponds to 40-60% of the potential market value increase [1]. - In a neutral scenario, the projected profit from $200 billion in sales would yield a market value increase of $1.8 trillion, while an optimistic scenario with $250 billion in sales could lead to a $2.7 trillion increase [1]. Group 3: Future Catalysts - There are still numerous opportunities for companies to secure business development (BD) orders, which could act as a catalyst for growth [2]. - The backdrop of multinational corporations (MNCs) facing patent cliffs will likely lead to continued significant investments in the sector [2]. - The commercialization of Chinese gene-based innovative drugs in overseas markets is expected to expand significantly [3]. Group 4: Index and ETF Performance - The National Vaccine and Biotechnology Index (980015) consists of 50 companies involved in the biotechnology industry, reflecting the overall performance of quality listed companies in this sector [3]. - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 64.83% of the total index value, indicating a concentration of market power among these firms [3].