Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and a mixed performance in net profit for the first half of 2025, indicating challenges in the current market environment due to falling oil prices and a downturn in the aromatics sector [4][5]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 60.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.4% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 386 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 21.2% [4]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 30.6 billion yuan, down 15.2% year-on-year but up 0.98% quarter-on-quarter [4]. - The net profit for Q2 was 4.5 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year decline of 37.1% and a quarter-on-quarter drop of 86.8% [4]. Group 2: Market Conditions - The average Brent crude oil price in Q2 2025 was $66.76 per barrel, down 22% year-on-year and 11% quarter-on-quarter [5]. - The naphtha cracking margin was -50 yuan per ton, with a year-on-year increase of 19 yuan per ton and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 20 yuan per ton [5]. - The refining margin was 1,111 yuan per ton, up 420 yuan per ton year-on-year and 158 yuan per ton quarter-on-quarter [5]. - The PX margin was -389 yuan per ton, down 821 yuan per ton year-on-year but up 175 yuan per ton quarter-on-quarter [5]. - The PTA margin was 420 yuan per ton, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 35 yuan per ton and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 94 yuan per ton [5]. - The DTY margin was 2,222 yuan per ton, down 65 yuan per ton year-on-year and 88 yuan per ton quarter-on-quarter [5]. Group 3: Strategic Developments - The company is implementing a "1+N" development strategy to strengthen its integrated chemical raw material supply platform and enhance downstream industry chain construction [6][7]. - In the first half of 2025, the company added 400,000 tons of EVA production capacity, bringing total capacity to 900,000 tons per year [7]. - The company maintains a leading position in products such as EVA, acrylonitrile, and MMA, while also achieving a breakthrough in the technology of nitrile latex products [7]. - The company is expanding its product matrix in the new energy and new materials sector, focusing on high-end product development and innovation [7]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - The "anti-involution" policies initiated in 2024 are expected to improve market conditions by curbing excessive competition in the petrochemical industry [8]. - The emphasis on high value-added transformation marks a new phase in policy direction, which may lead to a reversal in the industry's downturn [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 609 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 16.4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.86 billion yuan, an increase of 21.2% [4][5]. - The decline in performance in Q2 2025 is attributed to falling oil prices and a downturn in aromatics market conditions, with Brent crude oil averaging 66.76 USD per barrel, down 22% year-on-year [5][6]. - The company is actively consolidating its "1+N" industrial layout, focusing on high-end product development and expanding its new energy materials product matrix [6][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 306 billion yuan, down 15.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.45 billion yuan, down 37.1% year-on-year [4][5]. - The company’s revenue and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downward due to the impact of falling oil prices and market conditions [8][9]. Industry Outlook - The report highlights a potential reversal in the refining industry's downturn due to ongoing "anti-involution" policies aimed at regulating competition and promoting high-value transformation in the petrochemical sector [7]. - The company is expected to benefit from these policies as they may help mitigate low-price competition in the industry [7]. Profitability and Valuation - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 9.65 billion yuan, 14.04 billion yuan, and 20.62 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.15, 0.21, and 0.31 yuan [8][9]. - The report indicates a stable growth trajectory for the company’s new materials projects, suggesting significant growth potential [8].